I'm going to make some educated guesses and tell you what those will mean when they come true. Enjoy your look into the future!
Rough estimates.
● Biden will claim this is a tremendous victory which means he's back and still the front runner. But this changes nothing because he was supposed to win this state in a big way. Basically, the expectations damn him: if he wins, it's expected... if he doesn't win by enough, he's seen as a loser. In other words, he can't win. So he'll claim victory but the narrative will collapse within hours -- certainly by the first poll to show him coming in fourth in some Super Tuesday state.
● This will confirm that Warren is finished. She'll hang on just long enough to lose her home state of Massachusetts and then put her campaign to sleep -- interestingly, I don't think she will quit because the lack of a clear moderate winner lets her hope for a brokered convention. She will stop campaigning though because she actually has no choice as apparently she's out of money.
● Amy is out of cash and out of states where professional, single white women can control an election. Look for her to unofficially stop campaigning while praying for a Super Tuesday shock victory to keep her alive. It's not coming though, and her campaign ends after Super Tuesday. I think she quits rather than hibernates.
● Bloomberg confirms that money can't buy you love, but he won't quit. He's hoping for a brokered convention. He can't attract women, teachers, antiSemites, or blacks though, and these are the pillars of the Democratic Party.
● Buttguy will now face serious doubts that he can reach black voters and southern voters... neither of whom like gay little white boys. The thing is, he's the only moderate left standing and most Democratic voters live in the big coastal states where gays are more acceptable. So I think he does well on Super Tuesday and comes out as the anti-Bernie candidate. He will be dogged by blacks and feminists refusing to support him, however, and this may make those voters even more likely not to support him.
● Sanders. What to say about Bernie? He'll call it a tremendous victory in a state where he wasn't supposed to win. But this result will actually show tremendous weakness. It means he's not attracting blacks. It means the college kids who are supposed to lift him up didn't show up. It means he's a lot better in caucuses than primaries -- his supporters are still trying to call Nevada a decisive victory, but it's just a caucus result. Super Tuesday is likely to be a big disappoinment to him, and while the MSM will call him the strong, clear winner in Carolina, this result will bode poorly for Super Tuesday as it shows a ceiling for his support even as a supposed runaway front-runner.
● Ultimately, South Carolina will bring more confusion than anything. While I think it confirms that Warren and Amy are finished, they won't quit yet. It will give false hope to Biden. It will give doubt (doubt=weakness) to Buttguy. The media will sell it as a Bernie victory, but the reality is that it will show that he's weak. All that weakness will encourage them all to stay in much longer than they should, which increases the odds of a brokered convention.
● BTW, the talk of Michelle Obama being made VP is just pandering to blacks, no one is serious about it. And the talk of Sherrod Brown being picked as a savoir is the kind of thing that always happens at this point in primaries and means nothing. This is their field and that's not changing.
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South Carolina Results
51% Biden
37% Sanders
4% Fauxcahontas
3.9% Bloomberg
3.8% Bland Amy
7 votes Buttguy
Rough estimates.
● Biden will claim this is a tremendous victory which means he's back and still the front runner. But this changes nothing because he was supposed to win this state in a big way. Basically, the expectations damn him: if he wins, it's expected... if he doesn't win by enough, he's seen as a loser. In other words, he can't win. So he'll claim victory but the narrative will collapse within hours -- certainly by the first poll to show him coming in fourth in some Super Tuesday state.
● This will confirm that Warren is finished. She'll hang on just long enough to lose her home state of Massachusetts and then put her campaign to sleep -- interestingly, I don't think she will quit because the lack of a clear moderate winner lets her hope for a brokered convention. She will stop campaigning though because she actually has no choice as apparently she's out of money.
● Amy is out of cash and out of states where professional, single white women can control an election. Look for her to unofficially stop campaigning while praying for a Super Tuesday shock victory to keep her alive. It's not coming though, and her campaign ends after Super Tuesday. I think she quits rather than hibernates.
● Bloomberg confirms that money can't buy you love, but he won't quit. He's hoping for a brokered convention. He can't attract women, teachers, antiSemites, or blacks though, and these are the pillars of the Democratic Party.
● Buttguy will now face serious doubts that he can reach black voters and southern voters... neither of whom like gay little white boys. The thing is, he's the only moderate left standing and most Democratic voters live in the big coastal states where gays are more acceptable. So I think he does well on Super Tuesday and comes out as the anti-Bernie candidate. He will be dogged by blacks and feminists refusing to support him, however, and this may make those voters even more likely not to support him.
● Sanders. What to say about Bernie? He'll call it a tremendous victory in a state where he wasn't supposed to win. But this result will actually show tremendous weakness. It means he's not attracting blacks. It means the college kids who are supposed to lift him up didn't show up. It means he's a lot better in caucuses than primaries -- his supporters are still trying to call Nevada a decisive victory, but it's just a caucus result. Super Tuesday is likely to be a big disappoinment to him, and while the MSM will call him the strong, clear winner in Carolina, this result will bode poorly for Super Tuesday as it shows a ceiling for his support even as a supposed runaway front-runner.
● Ultimately, South Carolina will bring more confusion than anything. While I think it confirms that Warren and Amy are finished, they won't quit yet. It will give false hope to Biden. It will give doubt (doubt=weakness) to Buttguy. The media will sell it as a Bernie victory, but the reality is that it will show that he's weak. All that weakness will encourage them all to stay in much longer than they should, which increases the odds of a brokered convention.
● BTW, the talk of Michelle Obama being made VP is just pandering to blacks, no one is serious about it. And the talk of Sherrod Brown being picked as a savoir is the kind of thing that always happens at this point in primaries and means nothing. This is their field and that's not changing.