tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post2029140766689720732..comments2024-01-05T06:18:18.086-05:00Comments on CommentaramaPolitics: "You Don't Have To Like Me!"AndrewPricehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comBlogger30125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-58037402468706621652015-10-09T01:04:35.678-04:002015-10-09T01:04:35.678-04:00Coming tomorrow afternoon. Sorry.Coming tomorrow afternoon. Sorry.Kithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01453591141757808708noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-35618110027018613822015-10-08T22:11:47.515-04:002015-10-08T22:11:47.515-04:00Sounds like the stock market...Sounds like the stock market...AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-50127862484245269752015-10-08T22:11:33.156-04:002015-10-08T22:11:33.156-04:00I read an interesting article about the daily draf...I read an interesting article about the daily draft betting sites, like Draft Kings. The article interviewed a professional gambler who apparently makes a killing on those sites each week (or day for Baseball and Basketball).<br /><br />What he said was that average players are suckers because they fundamentally misunderstand how the professional gamblers gamble. He likened it to playing poker in Vegas with a handful of pros while thinking the game will be like the one you play with your buddies once a month.<br /><br />Specifically, he said while most people think the site works by having millions of guys just like them picking one or two teams each, the reality is that the professionals will pick around a thousand teams a week. And the way they pick those teams is with sophisticated algorithms that are normally used to approximate point spreads. Those algorithms are then used to generate thousands of potential teams with the highest likelihood of winning. Each of those teams is then played so the professional can essentially cover all the best bets. Some even use the betting patterns of the other players to shape their strategies. This data apparently is released on Thursdays.<br /><br />So what you are competing against is not other players who randomly pick their favorite teams, but computer generated teams that are designed to capture all the best possibilities of victory. So it's basically random chance for the average player to win, but the guys they are competing against have all the bases covered and are playing to dominate the money slots. Consequently, the professionals win the vast majority of the money each week.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-15556573620444828102015-10-08T21:58:54.182-04:002015-10-08T21:58:54.182-04:00Rustbelt, That's true. Could you imagine bein...Rustbelt, That's true. Could you imagine being in that army?AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-34033554870264705892015-10-08T21:39:44.353-04:002015-10-08T21:39:44.353-04:00Well, Andrew, it's still a step up from Stalin...Well, Andrew, it's still a step up from Stalingrad- where only every other Soviet soldier got a rifle and only about three-quarters of them got ammunition. Heck, I think I heard that officers told the unarmed troops not too worry; there would be plenty to take from their own dead and dying.Rustbelthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12190297078043033514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-62799750335488699862015-10-08T20:05:09.283-04:002015-10-08T20:05:09.283-04:00And the embarrassment begins. Four Russian cruise...And the embarrassment begins. Four Russian cruise missiles missed Syria (think about that) and landed in Iran.<br /><br />Every time we fight, our equipment proves to be much better than the "experts" predicted. Every time the Russians fight, their stuff proves to be much, much worse than the "experts" assured us it was.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-48282910947427322782015-10-07T21:59:28.862-04:002015-10-07T21:59:28.862-04:00Sorry can't post for tomorrow...Sorry can't post for tomorrow...BevfromNYChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14953050916932306270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-64118798796748552002015-10-07T21:57:03.870-04:002015-10-07T21:57:03.870-04:00Critch, Poor Joe has no idea what's coming. I...Critch, Poor Joe has no idea what's coming. I think Bernie is better prepared to weather a Clinton carpet bombing.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-60489974009913119812015-10-07T21:26:41.202-04:002015-10-07T21:26:41.202-04:00Hillary is about to unleash her flying moneys on U...Hillary is about to unleash her flying moneys on Uncle Joe (and your little Bernie)..it ain't gonna be pretty...Critchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07106908233705403513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-9445680873447455212015-10-07T19:45:06.171-04:002015-10-07T19:45:06.171-04:00As Bill told Hillary,"Sorry honey, close but ...As Bill told Hillary,"Sorry honey, close but no cigar."Critchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07106908233705403513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-50283873787703419112015-10-07T17:44:39.973-04:002015-10-07T17:44:39.973-04:00tryanmax, I think that's true unless the Democ...tryanmax, I think that's true unless the Democrats find someone a lot more appealing.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-62685119908886430782015-10-07T17:44:11.989-04:002015-10-07T17:44:11.989-04:00Koshcat, I would say that describes Hillary perfec...Koshcat, I would say that describes Hillary perfectly on many many levels.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-10868898828035752272015-10-07T17:43:13.665-04:002015-10-07T17:43:13.665-04:00Kit, He was also a vampire hunter. Oh wait, that ...Kit, He was also a vampire hunter. Oh wait, that was Lincoln.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-7889564853758546682015-10-07T16:34:34.876-04:002015-10-07T16:34:34.876-04:00Coolidge was a low-tax, fiscally conservative poli...Coolidge was a low-tax, fiscally conservative politician. Kithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01453591141757808708noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-49736998939298104052015-10-07T15:09:40.213-04:002015-10-07T15:09:40.213-04:00Koshcat, don't misunderstand me. I don't t...Koshcat, don't misunderstand me. I don't think there are any comparisons between Hillary and Coolidge. If anything, it illustrates the distance between where Hillary is now and her absolute remotest chance of being elected president, barring a major implosion in the GOP. It is their election to lose. tryanmaxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09881154741574720094noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-2036667362436290752015-10-07T14:56:16.061-04:002015-10-07T14:56:16.061-04:00The difference with Coolidge was the country was d...The difference with Coolidge was the country was doing well and he wouldn't say asinine things.<br /><br />I think the best term to describe her is the acronym based on Can't Understand Normal Thinking. Both definitions fit so well.Koshcathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00552108950848576633noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-36730398239626651632015-10-07T11:34:02.812-04:002015-10-07T11:34:02.812-04:00Andrew, I agree, it is tough to think of an exampl...Andrew, I agree, it is tough to think of an example of an unlikable politician. Politicians are the original celebrities going back to antiquity. <br /><br />The only other recent example I can think of, and he was not so much <b>un</b>likable as just unknowable, was Calvin Coolidge. Interestingly, there's been a very recent (like in the last week) upswelling of nostalgia for the Coolidge presidency on the right. I'm not sure what it means just yet. tryanmaxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09881154741574720094noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-55631055961181264022015-10-07T11:16:07.911-04:002015-10-07T11:16:07.911-04:00Bev, I think it's all the same package. Most ...Bev, I think it's all the same package. Most people tend to lump ideas like trustworthy, sympathetic to my concerns, relatable on a personal level, and genuine together into a nebulous "do I like this person." And you don't need each of those to be considered likable.<br /><br />In terms of Hillary, I think it goes way beyond just being a liar. She has rubbed a LOT of people wrong with her elitist manner, going all the way back to 1992. Her personality is grating. It is something films and books use as petty villains precisely because it rubs us wrong. That is the first problem she needs to overcome. Then you add the dishonesty, etc., and it becomes a huge problem because it gives people who just don't like her as a person something to hang their hats on. But in her case, her personality is so unpleasant that even if she had a reputation for being squeaky clean, she would still struggle to get elected.<br />AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-33073411724874292782015-10-07T11:00:44.532-04:002015-10-07T11:00:44.532-04:00tryanmax, I agree. There is one way around being ...tryanmax, I agree. There is one way around being likable. In the business world, it comes from being a genius -- like Steven Jobs. In politics, it can happen if the public sees you as competent and good for them despite you being an ass. The only example that comes to mind where that has worked is Churchill. I understand that he was not liked by the public, but they felt he was needed to win the war. He then got tossed out almost the minute it was over too. Beyond that, I can't think of an unlikable politician who has pulled it off. And even if I could, I don't see Hillary offering anything that would make the public look beyond not liking her.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-69435650230093691342015-10-07T10:11:21.682-04:002015-10-07T10:11:21.682-04:00It really isn't about liking or not likely Hil...It really isn't about liking or not likely Hillary personally. A few "grandma holding her grand daughter" moments would do.Her real problem and only problem is that no one trusts her at all. Seriously, she had her answer when pollsters asked people to use one word to describe each candidate. And for Hillary, that word was consistently <b>"Liar"</b>. If people trusted her at all, "humanizing" her would be fairly easy. <br /><br />I never like Mayor Bloomberg at all, but I trusted him.BevfromNYChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14953050916932306270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-25444294600517462702015-10-07T09:51:04.334-04:002015-10-07T09:51:04.334-04:00My comment comes from caveat land, which is hopefu...My comment comes from caveat land, which is hopefully not a real place. I don't see it as impossible for an unlikable candidate to get elected, but they need two things, neither of which Hillary has. 1) They need to conspicuously exhibit competencies that over shadow their likability shortcomings. 2) They need an electorate that is primed to make such a choice. <br /><br />Nothing more needs to be said regarding Hillary and the first point. On the second point, I don't see that landscape shifting in a single election cycle. Obama was elected almost purely on his likability, and re-elected on largely the same. Every president in my lifetime has been elected foremost on being more amiable than the other guy. I know that trend goes at least as far back as JFK v. Nixon--every media-studies student knows about the radio v. TV debates. And Hillary has been playing the same game until about a week ago.<br /><br />It would take a lot of time and effort to change voters' attitudes and criteria for selecting a president away from celebrity and toward ability, but it could happen. However, such a shift is impossible on Hillary's time scale. tryanmaxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09881154741574720094noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-44905413164357234762015-10-07T09:24:38.215-04:002015-10-07T09:24:38.215-04:00Thanks Anthony! That is the wildcard.Thanks Anthony! That is the wildcard.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-27048956023749287012015-10-07T09:22:38.645-04:002015-10-07T09:22:38.645-04:00Bob, I couldn't agree more. I don't know ...Bob, I couldn't agree more. I don't know any men (and very few women) who like her because she comes across as shrill, abusive, and super unpleasant. She is like the stereotypical school teacher in films who despises the children and the staff and is abusive to the film hero and his janitor friend. She cackles and lectures and says things like "I'll get you Harry Potter, if it's the last thing I do!"<br /><br />A lot of women seem to like her because of the veneer of being a professional woman "who made it on her own." But the reality is quite different. She is the ultimate coattail clinger and her attempts to do anything herself have failed miserably.<br /><br />All of that combines to create the Hillary we see now, who cannot connect with the public.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-55033079723624809672015-10-07T09:10:31.427-04:002015-10-07T09:10:31.427-04:00Kit, I think this is a pretty unique strategy beca...Kit, I think this is a pretty unique strategy because no one I can recall has run for office while seeming as unpleasant as Hillary, nor have they tried as many different way to get people to ignore the problem.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6251675227852122352.post-61597764465668301122015-10-07T09:09:01.417-04:002015-10-07T09:09:01.417-04:00LL, I'm not sure if she checked it or not.
Wh...LL, I'm not sure if she checked it or not.<br /><br />What happened is she gave an interview with Lena Dunham in the hopes of seeming relevant to Millenials. During the interview, Dunham asked a bunch of inane questions including asking whether or not Hillary saw Kravitz's wardrobe malfunction in which you can apparently see his Johnson. Hillary says she missed that. Dunham then asked if she would be interested in seeing Kravitz's Johnson and Hillary says she would. Dunham then tells her it's available on youtube and Hillary says she will check it out.<br /><br />I think this was meant to make her seem funny or cool, but it comes across as lecherous and weird.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.com