Thursday, July 23, 2020

Our First Racist President

Joe Biden claims that Trump is our "first racist President." Ha. First, let's be clear. Most of the originals actually were racists. Some were even involved in the slave trade. In fact, the reason smelly white liberal protestors are tearing down statues -- other than trying to exploit the issue of race to bolster their hopes of achieving socialism -- is ostensibly that they were all racists. I guess Joe hasn't been paying attention.

But let's look at recent history, because I'm sure that's what he meant. If the Democrats are being truthful, then Richard Nixon was racist. Ronald Reagan was racist. George Bush senior was racist. Bob Dole was racist. George Bush Jr. was racist. John McCain was racist. Mitt Romney was racist.

So what is Biden trying to say? Were they lying about the others? Do Democrats as a matter of course accuse Republicans of being racist because that's what turns out the black vote?

Apparently.

So how do we know this isn't just Biden lying about Trump?

"Women's" groups lied about him raping women to upset single, liberal white women.
Hispanic groups lied about him wanting to deport every Hispanic to upset leftist Hispanic voters.
Gay groups lied about him rounding up gays in death camps to upset gays.

So why should we believe this whopper?

In fact, let's be honest. The first openly racist President I recall is Barack Obama... and Joe Biden worked for him.
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Saturday, July 18, 2020

Not Great News

So, I had the chance to visit the hospital today. I punched a palm-sized hole in the back of my calf and I had to visit the wound clinic. Very painful. Go figure. Anyways, what I found at the hospital was a little worrying. They've laid off about half their staff. Hmm. Let's discuss.

When I got to the hospital, it struck me how empty the parking lot was. I figured it was just early, but it really wasn't. I used the valet, which I always do, but which is the only option right now. I know these people pretty well because I tend to talk to everyone and some of them love to chat. So we caught up on old times.

They told me that about half the nonmedical staff got laid off. Most of the valets got laid off and those who remain work about 20 hours a week instead of 40. Inside, I ran into a couple nurses I know from the wound clinic. They were checking temperatures at the front door. Again, I stopped and we chatted. They told me the hospital has laid off half the nurses as well, with many more having their hours slashed, and they gotten rid of a number of doctors. The one nurse said that this was the first time since February that she'd actually had a 40 hour week. The other went three months without working. I even came across a room where they stored a ton of modern computer gear which the nurses wheel around, suggesting massive cuts.

Hmm.

Why? Well, it turns out that there are several causes. First, the hospital used Covid as an excuse to cut things that were never all that profitable. In the past, I guess, they didn't want to be seen as lacking services and now they don't care, so they slashed away. Similarly, after buying up every practice in town when Obamacare came out, they are now outsourcing everything. Third, a lot of patients stopped coming for anything that isn't really serious, making the problem worse.

What worries me are two things. First, the lesson from Covid was that we were unprepared for the unexpected. We simply did not have enough capacity for anything more than ordinary care. The solution was obvious: build excess capacity into the system. The hospital's response is the opposite. It cut capacity and slashed its facilities to the bone to save money and raise profit. If there is a serious emergency now, having this big pretty hospital will provide pointless because its hollow. That's not good -- and I suspect medicine isn't the only field that is doing this either. Part of this I put on the ownership of the hospital, who are entirely about the bottom line and being as profitable as possible. Law firms act like this. It doesn't matter if you make money for them, you need to make enough money to justify their time. Apparently, hospitals are going to this model.

I also put this on the political class who continue to regulate the hell out of hospitals but have done nothing to require increased capacity and fund it. Unfortunately, I think this shows that the powers-that-be do not have the public's interests at heart... or just aren't that smart.

The other thing that worries me is the depressed activity. If people are skipping medical needs out of fear or finance, then times are much worse than they seem. On the surface, things seem to be running nearly normally again around here, but this suggests that's an illusion. I'm curious what you all are seeing where you are at? Are things quasi-normal or is that an illusion?

Finally, while I'm in the process of giving bad news, something I have long feared is proving true: there will be no vaccine. It's turning out that the antibodies created by having Covid don't last long enough to give meaningful immunity. All you get is a couple months at the most. That means this thing won't be going away, even after most people have had it. Backing this up, follow the money and you'll see that most of the drug companies have gone from working on cures/vaccines to figuring out how to treat the symptoms. That's not good.

Ultimately, I think we will have to accept that this thing will stay with us or we're going to have to do something more drastic. I guess we'll see.

Thoughts?
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Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Leftists Murder Blacks In Paradise

Irony, thy name is leftist.

Get this. Leftist thugs set up a cop free zone in Seattle. The cops are racist killers of young black men, so we cannot trust them. Enter a group of enlightened leftists to build a brave new world, a paradise, in the heart of Seattle... and let the irony begin.

First, there is this hilarious fact: the leftists chose a gay neighborhood to conquer. As always, leftists (1) soil their own nests and (2) impose their crap on the people they claim to represent. So what was once a gay neighborhood full of a whole bunch of likely leftists doing leftist things and protesting leftist things and whining about leftist things suddenly had a leftist security zone imposed on them.

Imagine that.

Secondly, let’s be under no illusions. This is planet of the apes. These sh*ts didn’t set up some hippy commune of beads, love, pot and essential oils. Hardly. They moved in with “automatic” weapons and imposed warlord like control and a total breakdown of civilization. This is complete with roving gangs of armed thugs demanding tribute from locals and store owners, chasing off journalists and other observers, and imposing control rather violently apparently. Crime is out of control and these gangs will simply take what they want from the denizens. The people living there are living in fear and danger.

Sounds lovely.

The “racist” world these people were forced to give up was one with a multiracial police force who were trained to handle almost all situations nonviolently. They had rules designed to protect all citizens, including the accused. They protected people selflessly and without charge or discrimination. They had oversight. The non-racist world they have now is one of terror, survival of the fittest, imposition of will through violence, and danger. They’ve gone from a first world land with first world problems to the kind of sh*thole you see on the news when some warlord seizes some territory in Africa or a Brazilian slum.

There have been four killings in this tiny zone in the past two weeks, making it probably the per capita most dangerous area in the United States, excluding New York where murder is surging 70% in the name of nonracist liberty. I guess you gotta kill a few black people to save a few black people?

Last night, young black males approached a barricade meant to keep out the cops. How did the protectors of this leftist paradise respond? No doubt with love in their hearts and non-racist, non-violent accommodation, right? Yeah, right. No, they shot them.

Yup. They killed one and wounded the other. Ironically, both individuals were teens – 14 and 16 years old, and black. Huh. How do you think BLM or other leftists would have responded if these had been cops who shot two young black teens for no clear reason... or any reason? You know how. You've been seeing it in the news. Instead, there's silence.

Apparently, as we knew, black lives don’t really matter, unless they are killed by the wrong people. Once again, you can sum up leftist principle with a quote from The Wild Bunch: “It doesn’t matter what you did, it matters who you did it to.”

The final piece of irony, the police are investigating this as homicide, because it is. They have already commented that the leftist on scene have rearranged the scene to try to hide what really happened. Yup. Instead of investigating and punishing those responsible, these idiots tried to cover it up.

So let’s sum up:

1. Leftist want a cop-free paradise where racist cops can’t kill anyone.
2. They impose a warlord world on a gay neighborhood and rule with guns and violence.
3. They censor the media through violence.
4. They let four people get murdered.
5. Their security forces kill one young black male and shoot another in claims of false self-defense.
6. They cover up their actions.

And the left remains silent.

Imagine that.
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Sunday, June 14, 2020

The Floyd "Movement" Has Failed

Let’s talk about race, shall we? If you’re squeamish, look away.

I would assume that, right now, many of you are sitting around wondering what the hell is happening to the world. Things seems to be insane. Angry mobs of blacks are looting stores. Angier mobs of white college-age kids are taking over city blocks. People are tearing down statutes and demanding the elimination of police departments. It’s like a festival for evil people going unchecked. Corporations are dropping to their knees in front of it. The media is reveling in it.

And I would bet that many of you feel pretty depressed about this. It seems that America’s promise of a better tomorrow is dead. America’s promise of freedom is finished. America is about to become a socialized race-based state that crushes the individual in the name of protecting black thugs, right?

It is depressing. I find it very depressing. I hate turning on the news or the internet. But it’s not true. Honestly. This is all a delusion presented by leftists who don’t understand they’ve already lost. This is a progressive tantrum that is confined to progressive areas. It is leftists exploiting blacks, but it’s without purpose. It is progressives talking to progressives, we’re just stuck listening to it.

Honestly. Trust me, it’s D.O.A.

First, Floyd was murdered. That is true. His death was sickening. Even worse, it was pointless. To understand why, realize that all the movements in history that have changed society have succeeded because they projected an undeniable argument that they were morally right and the people opposing them were oppressors. What’s more, they had a clear goal: give us equality. This was true of the Civil Rights Movement, Gandhi, the abolitionist movement, women’s right to vote, and even gay marriage. Each of these had moral right on their side and a clear, undeniably correct goal. Without this, you cannot change the world... even by force.

If blacks had marched peacefully through the streets after Floyd’s death and could point out how something society condones had caused Floyd’s death, they would have won without a fight. Guaranteed. But that isn’t what happened.

Instead, an army of ghetto blacks rushed out and started looting. They saw Floyd’s death as an opportunity. That destroyed the moral high ground and killed any chance this thing had of turning into something positive. What’s more, when more rational blacks did turn out, they had no genuine goal. They could point to nothing society had done wrong. Nothing. Society didn’t support the cop. Society was appalled, and reacted correctly. The cops were arrested swiftly and immediately charged with a crime. People were outraged. They wanted an investigation to make sure this never happened again. What more could you want? Nothing and that was the next problem.

So the black-left jumped in with “society needs to stop hunting black men,” but that’s bullshit. That’s been proven. If society hunted black men, there would be a wall of names of the innocent. There isn’t. Instead, you have a handful of innocents in isolated incidents over the past several years. So what did they want? They had no idea. Do you know it took Yahoo four days to find someone with a list of demands? You can’t win when no one knows what you want.

Then it got stupid(er).

The white-left saw this as an opportunity. Antifa showed up and started fighting cops. Every white leftist with an agenda showed up and claimed “Now is the time for me!” In fact, I knew they were in trouble the minute leftist sports writers jumped up to declare Floyd's death meant it was time to change the name of the Redskins and rework the labor deal! That was a terrible sign for the left. It meant they were going into exploitation mode. Screw those blacks people, this is about my issue!! Next, the gays jumped in because “Stonewall was a riot too!” One celebrity actually came out as bisexual in her post supporting BLM. Really? Enter the narcissists. And so on.

This was obviously a disaster pending. And my judgment proved right, too. How do I know? The biggest thing is that no Democrats joined the “movement.” They saw the rioting and knew they couldn’t touch this thing with a ten foot pole. In fact, they knew it was so bad they went so far as to try to claim the rioting was the result of white, racists. Ridiculous. They saw the circus forming and stepped away. Then the left came up with Defund the Police and the Democrats actually openly opposed this. They knew this was batshit crazy and they were doomed if they endorsed this.

Want proof the Democrats ran? Ask yourself, have the Democrats proposed a single thing to change anything? No. The tiny sliver they’ve done is propose to eliminate a few Confederate statutes. That’s all. Liberal Minnesota is about to change its police force to a kinder, gentler police force... form over substance. A few military base names will be changed. But that’s it. When even the Democrats won’t support you, you know the public is not behind this.

Blacks knew they had failed too. How do we know? They started writing angry “Hey white woman!” articles blaming white women for not supporting them. When you turn on your allies, that’s a great sign you know you’ve lost. It also tells us that white women did not engage.

But what about corporations? They joined up, right? Hardly.

Nike went with BLM... in the marketing channels it uses to reach blacks. It’s telling a very different story in the marketing channel it uses to reach suburban white women. Starbucks actually refused to allow BLM buttons to be worn until a couple days ago, and then only because white nerves are calming and Starbucks had a racial profiling scandal that it wanted forgotten. Amazon’s Jeff Bezos issued a rebuke of a (fake) email he received from an angry white woman in which he wittily lectures her about why blacks are upset. That means something, right? Yup. It means his PR team told him the needed to make up for their horrible Covid PR. Beyond that, all they've done is recommend some movies about blacks.

All the other corporations I’ve seen have generally issued noncommittal “we like diversity but we like safety too” statements. One exception, a lingerie company my wife likes, sent out a pro-BLM statement and I sent back, “So will you be shutting down the child-labor sweatshops where you buy your crap?” and they’ve been desperately sending me discount offers ever since... whoops.

A lot of the celebrities who’ve been involved in this had screwed up and needed good PR: Harry and Meghan, the girl from the college admissions scandal, a couple of celebrities who got caught in racist scandals or anti-union scandals. Etc. The rest are just the usual leftist suspects from #metoo.

The NFL, which like Nike markets to whites and blacks through different channels, has agreed to let their black Nazis oppress other blacks for not speaking up and will allow them to kneel. But that’s the only change they’ve actually made. They talk to whites about Covid. The NBA was already BLM and still is.

The rest of society said nothing. There are no new initiatives. No foundations. No grandiose announcements. No changes in advertising. This thing is done.

So what’s still driving the issue? Celebrities. With no Democrats getting involved, this cabal of leftist celebrities got the chance to run free and they have. These are allies you don’t want, but they don’t get that. So even if blacks were making progress, this would hurt them. But at this point, I’m not sure there are even blacks involved.

In fact, the media noticed a “change in atmosphere” about a week ago that so many of the “BLM protestors are white!” They thought that meant racial solidarity and progress had arrived. It didn’t. It meant blacks went home and what the media is seeing is white anarchists pushing an agenda of violence without purpose in the name of blacks. They are taking over areas in big liberal cities where they know the cops will let them and they are using Floyd to push gay issues, anticapitalism issues, down with Jews, free drugs, man... etc.

In the end, this is Occupy Wall Street in the streets all over again with #metoo in the gossip columns. It’s a small group of professional whiners led by celebrities who have no idea how badly they are despised or how little they will achieve, all protected by a media but with no influence with the public.

So what will blacks get out of this? Frustration. Their problems are not the result of whites. Their problems are their paranoia and victim-wannabe mentality. Their ostensible allies, white women, sat this out. Their political arm, the Democrats, sat this out. And while the media is selling them dreams of a nebulous victory or a return to respected-victim status, the public isn’t buying it. Nothing will change and they will continue their slow descent to the bottom.

The left isn’t getting anything either. This is just a party and it will end when they get bored.

Will this help or hurt Trump? Ultimately, I think it helps a little. It helps because Biden has looked so ineffective that I think this costs him young black support. It helps Trump too because this drives a slightly bigger wedge between white women and angry blacks, two groups already breaking apart. I think it also solidifies whites in Trump’s favor. In some ways, this is 1968 all over again.

There’s more to say, but I didn’t want to leave you hanging. Just realize that this is all ultimately meaningless because the left can't control itself.

Thoughts?
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Wednesday, June 3, 2020

Update... Article Coming

I'm working on the next article. It's slow going though because I'm ultra-swamped by clients wanting work. In the meantime, let me leave you with this because I know many are worried or annoyed or whatnot....
This whole race riot is pure theater. It will achieve nothing.
I'll explain more in the article. For now, know that America is safe. Nothing will change.
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Friday, May 29, 2020

"I Don't Know If Her Life Needed To Be Torn Apart"

Let's talk about this woman in New York City. I think there are several interesting aspects to this that people are missing.

Before I start, a quick aside on Minnesota. I think it's horrible Floyd died. I honestly don't understand why the guy who killed him did it, how he could not have known what he was doing, and how he couldn't bring himself to stop. This guy was not faced with a life threatening situation. This was not an instantaneous response where bad judgment can happen. This was seven or eight minutes of negligence or indifference. I suspect he will be sent away for murder. I'm not alone in this either as I see a lot of cops are saying the same thing. That said... the rioting turns this from a tragedy into something far more grotesque. The rioting is exploitive and animalistic. It is what perpetuates the problem. Also, the celebrities taking easy shots to show their wokeness can go f*ck themselves. It's sickening and pathetic to use an incident like this for self-promotion and that is what you creatures are doing.

Anyways...

On the New York thing, for those who don't know, a woman was walking her dog without a leash in Central Park when a black man who was bird watching told her she needed to put the dog on a leash. She freaked out and accused him of threatening her. Then she called the cops. They did the right thing and did nothing.

This was all recorded and hit the news. The woman, who is an investment banker, was promptly fired. She's since been whining that this is unfairly destroying her life. They even, apparently, repo'd her rescue dog. The black dude has since said he feels "uncomfortable" about her life being destroyed: "I don't know if her life needed to be torn apart."

My thoughts...

First, let's start with the second most interesting piece of this to me: this woman is clearly a liberal. In fact, she fits the profile perfectly. Big city, single, white professional woman. That's a liberal, guaranteed. Yet, the media never mentions this. Why? Because the reality seems to be that it's ALWAYS liberals who are behind racism. All the blackface stuff, which just came up with Jimmy Fallon again, was liberals. It's liberal white professional women calling the cops on black men in parks. It's gay liberal white men and white male "artists" calling the cops on blacks in apartment buildings (that happened this week again too: "you can't be a tenant... your skin is brown!"). It's big liberal cities where cops keep getting in trouble for killing black men. Did you think Minnesota is a bastion of conservatism? The #metoo movement targets were almost all liberal men in Hollywood, theater and the news media. The examples are endless, and it's always liberals. Isn't that interesting?

That said, the most interesting issue comes up with the idea that this poor woman's world is being "unfairly" destroyed. Is it really unfair? Put aside the racism question. Now ask yourself, what exactly did she do wrong? Well, I'll tell you. This woman was annoyed at a man who pointed out that she was in violation of the park's rules. Her response was to place a call to the police and lie to them in a way which, if believed, could have locked this man away for a very long time. See any echoes of the false rape claim epidemic? There is a sickness in the world of single women where some small percentage of them think nothing of leveling false allegations of crimes as a tool of getting even. They are essentially the female version of rapists... it's about power, not sex, so is this. They see the system as a tool of vengeance. The whole #metoo movement really laid this bare with the bullsh*t allegations so many of these women made and the life-ending punishments they wanted imposed on their victims for "crimes" as nonexistent as "being creepy." This woman did the same damn thing and the only reason that isn't more obvious is that the media wants to spin this as generic-public-racism rather than seeing it for what it is: feminist-liberal-predatory allegation making.

This is something much sicker than it is being made to appear.

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Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Some Good News

There is some good and interesting news out recently.

First, apparently so few people have been dying from accidents in the past two months that organ transplants aren't happening because they can't get enough organs. So while a lot of people have died from the virus, a lot have apparently been saved. Interesting world. In terms of death, we are still only about 15 days worth of death in the US.

Secondly, despite the media trying to sell the idea that the US is the worst at everything and trying to lay the blame at Trump's doorstep, the reality is that on a per capita basis, the US is nowhere near as bad as other European countries (there's no comparison to sh*thole countries because I suspect they are all much worse). In fact, eight European countries rank worse than we do on a per capita basis. The same has always been true with other ways to die too (like prenatal and heart attack stuff), but the media likes to skew the numbers to make us look bad. Plus, the Euros often lie about their numbers to look better. So much for "transparency."

Third, despite a pre-open surge in cases in red states which the media dutifully presented as being caused by the rushed reopening of those states, it seems that the number of new infections is falling in red states... and rising in blue. Imagine that.

Fourth, the media is doing their damndest to destroy Andrew Cuomo right now. Not sure why, but that's a good thing. I think he came out of this very popular and with strong leadership credentials... and now they are tearing those apart. In fact, they have been openly blaming him for turning New York into a disaster. Keep it coming, idiots! Eat your own.

Fifth, these guys protesting that they donts need to wears no mahhsks are assholes. They are not heroes. Don't be like them. Wearing a mask is courteous to the people around you.

Sixth, Biden just gets worse and worse day by day. He comes across right now like he's hiding in some basement shooting off crazy gaffes about random things and he's spending his days fighting with nobodies. His numbers suggest he's going to lose too. And picking the Governor of Michigan as his running mate is suicidal. She's proven to be the least qualified woman in the field right now. Not to mention, he needs a black chick or he won't get black turnout.

I hope you are all well and healthy. Summer is coming!
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Monday, May 11, 2020

Stuck Thinking

I saw an article the other day that really shows why our political world is such a mess. Tryanmax pointed out the same article in the comments as well. The article didn't involve politicians, but it was pure politics of the worst kind. The article involved the Los Angeles Times suddenly discovering what I told you a long time ago, that Coronavirus began among the glitterati but of course they spun it. And the comments were no better.

As I pointed out some weeks ago, a lot of evidence made me think that Coronavirus started as a celebrity disease. First, there were the hugely disproportionate number of celebrities who had it. At a time when almost no one had it -- and probably no one you knew -- it seemed that massive numbers of celebrities and journalists had it. Huge numbers of actors, singers, and journalists seemed to have it. High profile lawyers. Heads of companies. But few common people. In fact, let's assume that 3 million Americans have it today. That equates to less than 1% of the population... 1 in 100. Yet, I can name dozens upon dozens of celebrities who have it. I would guess that maybe 10-20% of the celebrities and journalists I know have it. That's impossible if this was random sample.

I also showed how the infection rate in Aspen, a town of celebrities, was over 100 times higher than other towns. I pointed out that it was spreading among rich skiers and other wealthy travelers, that New York City was the epicenter and that much of it seemed to be passing from coast to coast without stopping in flyover country. Recently, I've seen articles which suggest that it was running wild around the Sundance Festival, which might be where this thing really hit the celebrity world in the first place. There are studies too now claiming that 60% of the infected people were directly infected by traveling New Yorkers. So everything I saw is slowly starting to be seen as true.

The Los Angeles Times is finally on the case. Hence, the article in question.

But here's the thing. The LA Times spun the article. Rather than putting together what I did, and discussing how Covid spread among celebrities, who spread it to their various home areas and friends, it has lumped them all together as "rich." There was no mention of celebrities or journalists. It did mention the skiing thing but that was about it. All it did was call them "rich travelers."

Why do this?

Notice that this avoids the unpleasantness of identifying the true carriers, which were elite liberal celebrities. Instead, it shifts the blame to "the rich," which is dog whistle code to the left for "evil conservative white businessmen who want to kill innocent brown people." In fact, the article doesn't even explore how this worked in the US because that might lead to uncomfortable questions. Instead, it jumps to poor brown countries (Mexico specifically) and it blames rich international travelers for the spread. In other words, the problem was rich, white American businessmen spreading this stuff to poor, hardworking brown people in ghettos.

If you want to stop the spread of something, you need to know how it started, how it spread, and where it could have been stopped. Knowing that a bunch of leftist a-holes got it being smug at Sundance and then spread it around to their friends would help. That lets you trace a lot of things which help explain the disease's evolution and toxicity and everything. Yet, the good leftists at the Times can't put their politics aside. They needed to spin this interesting discovery into a race/class war issue and did so by misidentifying the key facts. This is the left refusing to see facts as they are and being doubly blinded by ideology.

Unfortunately, the comments were no better. Rather than pointing out the inaccuracies, half the comments were conspiracy theories... 5G is under my bed!!... and the other half were reflexive defenses of "the rich." Thus, they all dismissed the few interesting facts of the article as propaganda. Ironically, if the writers had called them "Hollywood" instead of the rich, then the commenters would have taken all of this as true, but then the article writers would have been dismissed as right wing kooks.

This is the problem with our political system today. There's nobody rational or truthful in it. It's all about lies and dogma, enemies, and idiots shouting idiocy and myth at each other, and that makes our current system uniquely unfit to meet any challenge where information is important.
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Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Good and Bad

So Colorado is basically open again and here are my impressions.

First, the amount of traffic is basically back to normal. Sadly. Most everything is open, though most businesses have maintained some safety rules. Costco actually added a requirement that you wear a mask now -- that wasn't true here last week. They also limit meat purchases to 3 items total (got some pork belly for the smoker! Yum!) to prevent hoarding with the coming meat shortage.

This tells me two things...

(1) The idea that the economy is going to turn back on and skyrocket back to near where it had been may be valid. I was expecting something much more tepid this week and we basically got full speed ahead. Just try getting into Home Depot, for example! This likely means that most people will get their jobs back and most smaller businesses will survive.

On that point, I saw an estimate that 60% of restaurants might close. That would be a huge victory actually, since 90%+ are doomed in the best of times. Airlines are doomed though.

(2) Some of the safety precautions will stay with us until this thing is cured and then some. Businesses clearly are worried about getting sued (and presumably their employees' health). So look for the easy stuff to continue. Costco actually took out a huge section of junk food so they could do social distancing at the checkout lines.

Secondly, the dipsh*ts are back. Up to now, most of the people who have been out have been pretty smart. They've worn masks and didn't touch their eyes or noses and have been polite but cautious. Even if they weren't personally concerned, they were being courteous to others. In the last two days, though, I've seen a different sort emerge. These are people going around without masks, touching everything, and bumping into people. They are whining about the old folks hours set up by various stores and bragging about how they ain't no scared of no virus. Their behavior suggests the spike in cases will be higher than expected. On the plus side, the people most likely to get it at this point deserve it. Stay cautious folks until these people are out of the way.

Speaking of idiots, some Republican Congressman is refusing to wear a mask for religious grounds. What a tard. God does not suffer fools, so why do fools always use God as their excuse for their own stupidity? Does the Bible really have a catchall in it somewhere that says "insert your idiocy here?" No... it doesn't. For the record, nowhere does the Bible (or any other religious book) ever say that you cannot wear a mask or protect yourself from a plague.

Finally, as an interesting aside, I have a cousin in Germany who gets news on the US. It's interesting to hear what he's been told. Apparently, the Germans have been told that things in the US are a real mess, with vast numbers dead, empty grocery store shelves, everyone unemployed, and all around chaos. We have the worst infection rate, worst death rates, whites killing blacks, doctors killing themselves, and our government is fiddling as New York burns. That's the picture the media paints of us in its purest form. Liars.
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Thursday, April 30, 2020

The Economy Will Surprise

I am really wondering about the economy. The assumption is that this is like the Great Depression and it will take forever for us to get out of it. The more I think about it, the more likely it is that the economy is going to rebound surprisingly fast. Here's why.

Let's start with this: political "experts" are predicting the end of the world. Unemployment will last forever. After all we just shut down 40% of the economy. Unemployment has never been so high... not since the Obama years! Most unemployed people can do better on unemployment! The money the government is pouring out will cause Weimar Germany-like hyperinflation. There are breadlines. Shortages! We must accept that we will all be poor from now on.

But is any of that true? Not really.

(1) I've told you before there will be no inflation. The reason is the extra money the government is pumping out just fills in missing demand, i.e. we do not have more money suddenly chasing too few goods. Hence, no inflation. The dollar won't fall either because all governments are doing this, so everyone falls equally, meaning no one falls. I had been worried about deflation as too many good chase too few dollars, but demand hasn't fallen much and merchants are being incredibly stubborn about maintaining their prices. Even all the fire sales you see are pure marketing. So forget those ideas. Condition normal.

(2) But unemployment, right? Actually, I don't think so. The jobs that have been lost haven't been "lost" in the traditional sense. Normally, jobs vanish because demand vanishes or substitutes appear. That means they are gone forever because the economy no longer wants them. What's happened here is different. Those jobs have been put on hold. But the economy still wants those services. So once we lift the hold, I suspect most of these companies bounce right back and the jobs with them.

(3) Further, this may sound cruel but it's true: these companies and their jobs have never been stable companies, so this isn't something our economy has never digested before. Indeed, these companies exist largely in the tourism and food services industry. Companies in those industries implode in the mid-90% rate. So even if 100% of them failed now -- which they won't -- I suspect they will be replaced by the natural business cycle as they normally would have been. In other words, their failure and replacement is a natural process and would have happened anyways. So while this sounds like a disaster, it is a natural process that goes on normally, we just don't see it.

Also, I'm seeing some interesting ideas out of the strong players, i.e. the companies that have proven to survive over time already. For example, there's an Italian restaurant downtown which has survived for years. They are now selling home-cook kits and they are showing you online every Wednesday how to cook the kit. Clever. Ideas like that will make these people stronger when they do open again. Curbside service will too... more customers using the same resources.

(4) But the jobs are gone, right? No. They come back instantly when the companies come back. It's like someone pressed pause and then pressed start. If this thing lasts a year, that won't be true, but lasting only two months, without the economy reshuffling leaves everything in place for things to go right back to where they were, i.e. leases weren't lost, equipment wasn't sold, employees didn't disperse. That strongly suggests that things may largely go right back to the way they were. Moreover, there should even be new jobs as the "new normal" (I hate that idiotic phrase) will be more labor intensive because of safety precautions. That means people whose jobs do not come back may be able to find new jobs more easily.

(5) But they can do better on unemployment? Hardly. Unemployment sucks, and no one is getting it. Moreover, these people work in industries with massive turn over. They are used to job hopping. These are not engineers who freak out about getting laid off and in their depression won't take anything but an equivalent job. Most of these people will likely go right back to the way things were without missing a beat.

There will be more bankruptcies, that is true. But the companies who lose in bankruptcy are not particularly sympathetic. These tend to be bottom-feeder credit card companies who know they are taking a risk and payday loan people who are despicable thieves. Neither is unprepared for this and neither really contributes to the economy. Landlords might get hit too, but again, that is not the most stable of income producing businesses (as rental space has high non-occupancy rates) and they should be able to withstand some unpaid rent. And again, they are not an economic producer, nor is the property lost to the economy... it will be rented out again.

There are some industries that will be hurt. Airlines, hotels, and tourist attractions will hurt in the short term. Buffets will need to get creative. Nursing homes seem doomed. But at the same time, consumers seem happy to redirect their dollars to other industries which means no overall economic loss, which is how the economy has always functioned from caveman days to the present. There will be some shifting and the media will play up ever lost job, just as they did under Reagan, but the overall result should be a wash. Said differently, I'm not seeing a depression or even a recession.

You?
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Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Leftist Whining

So, uh, leftists... amiright?

(1) Racism, racism, racism. Black people die from coronavirus in greater percentages than whites. It has nothing to do with diabetes from bad diets, not taking care of themselves because the black community is "suspicious" of doctors, or the fact the massive house party that got busted in Chicago this weekend was several hundred blacks packed chest to chest without a single mask. No. That's all irrelevant. It's racism.

(2) Mexicans in California are dying at a higher percentage than whites of coronavirus. It can't be poor diet or prexisting conditions resulting from the putrid healthcare system in Mexico... no, it's racism and "economic conditions." Yup, coronavirus does an income check before it strikes.

(3) Men are more likely to die from coronavirus than women, making coronavirus sexist against women. Uh.

(4) Believe women. Truth. Women never lie. And even when women lie, we should believe their lies because they are women. What's that? Creepy, touchy Joe Biden has allegedly been allegedly accused of alleged sexual assault... allegedly? I don't even have to know the facts to know that didn't happen. Seriously, who are you going to believe? Saint Joe Biden or some woman?

(5) I'm still struggling to understand this one. The ozone hole has vanished... but the left is claiming that the shutdown had nothing to do with it. Apparently, colder than normal temperatures (which don't exist in this world of global warming) create the holes and when it warms up, they go away. No human involvement. Huh. I thought it was CfCs?

(6) If we don't give aid to third world sh*tholes to stop global warming, we'll have more pandemics, as proven by this one... which didn't arise in a third world sh*thole or as a result of global warming. Logic.

(7) Letting parents teach children is "dangerous." No, parents NOT teaching children is dangerous.

(8) Don't you dare go outside, you monster! But don't you dare stop immigration even temporarily, you monster.

Talk about mental Whiplash.

Thoughts?
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Monday, April 27, 2020

Hold Tight: The Herd Is Turning

This whole VIRUS thing really has been a fascinating experiment in herd mentality. It's proven so much of what we already knew about herd dynamics. Now there are some interesting things telling me the herd is shifting on VIRUS this weekend...

(1) First, we have the article I linked to in the comments last night which says that people are starting to break quarantine more. Those are your actual herd leaders. They are called "early adapters" in marketing parlance. They do things differently than the herd does. And once enough of them do it to reach critical mass, the herd seamlessly follows, with the pretend leaders (like politicians and media types and loudly self-proclaimed "INDEPENDENT THINKERS!") racing to the front of the pack and claiming they were the one to spot the trend first.

Usually, what the early adapter do becomes herd policy. But not always. Will it this time?

Well, the article suggests that critical mass has been reached as the numbers are very high and growing. It's also widespread, being early adapters everywhere. Again, that suggests critical mass is upon us. More importantly, the fact the Daily Mail put the article near the top of its site and didn't treat it with mockery suggests the Daily Mail sees this as the new trend and is prepared to move in that direction, barring a backlash from the public.

(2) There's more. There is an article making the rounds of the news sites now of a "teacher" who got caught on film screaming at some kids that she hopes they die of VIRUS because they dared... DARED to play football outside. The teacher is the villain of the article. This type of article would have been spun completely differently last week or before. It would have been about the sainted teacher trying to save the sinning kids from dying. The fact the devout is being mocked suggests that the religion has changed. VIRUS is a fake god, all praise FREEDOM.

Keep in mind too, teachers are blameless holy creatures unless they are racists or males who offend females. So the fact they are passing this around is doubly significant. But either way, the significance is that the same people who have been printing nothing but confessions by people who denied VIRUS and died or got sick and are begging forgiveness, suddenly are slandering a believer in favor of some deniers. That's a complete reversal in belief. Herd mentality requires villains. It needs clearly designated persons of mockery and virtue to ensure that we know the bounds of behavior. This is literally a 180 degree switch in what is villainous. One day, it was those #floridamorons who went to a beach (even if they were social distancing) and now it's the witch yelling at kids who wanted to be outside.

I guarantee you that the papers are about to fill with celebrities mocking their usual most-hated-persons (e.g. Trump supporters, conservatives, parents, religious types, etc.) who can't stand it that we good virtuous people want to be outside!

(3) Saturday Night Live, no matter how gently or how unfunnily, made fun of Dr. Fauci... the world's expert. The power of experts is breaking and, with it, the herd is preparing itself to ditch the experts. Indeed, herd mentality requires that we ridicule that which we formerly saw as god-like if we are going to go against dogma. So poking fun at Fauci will soothe the herd's fears about a reversal of policy.

(4) Finally, Boring Amy has said she favors opening Minnesota. She's one of the first national Democrats to support reopening. And don't forget, Amy is a saint, being the only woman ever to run for President and with her husband having suffered VIRUS. That's really the first defection among Democrats, who had been taking the position that southern Republican governors wanted people to die. That's evidence to me that the Democrats watched Georgia and Florida this weekend, didn't see a backlash, and now see the herd shifting. (It will be interesting to see if they backtrack in 4-5 days when virus cases show a surge, but for now, this is the new direction.)

Thoughts?
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Friday, April 24, 2020

"Tone Deaf" Abounds

Crisis bring out the best in people... and the worst. There's been a ton of amazing "best" out there, but there's also been a lot of worst. Some of the worst is criminal or despicable, like people spitting on food and price gougers. But most is what modern society calls "tone deaf." Let's talk about who's been tone deaf.

Before we start, let me mention some people who have been great.

1. The NFL. The NFL is an amazing institution, which is why the sports media hates them with a passion. They are pulling off the draft right now, which millions of people are craving as a return to normalcy, and it's been great. You saw kids rewarded for 20 years of hard, hard work. Proud mothers crying. Charming family scenes. Tales of the amazing good deeds these kids have done. And through it all, you had constant praise for healthcare workers, people working in dangerous jobs, and just average people sacrificing so everyone can be safe. And it's all been awash in pride in America. They've also raised something like $80 million to help. Very uplifting.

2. Grocery store workers. I talk to store clerks everywhere. These people have worked hard to make sure they have food to sell, to overcome shortages, to protect the public, to help old people, and to have a positive attitude through all of this. They've been amazing. Honestly, the only reason I wear a mask when I go to stores -- and I do -- is to be respectful for their efforts. I don't want them worrying that I might make them sick.

3. Volunteers. So many people have adopted pets the shelters are almost empty. People volunteer to help old people get groceries and stay safe. People are volunteering at hospitals. Society is on its best behavior at the moment.

Now let's talk about the others.

1. When my list first began, I included companies like Carvana, a web-based car sales company, who exploited this situation with an ad calling itself "the safe way to buy a car." That's an unfair attempt to tarnish dealerships who are in no way unsafe to build their businesses. I also included all these fake sales you see -- 40% off our entire site... unless it's a name brand product (DSW). The 40% off everything... that's ugly (Nike)! And so on. Lots of companies are pretending to have fire sales (the Gap) and these are basically fraudulent.

I also included Harry and Meghan, who moved to LA in the middle of the crisis - after declaring Canada their home, whined about not being able to have a welcome party with celebrities, and got caught doing their public relations "good deed" (delivering 20 meals to the poor) in a Porsche... the next day they made sure to use a Cadillac instead because they are creatures of publicity. Idris Elba got slammed for proclaiming that we need to stay home one day a year from now on to remember how terrible we've had it and suggesting he almost died when he only had a minor case with no symptoms. Other celebrities are posting pictures of themselves living in their massive mansions, lounging by pools, and enjoying incredible luxury as they post messages like "we're all in this together." Hardly. But these things are nothing compared to the douchebaggery that has since overtaken theirs.

2. Did you know airlines haven't lowered their prices a penny? They've decided to cut services and live on subsidies.

3. The first corporate monster I discovered was Sea World. Sea World has a huge PR problem. People think that what they do is cruel... pictures of employees standing on dolphins will do that to you. Now they laid off 90% of their workforce while giving their executives $6.8 million in bonuses "for their extraordinary contributions amid the COVID pandemic." What did they do to earn these? They laid off their employees. Two of these execs had only been there a week. Seems despicable. But then...

4. Then came Disney. Disney laid off 100,000 employees. It did that to save an estimated $500 million. Here's the thing, it's about to pay a $1.5 billion dividend. It also took out $20 billion in financing. So rather than pay its employees, it decided to hand out its cash to investors. And then it took on enough debt that it could pay its employees for 40 months, but it still fired them. Adding insult to injury, it tried to dump them on the taxpayer, telling them to seek public benefits. Florida should impose a tax on theme parks to get that money back.

5. But corporate America was just warming up. It turns out that the fund set aside to help small business protect their employees and stay alive during this period was raided by massive restaurant and luxury hotel chains. The Ritz Carlton. The Marriott in Beverly Hills. Burger King. Ruth's Chris steak house. Potbelly Sandwich. Taco Cabana. These are publicly traded billion dollar businesses with locations all over the country. What in the world made them think it was right to apply for money from a fund set aside for small businesses? Even worse, many of these found ways to double or triple the maximum amount allowed.

The Treasury claimed that 25% of the actual loans went to small businesses. Think about that though. That means that 75% of the loans went to big businesses. Insane. Eight luxury hotel companies alone took $140 million of the $350 million fund. Shake Shack took the money despite raising $150 million in a recent stock offering. One real estate investment trust (Ashford Inc.) obtained 56 separate loans, treating each location they owed as a separate small business. The vast majority of small businesses got nothing because the fund ran out of money.

Fortunately, they are being destroyed in the media and some are slowly giving it back. But the fact it never dawned on them that this was basically fraud, even if they found a way to qualify tells you something about the modern corporate mentality. They should be prosecuted and their businesses boycotted.

6. Hollywood has been no better. Not only have they been remarkably lacking in charity, unlike groups like the NFL, but they have been brutal to underlings. Film studios and talent agencies laid off all their workers. Even big name (leftist) actors have been laying off their assistants. Think about that. An actor worth hundreds of millions isn't willing to keep someone making $30k a year on staff for even a couple months during this?

7. The media. We've talked about the media a lot. Fear mongering through deceptive headlines, deceptive reporting. Negligence. Reporting that is so inept that it should be actionable. Rumor mongering. Spreading hate. Spreading ignorance. Herd-mentality shaming. Spreading propaganda. These people are despicable human beings.

8. Finally, we come to the most depressing set of douchebags: The protestors. There is no evidence, polling or anecdotal, that suggests the public has had too much quarantine. Polls suggest 80% support. In fact, most polls say people worry about ending it. There has been ZERO civil disobedience either -- the most reliable evidence of the public's mood. Advertisers, another reliable weather vane, show a strong embrace of it across political and generational lines. Why? Foremost, people are genuinely concerned about their own safety, the safety of older family members, and even the safety of the people working in stores. This is reflected in the huge percentage of people staying home, and the huge percentage wearing masks when they go out. This is reflected in the public banding together in massive charity events too. The new heroes of America are the nurse and the grocery store clerk. You see this everywhere.

Moreover, people understand that in times of crisis, some sacrifice is needed... yet, this has hardly been a sacrifice. Indeed, the quarantine is not oppressive. With a few minor exceptions, you can do what you always did. You can still go to most stores. You can buy fast food. You can buy guns. You can buy booze and weed. You can buy most anything, in fact. And what you can't buy locally, you can get online. Your bank is open. Your doctor is open. Electricity, phone and television all still work. In most states, you can go to the parks. Most governors have, by and large, been very good at letting out enough additional freedoms to keep people content as issues arise. Florida and Texas opened their beaches again. Colorado opened liquor stores when people freaked out.

The only people who are struggling are those who lost jobs... but let's put them aside for a moment.

So, are you sensing a theme? Of course, you are. But the douchebags aren't.

No. They have decided to throw a tantrum. They want their freedom back and they want it now! Forget that they never lost it. Forget that they don't even know what it is. Seriously, are they upset they can only go through the drivethru at McDonalds? "Going into the lobby is my God given right!" What this is, is all some wet dream by pretend tough guys about fighting tyranny which just doesn't exist. Then it gets worse. These losers show up at rallies carrying assault rifles and acting like some special forces wannabes. The wet dream continues. And they mix happily with conspiracy nuts: there is NO virus! ... the government made THE virus to TAKE our freedoms! ... vaccines are poiSON!! ... it's SPREAD by 5G!!! So you have people demanding the end of a quarantine the public sees as vital to keeping their families alive for no particular reason except some jerk-off fantasy about nebulous freedoms, they mix this tantrum with anti-science and anti-medicine, and they show up armed. You could not turn off the public more if you tried. These people are the right's version of the freaks who showed up in assless leather chaps with leashes around their necks at gay rights rallies.

And then came the coup de gras. Three nurses went out and tried to block the protestors, in uniform. Nurses are the new heroes, remember? And the douchebags raced into the trap. Rather than engaging the nurse respectfully and stating their cause clearly and compellingly, they tried to shout them down and intimidate them. Congratulations, you just made yourselves into the new Westboro Baptist Church, protesting military funerals, you assholes.

These idiots reinforced all the negative stereotypes the media uses against the right and set back the cause of reopening the country by weeks. They have turned what should be a natural process of the public deciding it was ready into a political issue supported by people the public despises.

Do you want to know what would have worked? There are people who really did lose their jobs. They legitimately have lost their freedoms. Imagine ten hairdressers, who actually are shutdown, go to a public park and start doing free haircuts as a protest. They are joined by 10 bartenders serving free drinks or a group of dentists with signs pointing out that their clients teeth will need root canals if they can't do preventative care. These people hold up signs saying, "We can operate safely!" and "Can't support my family!" That's a cause people understand. It is sympathetic. It is thought provoking, not revulsion creating. It is nonpartisan. It addresses the public's concerns about safety. It doesn't threaten anyone. And it plays on genuine issues of freedom... not some nebulous wet dream about fighting pretend tyranny.

This is again why the right is viewed with such contempt in this country even though most people share the right's views.

All told, the people on this list are a small number of people and most have a pretty negative history to begin with. So don't feel like this is common, but they are out there and they deserve to be called out.
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Thursday, April 23, 2020

Thought You Might Enjoy This

Everyone can use a little humor, right?

Here were some funny things being passed around about parents home schooling their kids:
"It's only the first day and one kid is suspended, the other is expelled and the teacher was fired for drinking."

"What number do we call if we need a substitute teacher?"

"My kid phoned me from his room this morning to say he'd missed the bus and wouldn't be coming to school."
And there's this one, which is a little ghetto, but kind of funny:
"Still think that teacher lying on your child?"
Then there's this because of the amount of snacking going on:
"So how does this work with the My 600 Pound Life show? Do they just call or do I need to call them?"
Then there's this, which is hilarious... The Future

Yeah, Australia was a thing, wasn't it? Remember, laughter is the best medicine, so laugh dammit! Oh, and share your favorite coronavirus jokes!
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Tuesday, April 21, 2020

The State of Things (Media Version)

Sometimes, in a crisis, you just need to stop and reflect on where things stand. Fortunately, we have quality news sources like the Daily Mail, Drudge and a whole lot of leftist blogs masquerading as legitimate media to inform us. So where are we?

There are so many bodies they are out of body bags and are wrapping them in sheets and leaving them on loading docks so people can STACK them in pickup trucks and bury them in MASS graves!

Everyone in Italy is dead. Everyone. We can’t verify this yet because they all died at home and their relatives lived with the bodies for days until they died too, but EVERYONE.

Healthcare workers are killing themselves because they can’t handle the horror.

RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!! RACISM!!

Trump cut the pay of all healthcare workers.

Trump stopped funding for a cure.

Trump gave all of our medical supplies to China, then refused to send any to Canada, stole some from Germany, sent none to states and those he did send were defective. All our hospitals are overwhelmed!! There are people lying in the hallways DYING!

Trump contaminated the CDC.

Trump is pushing dangerous drugs because he’s an investor. Those drugs have horrible side effects and kill people. Also, doctors are using these drugs and Trump touting them created a shortage and caused two hillbillies to DIE!!

Trump sent his son to interfere with the doctors seeking a cure.

Everywhere is a hot spot!

All the police in New York City are DEAD!

Everyone in the world lost their jobs and those will never come back. Capitalism has collapsed. There are shortages of everything and those things will never return. The grocery stores are empty and people fight over scraps.

Rats are eating each other in the streets.

The US navy has withdrawn from the Pacific and will never return. China now has a free hand. China is the new super power. All hail China.

Grocery store employees and Amazon employees are literally dying on the job.

The death rate for VIRUS could be as high as 10% or higher! And double that among black people! All of you black people will die! Be afraid!!

Up to 50 million people could be affected in the US and not even know it!

VIRUS causes permanent lung damage, permanent brain damage, makes your testicles fall off, and gives you sores all over your toes... from your testicles landing on them. Young people are particularly vulnerable, as are old people and healthy middle age people.

Repent!
Maybe things will be better next week?
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Monday, April 20, 2020

The Political Fallout

Let's talk about the politics of this brave new world.

What will the left learn from this?

Nothing. They never learn.

Will The Public Change Its Views?

The American public is largely right-of-center. I would say the numbers are 55% right, 45% left. For a number of reasons, the voting doesn't turn out that way, but in terms of values, this is what I see time and again in terms of fundamental values. Will this change?

Believe it or not, both ideological sides are terrified the public has gone the other way. Neither is correct. That said, the left has more to worry about.

Trust in Government. The right frets that people will now look to government for solutions. That's wrong, though. The government has screwed this up so badly that no one is happy with them. The response has been chaotic and incompetent. Decisions were made, criticized, reversed, criticized and abandoned. Medical equipment was lacking, broken and ineffective. Quarantines came too late and a poor case was made for them. Between Trump and the Democrats, there has been constant whining and name calling. The shutdown orders have been bizarre. Who is essential? Who the hell knows! What's legal? Who the hell knows! The bailout is a mess. Congress can't get out of its own way. Bill Maher actually pointed out that the Democrats have been so gloom and doom that they've handed Trump the high ground. That's true. And interestingly, a study of Twitter found that the vast majority of people have kept a really good humor during this period... which runs counter to how the Democrats are acting, showing the public isn't believing them.

No one trusts the government.

No one trusts the experts anymore either. Trust in experts is the liberal sneak-totalitarianism, but it's failing here because the experts have accurately predicted nothing, ludicrously-wrongly predicted everything, and have no idea how to solve anything except to say get used to the new normal. No one wants to hear that. Of course estimating that 40,000,000 20,000,000 1,000,000 500,000 150,000 80,000 60,000 Americans will die didn't help either. Nor did not knowing the symptoms. Even worse, the Democrats are now tearing the experts apart for political reasons, which has freed the drones to hate the experts who are ruining their lives, and even now people are only listening to the experts they like and only the things they say the people agree with.

Trust in authority is weaker than ever.

So will we shift right? Not in a general sense, but to a degree. Take the election...

The Election. Elections are hard to call, but the left definitely hurt themselves. For one thing, they've made Trump look like a genius. They attacked everything Trump said would work only to be proven wrong and do an about face a few days later. If you make Trump look smart, then you're a fool. They have been so nasty too, at a time of crisis no less, that they are leaving a disturbing taste in people's mouths. Lindsey Graham made the first solid attack on this basis today, saying Pelosi hates Trump to the point of hurting our nation. All of that hurts them, as have missteps in blocking the stimulus package.

Add in that the virus deprived the Democrats of all the free PR of the election campaign, that Joe Biden looks even dumber than ever, and that the left is just not lining up behind him and things do actually look ugly for the left at the moment. And in trying to make this virus about blacks, they will alienate the very white voters they need in swing states who lost their jobs or were scared to death. So, I would say Trump's odds have improved.

But elections are temporary. The real question is, will this change people's views on the issues? For that, let's look at the specific issues.

Prison Elimination. The left has been trying to shut down prisons for some time, with considerable recent success. This virus gave them the perfect moment too to open the doors and let out all the minor convicts. But then they lamented the death of a pedophile in prison. Bad choice. And a killer they let loose in Florida immediately killed someone when released. Bad choice. And they laughed at Harvey Weinstein getting covid, a total undercutting of their own argument. The public wasn't thrilled with prison reform as evidenced by the lack of clamor for these releases, and how it played out killed the movement. Prison reform looks dead.

Welfare/Guaranteed Minimum Income. Will people become dependent on the government for money? Hardly. The government's efforts (at the state and federal level) have been such a cluster-fudge that no one views the government as a reliable way to make a living. No one qualifies for unemployment. Those that do still aren't getting their checks. And the system is broke. Anyone who sees this as a new way to remake society is smoking crack. Perhaps even worse, the people who have gotten their $1200 checks have not been grateful for the "gift," they've pretty much seen it as "finally getting something back." That's not an attitude that shows any positivity toward government largess... it's an argument to stop taking as much in the first place.

But there won't be jobs! We'll see. I suspect the economy will rebound much faster than people think, and even those who are hurt, they won't see a piddly, late government check as the solution. They will want jobs. Is this enough for the public to move right? Possibly. It is for sure, though, that there will be no move to the left.

It's All Racist! This argument has worked in terms of scaring blacks into staying on the reservation. It's been so effective they are trying it on Hispanics now... first major article today. But this is just preaching to the choir and the left knows it. I don't even see the Democrats pushing some sort of fake race bill to protect blacks to try to exploit it. That tells me it's not resonating with whites. And that makes sense. They did their best to scare whites and those whites will not be sympathetic to the diminishment of their fear in favor of others' fear. No change with the public.

Gurl Power! The feminists have tried to exploit this by screaming about a wave of domestic violence and Trump being rude to delicate female reporters. Neither has gotten any traction. We know this because there's zero follow up by the Democrats and little airplay. Add in the left sweeping Biden's alleged sexual assault under the carpet and feminism seems like an issue to be ignored. In fact, perhaps the biggest piece of evidence is that despite the millions of parents who are currently home schooling (and the healthy market in hilarious memes for how much they supposedly hate it) there has been zero support for paying K-12 teachers (most all women) more. All of this confirms the trend of the public just not caring about "women's issues."

As an aside, Yahoo did something interesting with sports last month. They ran contests to vote on the best teams in each sports league's history (e.g. NFL, NBA, MLB, etc.). Looking at the number of votes gave a great indication of the level of interest the public has in each sport. The best women's sports came in far below every male league, and did so on the order of 1/10 of the number of votes. This is despite decades of Title IX and the feminist media pushing the "female sports are loved" narrative.

The Environment. Environmentalists have been thrilled with the changes: cleaner air in China, pollution down 44% in India, animals returning to abandoned areas, clean water in Venice. They think this will help the bees. They haven't caught on to the fish thing I mentioned last time yet for some reason. Either way, these are all admittedly good things... but terrible for their cause.

Why? They think people will see the cleaner planet and say, "Yay, let's fight for more!" But the reality will be different. People will see the earth healing itself in a week and will say, "That was fast. I guess pollution is not really as deep a problem as we've been told." That's what the public did when the Clean Air Act and Clean Water Act worked... they decided that was good enough.

Think about global warming too. If temperatures don't noticeably drop this year, then the whole argument that economic activity creates warming will be seen as a fraud. But if they do drop, then people will think it's easy to fix... or has been fixed. Shouldn't we have reversed almost all of mankind's warming in the past month? Why not? Good luck explaining that! Moreover, people will have seen the extreme cost of what it takes to do this, i.e. what the environmentalists want, and the lack of benefits to them. That will make them less likely to see that as an acceptable fix now. Even worse, notice where the pollution improved. There are no vanishing clouds of pollution over the US... just China and India. That tells people we already have done a great job of cleaning up here, so they will ask why we need to do more? This was a trap for environmentalists and will set them back generations.

Even the anti-plastic campaign, which was on the verge of victory-level social acceptance is about to implode as people now turn to plastics to improve health and safety, e.g. visors and barriers and plastic test kits and devices that facilitate "no-touch" shopping.

Hard shift right.

Peaceniks. The out-of-commissioning of the aircraft carrier and China's provocative moves in the Pacific combined with the fear that China is engaging in chemical/biological research and lied through its teeth to let the world be infected has scared people enough that there will be no desire to make peace. People felt vulnerable. They will want strength so they never feel that way again. Shift to the right.

Unionists. There have been steady attacks on Amazon and then on grocery stores for keeping their workers working despite the risks. "They need unions to protect them in the future!" Yeah, except neither job actually seems hazardous and we needed Amazon and the grocery stores to keep us alive, so any threat to cut those lines and hinder them will not be taken well. Besides, both sets of companies seemed to act responsibly. Look for this to have hardened views against unions as the public will not want to be held up by unionists in a crisis. This play was a mistake. Heck, Democratic governors didn't even chastise these companies.

I think these are all long term changes. This current generation will always be colored by what they saw during this period and the above was it. The left tried to scare them, would not stop whining, tried to make this political to exploit it, and pushed all kinds of things that felt wrong to the public. The public's reaction will be to distrust their policies even more.

So how does it all end?

Forget the rallies. Political rallies never change anything. They come after the change has happened. What changes the world is spontaneous disobedience.

Look to the fall of communism. What killed communism was nothing political. It was average people deciding en mass that they simply weren't going to follow the rules anymore. So they left their homes and did things that were forbidden. In so doing, others joined them spontaneously and their sheer numbers overwhelmed the authorities (like with speeders) and suddenly the system collapsed. This is how it's happened throughout history in almost every country and with every instance of true social change. Bad regimes collapse when normal people suddenly decide to go to the beach.

Now, in this case, there is an interest caveat. American politicians are generally better than their oppressive counterparts and they keep their fingers on the public's pulse. Thus they know how to give just enough freedom to prevent the rebellion. Let the guy going 5 over go and focus on the big speeders... keep the system alive. It's the same here: the lockdown is phony. Colorado is a good example of this. We are under a cower under the bed order. Yet, I can go anywhere and do anything without fear. Really, the only people being held prisoner are hair dressers, dentists, and a few small businesses. Everything else is open. I went to the park today to walk the track with over a hundred other people. Grocery stores are hoppin'. The lines at McDonalds are long. The gun stores are packed, as are the liquor stores. Got my oil changed. Neighbor bought a car. We are under lockdown, but there is no lockdown.

In Texas and Florida, they opened the beaches because those governors knew that if they didn't, crowds would soon appear and the whole lockdown would collapse. So now the beaches are open. The parks are next. Colorado initially closed the liquor stores and pot shops until people growled... then the governor made them essential. Michigan's governor seems to be the only one with a tin ear and it will cost her. Show me a celebrity in California who isn't posing out for exercise or on a drive or getting groceries or doing a photo shoot. All of this is for show, so it will end when people get tired of the pretending, and at that point the governors are going to declare the crisis magically over.

That's how this one ends.

Thoughts?
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Thursday, April 16, 2020

The Future...

Let's talk about the future. You're about to see a ton of "experts" predicting their favorite end of the world scenarios and pushing their pet peeves. Let's cut through the bullspit!
"We will need to wear masks from now on."
"Hand shaking will be gone."
Good luck with that.
"We will all work from home!"
"Restaurants will need to change forever!"
Nope.
"This is the new normal" - New Jersey
"People will flee the major cities!!" - Yahoo experts
Hardly. Idiots.

Let's start with an obvious observation that few of the "experts" understand: basic human nature has not changed in recorded history. What is popular changes... the causes of stress or fear change... but the human reaction to popular things, hated things, fear, stress, imposition, end of fear, and hard work does not change.

A corollary to this: there are patterns in human conduct which repeat every. single. time.

Cities will be abandoned! No. Human beings will not leave cities because they like cities. They like crowds. Young people need cities to find mates. Old people like cities because they don't need cars. Minorities gather in cities to find their own kind. Businesses gather in cities because that is where the workers are, which brings workers to cities. Cities will not change.

This is the new normal! The "new normal" dies the moment this ends. The "new normal" exists because of an immediate fear combined with police power enforcing new behaviors. The moment either of those fades enough, the new normal dies and people go back to the old normal. The idea of the "new normal" or "new (Soviet/feminist) man" is a myth that utopians and ideologues push when they want to see a world that isn't stacked against their deepest desires. It has never once proven true. Never once.

People will be more cautious! We will all wear masks! Ha. We wear masks now because we don't want to get sick. They are uncomfortable. They are an imposition. The moment I no longer think my chances are high enough to get sick, the mask vanishes. As more and more remove the masks, social pressure dies. Human nature seeks comfort and convenience. We only abandon those when force, intense social pressure, or fear force the change upon us. Once those abate, we go back to seeking comfort and convenience. Think people will wipe down their grocery carts next year? Nope. Limit who they can be with? Ha! People are barely doing that now under threat of jail and death. Good luck making us adopt inconvenience forever.

That said, there will be some changes, but mainly at the corporate level. Stores will examine safety practices and keep those that (1) work really well and aren't too expensive -- pre-shift temperature checks, for example (which reduce corporate-wide sick days), (2) those that appeal to the public ("We wash our carts"), and (3) those that make money. Look for all fast food restaurant and lots of stores to start curbside service, a trend beginning long before this and accelerating now because it lets you reach customers who are too lazy to come inside and lets restaurants sell more food than they could with the limits of their seating. Now you can sell it as safety too. Look for increased barriers between customers and clerks, provided they aren't to intrusive because they cost little, look responsible and make robbery harder. Look for architects to study virus proofing new buildings with better air systems and better distancing. This likely will be the end of the emerging trend of group work stations... back to cubicle, b*tches! Look for some regulation of industries that became high profile for unfortunate reasons, like the meat packing industry and cruise ships... but regulations are largely style over substance.

People will be more cautious! (Part 2) This is the end of travel! Ha! People aren't even being cautious now. And the moment this crisis ends, people are going to do what they have always done when a disaster ends: party to excess to celebrate. Cruise ship bookings for next year are already 41% higher than they were last year because people want to party. Business travel will take a huge hit, but vacation travel will boom.

We will all work from home! Doubt it. Whether or not companies will make people work from home will depend on two things: (1) can the job be done at home, and done more cheaply than at an office, and (2) what did the data show during the shutdown. Did the productivity of all those people working from home go up or down? Where it went up, look for more work from home. Where it went down, it's not going to happen. And for those working at home, look for monitoring software to get even more intrusive.

People have become reliant on experts and government! Sheeet. Have you not been paying attention? The experts have made total fools of themselves. No one... no one is trusting any expert because they've all been laughably wrong... every time. They can't predict the numbers within an error factor of 40 million people. They can't even tell you the symptoms. Even the experts people like (e.g. Dr. Fauci), people only accept their opinion when they like them. When they say something people don't like, we ignore them. Oh, he's wrong on that.

As for the government, they caused this, failed to stop it, made it worse, can't handle any of this, screwed up the bailout, screwed up my check, etc. They can't figure out what is essential -- pot? booze? fast food?, and don't know when to back off. The government looks utterly incompetent. All they do is fight and blame and make doomsday predictions. And everyone on every side is screaming that. No one trusts them. Who are people trusting? Grocery stores. Walmart. Amazon.

Amazon is worth $1.1 trillion now for a reason.

Let's talk politics.

The stimulus spending will cause hyper inflation! Wheelbarrows of money! Germany 1930! Sell dollars! Buy gold!! Nein. Pumping out extra money hurts when it adds purchasing power to an economy that has a limited number of goods and no excess capacity. That's when inflation happens. Right now, the economy has crashed. It's like someone took a bite out of it. That missing bite is excess capacity. The money the government is handing out fills that missing bite, it does not pile on top of the economy. With a similar amount of money chasing a similar amount of goods, there will be no inflation. In fact, the real danger is deflation. That will depend on how fast the jobs that got shut down come back, or if they do at all.

The Right is, of course, freaking out that people are now socialist. I Radio Host will save you if you listen to me stoking your fears! Unsurprisingly, the Left is even more worried. It's a battle of paranoids, but one is more right than the other. Who is right? I suspect this will hurt the Left a lot. Let me do a separate article on that though.

Any other changes?

Why, yes. The most interesting changes will come from the environmental effect of the human shutdown. Venice's water is clear... dolphins and swans have returned. Venice was on the verge of severely restricting tourists before this began. I think this clear water change will speed that up and make it more extreme. Look for Venice to close itself off to all but a few thousand tourists instead of the ten million they had been getting. A few other places may follow suit.

The problem in the oceans is overfishing. But commercial fishing is down 95% right now. Fish populations spring back fast. Six months to a year of a 95% drop in fishing may do wonders for the fish population. I will be watching this with great interest. If it does happen like I think, expect future fishing bans.

Going the other way, this is going to kill the anti-plastics movement. That worked when they talked about plastic straws killing fish and plastic lowering sperm counts, but it's DOA now that the world is going to discover the value of plastics in terms of sanitation devices... medical screens... antibacterial shelves and counters, etc.

I see a lot of cool medical improvements coming out of this that are technology related. The ability to track outbreaks with fever reports from digital thermometers around the world opens new avenues for preparedness. Look for lots of research into ventilators too and patient positioning (beds put people on their backs, which is bad), which will help millions of people in the future.

The vast amount of data will lead to lots of really interesting studies. Too many will be done by idiots but there will be some good ones and this really is an amazing economic/psychological/medical experiment. Will flu rates drop? Will small business recover? What happens to personal spending? Where did all the little herd-like Nazis come from? And so on.

Thoughts?

Next time, I'll tell you how this will affect politics and I'll explain how this all ends. Hint: the end won't be caused by gun toting Libertarians.
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Monday, April 13, 2020

The Grass Is Not Greener

There are people who worship every country and time but their own. They are fools and they are out in full force again.

China did such a better job than we did. They only have 3,500 deaths after quick, decisive action. We must learn their superior ways! Oops. Actually, they lied and there are suggestions of 40+ deaths. Nevermind.

South Korea. They stopped it cold. Look how good they did! We must learn their superior ways! Ooops, they didn't control it after all. Nevermnind.

California! California wasn't hit like all those other places. We must learn their superior ways! Oops, they were just earlier on the curve. Nevermind.


This is an old story. There is a tendency among a set of people to always look to other cultures and other times as superior. I suppose this comes from the adage that familiarity breeds contempt and the idea that the grass is always greener on the other side. The truth is that the grass is rarely greener, as people always discover. But that doesn't stop them from wanting to believe the next lawn is greener and the one after that.

Indeed, look back in history and you will see each of the following done in eerily similar echos:

1. Nazi Germany was seen as such an economic powerhouse that intellectuals in the left were sure we couldn't compete. Then we learned their economic strength was only a return to pre-depression levels and it was powered by slave labor. Whoops.

2. The Soviet Union was seen as such an economic dynamo because of the power of central planning and a unified public that even experts at the CIA were convinced they would bury us. Then we discovered that it was all for show and the real economy was so sclerotic it couldn't even deliver food to its people. Whoops.

3. Japan was going to crush us with their secretive business structures, their samurai code and their 1,000 year planning. Then Japan hit the recession that will never end and its birthrate collapsed. Now they can teach us nothing. Whoops.

4. The EU! An economic powerhouse of 400 million people will finally become the superpower the world needs to show us how leading from behind is the true way. Persuasion, not power! We were slowing going to fall behind and become irrelevant. And then it turned out that military strength did actually matter and the EU proved to be a eunuch on the world stage... third worlders laughed and ignored them. And then Greece imploded and exposed the Euro as wishful thinking. Now they can teach us nothing. Whoops.

5. China! China's going to pass us up and teach us round eyes good. They have wise central planning, a form of harnessed capitalism and a bazillion workers. China is the future... until it's not. China's economic miracle collapsed and the laws of economics caused their labor to become too expensive and now they are being eaten alive by their competitors in thee region. They're still on the worship list, but not for long. Offers to submit are becoming distinctly muted.

There's more too... mini versions. Brazil is the future! Until it collapsed. India! India is the future. Until you looked closely and found a country without an infrastructure. South Africa was the wave of the future... until other African countries left them standing in the corrupt dust.

It's not just countries either. The British have the enviable national health system! Which rations healthcare. Brazil can teach us about race and harmony... until reports came out that Brazil is rigidly racist. Every native culture can show us how to commune with nature, waste no animal and live in harmony. Every ancient Asian culture can teach us about inner peace.

BE LIKE SOMEONE ELSE! This is the battle cry of fools, and right now you are seeing these same people sell a fantasy version of what is going on in other places. What makes this interesting to me is that in the past, it's usually taken a decade or so for these people to discover that their fantasies are just fantasy, but now it's happening within days as the numbers expose their paradises as Potempkin villages of virus prevention.
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Sunday, April 12, 2020

Potential Shortage Alert

First, let me say, Happy Easter! I hope you are all having a wonderful Easter.

That said, I wanted to warn you about a potential shortage coming up: meats. I've been watching the business pages for a week or so about meat packing plants -- this doesn't seem to be mainstream yet. Several of these plants have closed recently because large numbers of their employees have gotten the virus. The most recent was a Smithfield plant which handles about 5% of the pork products in the US. Right now, this hasn't meant anything, but with the way supply chains work, I would expect to see meat shortages starting in a couple weeks and then lasting maybe as long as a month even assuming they just clean the plant and reopen.

So if you think you need some hot dogs or roasts or bacon or lunch meats... or anything made of meat. I recommend buying extra in the next few days before news of this goes mainstream and before any shortages start.
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Saturday, April 11, 2020

New Phase

So we've definitely shifted away from the dragging penitents before the camera phase of the herd mentality ("I went on Spring Break because I didn't know VIRUS! Forgive me, VIRUS!") to the exploitation phase.

It started with a few ideological types, encouraged by the Trump Bashing Media and Democrats. They slowly but surely started pointing their poo-stained fingers at various invented virus statistics and misinterpreted them into racism or poorism or whateverism. Then they expanded to add their pet peeves... prisoners are dying in cages, VIRUS is racist, poor people are dying in non-unionized Amazon warehouses, and so on. Indeed, the past week has gone full retard when it comes to ideology. It's like a damn broke and these slimey idiots are slithering through the hole.

Well, now the second wave of idiots have arrived. These are idiots with minor causes that get lost in genuine times of stress. Andrew Zimmer is the proof of that. He's out there complaining that he's worried, harumph, that poor people "don't have access" to nutritious food. This is, of course, total bull. Go to any grocery store in any neighborhood and you will see them packed with fruits, vegetables, and other healthy options. What's missing are the twinkies, the fatty foods, and the frozen foods. There is no lack of access... there is a lack of preference. But Zimmer is a poverty advocate who pushes the invented "15% of Americans go hungry" line which is as fake as the "only 10% of rapes are reported" and "gays are being murdered for being gay." And the fact he's now decided to try to latch his fake cause onto the virus tells us something about what the herd thinks of the state of the virus. In other words, if these people think they can now exploit the virus for a totally unrelated cause (the first group at least tried to exploit virus data directly), then any sort of horror is gone. They see the virus as over... contained. Ironically, they're wrong, but watch for any number of causes suddenly to start filling the papers next to the B-list celebrities trying to get noticed as they all fake some sort of concern related to the VIRUS.

I would say the "men(blech!) are beating their wives in record numbers!" crowd are part of this too. Soon you'll see things about poor kids having nothing to do and no backpacks to do it with, girls are being more stressed out by VIRUS, college athletes need to be paid because of VIRUS, VIRUS brings out transphobia, and so on.

My advice: keep isolating from the news.

I'll talk more about how this all ends a little later and the long term effects. Hint: it won't be the ideologues who cause it to end.
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