As the swing states decide, we'll update the map above and let you know which states have gone which way. Reputable sources say Romney wins 315 votes. My personal guess is that he wins 301 votes: New Hampshire, VA, NC, Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, all of Nebraska, Colorado, and Nevada. He does not get Oregon, any of Maine, or Pennsylvania. But we'll see.
The Senate is important tonight too. Of those "in play," we are defending: Massachusetts, Indiana, Maine and Arizona. All but Arizona are endangered. The Democrats are defending: Hawaii, Wisconsin, Connecticut, North Dakota, Nebraska, Montana, Ohio, Florida, Missouri, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. All but Florida are endangered. We need to win a net of four seats to take control. I predict we win four.
494 comments:
«Oldest ‹Older 201 – 400 of 494 Newer› Newest»Mourdock currently up by ten with 2% of the vote in, which means...probably nothing.
Breaking.....MSNBC calls it for Obama!!
(Spews coffee from mouth)
.......justkidding.......
Patriot, MSNBC called it for Obama in April.
Hang in there Tam. I have faith in America. :)
LOL! MSNBC called it months ago, so they will spend tonight talking about how Republicans stole the election.
tam: you totally left out our badass west...
I have faith in America too. I really do. I honestly believe we will not become Europe in this election. But, the anxiety! It's there.
Patti, I put MOST of my faith in America in the BadAss West.
Andrew, it's called "managing expectations." Also "moving the goalposts."
What site are you guys watching / reading to get the most up to date results?
I've got foxnews.com They have a pretty good site to track ongoing results
Patriot, I have it on Fox News as well, though muted for now. If I have to hear Bill Hemmer say "Let's go to the map" ONE more time, I will have a psychotic break.
Tam, Trust me, I'm right there with you. I want to believe our country can turn itself around, but there is a lot of anxiety tonight.
With one vote cast... we can call Georgia, Kentucky and South Carolina for Romney... and the Northeastern Bloc for Comrade Obama.
Should be seeing calls for Indiana and Kentucky in just a couple minutes.
fox calls KY for Romney
If you want an interactive map with no commenting go to yahoo and then click on Election 2012 Control Room. Then click the map. When you mouse over any one state, it shows the poll results in real time. :-)
http://news.yahoo.com/control-room/
And there you go. Romney by 34 in Kentucky, 21 in Indiana. That'll narrow, but still a lead.
And of course, we have to go ahead and call stupid Vermont.
No surprise. Calling Kentucky and Indiana for Mitt.
This Mourdock-Donnelly race should be fun. And by fun, I mean the exact opposite.
T-Rav, I think Donnelly loses, but I suspect Akin will win.
VA too close to call.
is there a free source for watching the results as they come in. Fox won't let me in.
So Andrew
I hear MSNBC has called the election for OBama already. They said "just stay home" its a done deal.
Some of these early numbers will be bouncing around for a while, so no one freak out yet.
Indi, Yep. And I'm SURE that MSNBC is telling the truth.
Darski,
Go to Yahoo. It has a free interactive map with real-time results being posted. Click on the control room, then click on the map. Mouse over any state you want to see. It has President, Senate, Representatives and Governors.
Per Fox, Romney is winning VA independents by 12, and seniors by almost 20. Reason for optimism?
OMG......Vermont went for Obama?! (Slits wrists)
OMG! I just got home. I live 3 walking minutes from my polling place. It took me 3 hours to vote! And when I left the line outside was STILL around the block! It was insanity. The people working the polls were completely incompetent. And there were NO secret ballots. I saw exactly who the people in front of me were voting for - Obama (no surprise). But I did make friends...obviously Romney voters.
Returns are coming in:
Romney has taken Indiana and Kentucky (no surprise)
Obama took Vermont - no surprise
Electoral votes so far
Romney - 19
Obama - 3
Not a lot of attention being paid to House seats, but it is interesting to see the KY-6, which has the Republican up right now. (We narrowly fell short in 2010.)
~head between knees makes it hard...but not impossible...to drink~
WHERE ARE THOSE MARTINIS, WRITER X???? Patti needs three stat!!
Andrew's favorite state has just been called for Romney. Enjoy, sir. Enjoy.
bev: need...alkeeholz...
SC for Obama!!!!
I posted a TY but it didn't go thru... I'm more nervous than the rest of youse guys L0L0L
I have AFA coverage on - yahoo is in the bag for Obama... they're "blaming Bush"
It'll be interesting to see how the Florida numbers change when the Panhandle comes in in 30 minutes.
"It'll be interesting to see how the Florida numbers change when the Panhandle comes in in 30 minutes."
Does it typically lean right or left?
Up on the board goes South Carolina. 33-3 for Romney.
Kit, it goes hard right, no "leaning" about it. I would expect a 70-30 split for Romney.
All right. I'm back. What did I miss?
W. virginia called.
"Kit, it goes hard right, no "leaning" about it. I would expect a 70-30 split for Romney."
Good to hear.
Still too early......."GO OBAMA".....backtohawaii
Bev, there's appletinis in Tucson...come on down! By the time you get here, the results will be in, we'll be blargity blerg shlop.
Word is Cuyahoga County, OH (Cleveland) is estimating a drop in votes of 170,000 from '08. If that's true, it's going to be pretty freaking hard for Obama to win the state, on top of everything else that's come in.
There goes Georgia for Romney.
49 Romney
3 Obama
What does everyone say of VA being too close to call?
I've voted in every election since 1980 and this was by far the heaviest turnout I've seen. I'm always one of the first 10 people in line. I've even been first on two different occasions. This morning I was about 100 at 10 after 6!
And now comes the big wave. This should get fun.
Tam - I'll just make some here and save the teleporting fee! I'm getting pretty close to "bargity blerg shlop" here in NYC. My voting experience had me a little frazzled...glurb, glurb, shlob...**hiccup**
......and away we go.............
I have a can of hard lemonade in the fridge, either to celebrate or to mourn. Hopefully not mourn.
And the Florida Senate race gets called for Nelson. Blast.
"And the Florida Senate race gets called for Nelson. Blast."
Shit.
Now I'm going to be biting my lip until MO's results roll in. (grimace)
I liked the score much better when it was 49-3 for R. This 80-71... Not so much.
Fox seems to have decided that Romney has lost and they are blaming Chris Christie. Waaaay too early to call this race.
I've NBC on in the background and they don't sound terribly optimistic. There's a lot of talk about "bipartisanship." I think everyone here knows what that means.
eesh...meeeeh...bler...I need more solid numbers. Or another appletini.
Okay, appletini!
Some are saying Romney unlikely to get VA.
Its too close for him.
Romney has now gone up in Florida. Obama has a lead in Ohio, but that's mainly because they released the early/absentee votes first.
Kit, I don't know why. He's still up by a significant margin.
I've got Fox News' website up. Their map is a confusing mess.
"Kit, I don't know why. He's still up by a significant margin,"
Just saw the numbers. A bit better now.
What about NC?
Yahoo! has Romney leading in both Florida and Virginia right now...substantially in Virginia 59% to 40%. Florida is close.
They aren't calling Virginia, but with 20% reporting, Romney is up by 106,000. I can't see Obama making that up over the next 80%.
I just talked to my sister in NC. She says the "sense" is that Romney will win. Ugh. (Hic)
Andrew, it's mathematically possible, but given what I saw in the way of turnout reports today, I doubt it happening.
The BIG thing Fox said which is troubling (and which I actually don't believe) is that Obama is winning women by 8% and Romney's winning men by 8%, so Obama would win.
BUT... that would be a huge shift. Even McCain won men by something like 15%. I can't see men suddenly shifting toward Obama. I think their polling is wrong.
In fact, I'm wondering if their polling isn't skewed toward the Northeast?
T-Rav, Something just isn't adding up and either all the turnout polls are wrong and people really suddenly flipped, or their exit polling is wrong.
Fox seems to have their head up their butts. OMG, they've written the race off already. Ugh.
Yeah, I agree, I can't make sense of anything I'm seeing. It doesn't match up with anything in the leadup.
Andrew, exit polling is notoriously bad, and common sense (for whatever that's worth) says otherwise.
Any comfort on FL?
I heard Obama is back in lead.
Florida's flippin' and floppin' on Yahoo! NC has gone red and Virginia is holding red...
Karl Rove... the good news bearer, LOL
Crispy, I agree. FOX sucks.
That said, Carl Rove just said some interesting things about Ohio and Florida. In Florida, he said that Romney had erased Obama's early vote lead, so look for Romney to start getting ahead.
In Ohio, there is 49% turnout in democratic districts as of 5:00 pm and 79% turnout in Republican districts.
I think Romney wins Florida, Ohio, and Virginia.
Arkansas now in. That makes it 88 Romney, 78 Obama, per Fox News.
I sure hope so, Andrew!
An early lead for Romney in Michigan. No results from Wayne Co. (Detroit) but Oakland Co. (just north) is red.
CNN shows 73/64 Romney.
Our Senate map is updated to change Florida! :) and :(
Kit, Karl Rove (for whatever he's worth) says that now that the early votes are counted, Romney should be taking the lead soon. So.
Won't feel good until FL, PA and OH go Romney
I remember why I don't watch the results as they come in - way to stressful and confusing. SO, I'll be popping in and out of Fox and watching y'all on here keep me updated... (or I'll stay hanging on bare knuckled 'cause I can't look away)
**white knuckled (or is that racist?)
tryanmax, 73/64??? Have we met?
"Won't feel good until FL, PA and OH go Romney"
Same here.
Dear Math, I'm talking about electoral votes.
Well, looks like that whole "Vote Obama-McMahon" thing in Connecticut didn't go so well. Sigh.
Apparently NBC has a new comedy called 1600 Penn starring a white guy as president, so they have obviously thought Romney would win for long enough to get a comedy into production.
tryanmax, sounds like a winning ticket to restart NBC's lineup. (Not really.)
Any good news on OH?
almost 30% to 1000 comments!
and no good news yet on Ohio. Yet.
Fox now has Laura Ingraham on to tell us why the Republicans are stupid because they didn't do things the way she wanted... whatever that was.
Yahoo has OH
Romney 41%
Obama 57%
Worried. Any good news on that, or at least NOT terrible news?
"not terrible" news in OH, per Karl Rove via Ace of Spades...
Rove now also thinks Romney will win Florida (early vote now counted, rest of the sailing should be smooth) and pointed to bad turnout in Cuyhoga, and strong turnout in the neighboring Republican counties, to suggest Ohio's looking good for Romney.
Wouldn't listen to Yahoo for political news....very left leaning
Fox News is saying Casey will win in Pennsylvania, but I suggest it not be changed on the map yet. A two-point margin? Whatever.
And we do not win the Senate seat in PA... no surprise really.
Is the GOP even CAPABLE of nominating an electable candidate for the Senate???
Kit......Not unless they are conservative...and not the whack job type they've tended to recently
Oh, so Ingraham is griping that Romney isn't as big a flip-flopper as she is? That's ironic.
Currently, Romney leads Obama in MO with a whopping 1% of precincts in, 58-40. McCaskill leads Akin, 52-42.
(so glad I don't have cable)
Both sides now say Romney will win Florida. Among other reasons why: Obama's only getting 66% of the Jewish vote, as opposed to 80% in '08.
Hey everyone! Greetings. I was at class, Go Romney!!! Channel The Gipper.
"Both sides now say Romney will win Florida. Among other reasons why: Obama's only getting 66% of the Jewish vote, as opposed to 80% in '08."
Praise be to God!
You sure?
Ohio does not look good...
Florida shows Romeny 80K votes behind but Romney is steadily increasing that lead. I hope Bay county with 2% in Romney up 2 to one can make it for us.... God help us if that lying SOB stays in the Whitehouse ..... Man I hate this
Wow, Florida is close...4K vote difference 53% reporting...Obama leading.
What IS it about Florida??
I'm seeing R more than half way there and O less than half way there... I'm not good with real-life suspense
tryanmax, Ingraham did her usual "everyone is stupid because of things they did which I won't identify and if they had only done things like I told them to do, then they would be winning this."
It's a big gap, but I'm seeing it narrowing in NH. ?????
Kit, it came from NBC's Chuck Todd, so if he's saying it, I think it's pretty credible.
We lost the senate seat in Maine.
Romney now has a marginal lead back in Florida. Figured that was coming along sooner or later.
PA goes to Obama.
Crap.
FU PA.
Florida just went back to Romney - 60% reporting.
"Florida just went back to Romney - 60% reporting."
Please stay that way!
Still scared of Ohio.
It's a good thing I started in on Facebook before breaking out the alcohol. I might get in even worse entanglements than I will to begin with.
On the good side, the Republicans are now projected to hold on to the House, which we were expecting anyway. Still, in case there's a worst-case scenario, we always have that lever of obstruction.
Fox says the Republicans keep the House... no shock there.
Well, I'm starting to think Obama might survive tonight.
CRAP! Wisconsin goes to Obama. That puts it all on Ohio.
WTF, WI
I could use some words of hope over here... :'(
It's going to all come down to Ohio. Again.
Yeah, I'm thinking tonight Obama will win.
I've put Fox on mute. I can't listen to any more punditry from either side.
Kit, you are officially banned! No bad news here until it's official. Winning!!! Tiger Blood! Shot! Blargity blerg!
Hang tight Crispy. Florida, Virginia, NC and Ohio are drifting his way and that will win him the election.
Good news: Romney is narrowing it up in OH.
FL is looking like 2000 2.0
Jesus Christ.
And we lost Indiana. No surprise.
BUT, on the plus side, we're running out of places where the Democrats have the advantage...
With 4% reporting in Missouri, Romney's now up 54-45, McCaskill up 51-42.
And they called Ohio for the Democrat. The Senate is getting harder.
Well, wonderful. Romney may win the race, but it doesn't look like we'll win the Senate.
Out comes the alcohol....
Donnelly sucks.
T-Rav,,
We survived 3 years w/o a budget. We can survive at least 2 more.
y'all are not encouraging!! :/
Senate going down in flames. We lost Wisconsin.
Kit, is that supposed to be an upside?
I'm going to watch Fifth Element now.
"Kit, is that supposed to be an upside?"
Not really.
Ok folks, stay positive. Don't forget, the left owns the first part of the night because of geography. There are only a couple key states and they have no yet spoken.
WAIT FOR IT!!!
I don't know whether to stay and watch a possible debacle or go to bed and see it all in the morning.
How is this possible????
Warren edged Brown. No shock in Kennedy's old stomping grounds. That idiot Mourdock successfully hung himself with his tongue in a race he should have won. Maybe in the future the Republican Party can give idiots a standard line to recite when discussing something as sensitive as rape.
And Scott Brown loses... no surprise.
Right now I'm calling 50/50 on the Senate.
I saw a report that WI may have been called too soon. FU NH!!!
Any good news?
please, please, please tell me that when I wake up in the morning Obama will have lost the race. Please.
Please.
Please.
Please.
Please.
Please.
Please.
Please.
Please.Please.Please.Please.Please.
It seems to me that the blue states are growing from maps I saw pre-election!!!
I have not been able to watch. I hope there is still a chance for the white house, but it seems to all be slipping away from what I see of the comments.. Beginning to feel like the SCOTUS Obamacare ruling, that everything I'd heard, everything that seemed to make sense is all bullshit.
"I saw a report that WI may have been called too soon. FU NH!!!"
Where?
ah crap, there goes NH
I don't get where they are calling Wisconsin yet. The numbers are still in Romney's and Thompson's favor.
Keep hanging tight people.
I've been holding off, but I've been looking at the MO Sen numbers for over an hour now, and there's no way that Akin can win, based on the areas that are reporting. Consider that one a Dem hold. Which is surprising, seeing as how God told Akin to stay in the race and all.
Andrew, any tighter and I'm gonna put my fingernails through my palms!
It's at Ace of Spades. They have lots of people on the ground reading numbers. It's not Fox, not any big organization or firm, I think they may just be playing safe and not calling it yet, but their people are reporting strong numbers for Romney/Ryan in WI. I'm holding on to hope, Kit. Any small sliver.
Kosh, that seems like a bogus call to me as well.
I think I'm going to be ill. Not going well. Maybe I just do not understand most people.
SURPRISE! Montana went for Romney.
Oh, and a hearty "Fuck you" to Fox News for using a calling system that gives a state like WI to Obama with like 5% in, but still won't call Missouri when one-sixth of the votes are in and Romney's up by 18.
(Yeah, I cursed. I'm just taking it out on whoever at this point.)
Montana has like half an electoral vote, though
Is there anywhere on this on earth that all of us can agree with to go to if everything goes south?
holy cats, T-Rav! tell it like you see it!!
Jen, if we pool our money do you think we can afford a rocky island somewhere south of whatever latitude Virginia is on?
omgomgomgomgomgomgomgomgomg
Yeah, this isn't good. I'm going to think of ways to exploit every government program in existence while making money under the table now.
Fox may have become the left's bitch when Murdock got in trouble. Just a thought
Thanks for nothing, Todd. Bastard.
And Todd Akin lost. Thank you Religious Right.
no one panic, unless you're out of booze...then...OMG!!
a tidbit: rove is saying: I See Good Things in OH, VA, and FL
As a note, CNN has not called Wisconsin yet (at last check) but Fox has. Weird. Maybe Jed's theory is right.
I hate to say it, but Florida and Ohio don't look good right now.
rla, any suggestions where that might be? We can then take it over. I have food production knowledge which should help. Unless...like Wahsatchmo said "exploit..."
I'm just comparing the incoming results to my prediction map and, ignoring Faux News' preemptive WI call, it's still possible.
BTW, the GOP picks up a senate seat from NE! Keeps all three house seats, too! And it looks like Obama loses his one EV from Dist. 2. Factor in a R. Gov. and I officially live in an all-red state for the first time in my life!
Todd Akin really ticks me off! It was not what he said but rather that he was stupid enough to say it! And I don't want a bunch of whack job Christians calling me to book for thinking that.
he can be thanked for every baby that dies - on your dime - forever! May God have mercy on his soul!
Well, going to bed.
Any good news?
NO BAD NEWS!!! Not yet. pleaseohpleaseohplease.
Florida is 35K up for Obama...
Bad for us Miami is 56% reported
Good for us Santa Rosa County up in the Panhandle has not reported anything. They have a population of 151 and counties there are 2 to one Romney.
If the remainder of Miami raises the GOP a little bit and Santa Rosa comes in we still take the state but I am worried.
How is this possible - even Zero knew he was losing?
it should not be close
darski, the thing that will burn me up forever is that after he said it, he refused to get out of the race because God didn't tell him not to and "It wouldn't be fair to Missouri voters." Well, I voted for the idiot in August, and I wanted him gone 24 hours after hearing him say it. What an idiot.
rla, I know. I'm being a foul-mouthed person tonight.
T-Rav, I'm on the phone with my sister right now, and she wasn't happy with Akin either. She had a very hard time voting for him today, but did not want McCaskill.
The problem I'm having with what Rove is saying about Ohio is that my data says Cuyahoga county is only reporting 7%. If they dump another 93%, then Obama gains another 200,000 votes and I don't see that being overcome.
Indi, How big is that county because I can't figure that out?
T-Rav, no worries. I'm feeling it!
Since we're swearing, let me say this....
FUCK YOU AMERICA!! You dumb shits. WTF are you thinking?
rla, thanks! My sister says she can put some money in too.
@ Andrew... even I can't complain about your language... seems reasonable to me tonight.
America was a great country once...a republic....let us now have a moment of silence, and a nod to historical moments, of when the dream died.
Was about to go to bed. Then my cat got hungry so I guess I'm up (for at least 1/2 hour).
Is anybody seeing Robert Gibbs talking about sitting down in bipartisan way to solve the nations' problems?
Uh no. The lesson of this election is try to destroy the other guy... it won't hurt you.
darski, It slipped. :(
((((Hugs all round))))
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