So here's what I'm seeing.
1. The AP says that Ford won the morning, and the GOP was ready to give up, but then Kavanaugh was so strong that the GOP reversed course and supports him. A surprising admission for leftists. So Kavanaugh must have won.
2. Expect the polls to show Ford won, but that will be because of a +15% Democrat advantage.
3. I see no articles on the left declaring victory. I see articles talking about the electoral advantage of this becoming "the year of the woman" and articles where they whine that it was all men on the committee. Talk of how to take down the woman Trump would appoint next seems to have ended. That suggests the left has given up.
4. Rob Portman, a liberal GOP Senator, strongly supports Kavanaugh. Left-lover Lindsey Graham expressed intense outrage at the left (he won my respect on that). Jeff Flake, a crazy anti-Trumper, has said that we must admit we don't really know what happened -- the comment had the ring of leaning pro-Kavanaugh.
That leaves Susan Collins and Crazy Murkowski from Alaska as weak links. They met with conservative Democrat Manchin of West Virginia today for reasons unknown. If any Democrat will support Kavanaugh, it would be Manchin. They may be looking for cover... some semblance of a bipartisan vote.
I'm thinking... thinking that Kavanaugh gets voted through by 50-50 with Mike Pence casting the final vote. Murkowski votes No, Collins votes yes, Flake votes yes, Manchin backs out and votes No.
5. No matter what happens, the left will play this up as the next War on Woman. I don't see that working though for a number of reasons. (1) Married women support Kavanaugh, (2) the #metoo movement has lost any semblance of legitimacy, (3) all the women's marches, etc. have proven that women as a political group just don't work: (i) they seem to expect others to do it for them, (ii) they think their goal is to be handed power rather than take it, (iii) their goals are unclear and at odds with how real women live, and (iv) they aren't really a party of women, they are a leftist movement that uses women and will even support "better" male candidates and ignore the sex crimes of male supporters.
6. I think the media will lose interest. In fact, they seem to be losing interest already and are switching to other, sexier scandals. So the story dies no matter how the vote goes.
7. If the GOP votes no, look for a massacre in November.
8. If the GOP votes yes, nothing changes in November.
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1. The AP says that Ford won the morning, and the GOP was ready to give up, but then Kavanaugh was so strong that the GOP reversed course and supports him. A surprising admission for leftists. So Kavanaugh must have won.
2. Expect the polls to show Ford won, but that will be because of a +15% Democrat advantage.
3. I see no articles on the left declaring victory. I see articles talking about the electoral advantage of this becoming "the year of the woman" and articles where they whine that it was all men on the committee. Talk of how to take down the woman Trump would appoint next seems to have ended. That suggests the left has given up.
4. Rob Portman, a liberal GOP Senator, strongly supports Kavanaugh. Left-lover Lindsey Graham expressed intense outrage at the left (he won my respect on that). Jeff Flake, a crazy anti-Trumper, has said that we must admit we don't really know what happened -- the comment had the ring of leaning pro-Kavanaugh.
That leaves Susan Collins and Crazy Murkowski from Alaska as weak links. They met with conservative Democrat Manchin of West Virginia today for reasons unknown. If any Democrat will support Kavanaugh, it would be Manchin. They may be looking for cover... some semblance of a bipartisan vote.
I'm thinking... thinking that Kavanaugh gets voted through by 50-50 with Mike Pence casting the final vote. Murkowski votes No, Collins votes yes, Flake votes yes, Manchin backs out and votes No.
5. No matter what happens, the left will play this up as the next War on Woman. I don't see that working though for a number of reasons. (1) Married women support Kavanaugh, (2) the #metoo movement has lost any semblance of legitimacy, (3) all the women's marches, etc. have proven that women as a political group just don't work: (i) they seem to expect others to do it for them, (ii) they think their goal is to be handed power rather than take it, (iii) their goals are unclear and at odds with how real women live, and (iv) they aren't really a party of women, they are a leftist movement that uses women and will even support "better" male candidates and ignore the sex crimes of male supporters.
6. I think the media will lose interest. In fact, they seem to be losing interest already and are switching to other, sexier scandals. So the story dies no matter how the vote goes.
7. If the GOP votes no, look for a massacre in November.
8. If the GOP votes yes, nothing changes in November.