Artists for Censorship!

Unlike we evil oppressive conservatives, the left believes that freedom of speech is sacrosanct.

Neil Young doesn't though. See, Neil Young learned that Spotify hosts Joe Rogan's podcast. Joe says stupid things about Covid. So in a huff, Neil threatened to pull his music from Spotify if they didn't ban Joe's podcast. You know... censor him. When Spotify chose freedom of speech, Neil boycotted away. This has since brought other leftist cranks out the woodwork like Joni Mitchell, the smarmy Harry and Meghan Sussex to join the demand for censorship, and "freedom champion" Apple (statement does not apply in China) is exploiting it to try to gain customers from Spotify.

I find it disturbing that an actual artist who I'm pretty sure has repeatedly used the idea of freedom of speech to justify all sorts of rotten things would now be pushing for censorship. I seem to remember him ranting about the evil "Republicans" (led by Joe Biden) when they put labels on music, for example - they called it censorship even though it didn't ban anything. Well, Neil defends himself by claiming that Rogan is spreading "disinformation" and thus should be stopped. But that's how freedom of speech works. Freedom of speech isn't about defending only popular speech or accurate speech or approved speech. It protects speech. And it sure as heck isn't about allowing only speech with which Neil agrees.

And don't get me wrong, I don't like Rogan and I think he's a menace. But so is Neil Young and so are so many other people. Movies promote gun violence and I think are responsible for why so many dumbasses use guns to settle disputes. Progressives are pushing hugely damaging lies about race and discrimination, gender and climate. Should we start banning those?

Some leftists, like Joy Behar know that freedom of speech is dogma but aren't going to stay out of a good pogrom, so she claims that while she doesn't believe Spotify should ban (read: censor) Joe Rogan, she encourages people to contact Spotify and let them know they are angry that they would host Rogan. To what purpose? To lead to his being banned. See her mental gymnastics? I don't support killing, but I encourage people to throw lots of stones.

It's always funny to me how the left wants to shut down debate. They talk about freedom and claim that freedom of speech is our most fundamental right. In fact, they still use the idea of "silencing" fill-in-the-blank as the most evil crime that conservatives commit (apart from "racism" and, Heaven help you, actual racism). But they never extend that right to people they don't like.

Look at cancel culture. Say the wrong thing and the left wants you erased. Or consider political correctness, the father of cancel culture. It was premised on the idea that if you could keep people from expressing ideas, those ideas would vanish. Thus, it sought to make it unacceptable to express politically incorrect thoughts. Mention that a suspect was black and you were racist. Mention that girls are different from boys and you're a sexist. There were a vast number of truths that were suddenly verboten. Then you had speech codes on colleges (bastions of freedom of speech) to silence "triggering thoughts" in the twisted name of "promoting" free speech by limiting it to only acceptable thoughts. You have the (re)invention of thought crimes where the prosecutor's view of your motive somehow makes the crime you commit a whole new crime. Better say smile during you next beatdown. Of course, there are the classic thought police of the Soviet and Chinese systems as well, and the secret police of "Democratic Socialist" states. The banning of books with the wrong words and wrong ideas. And so on... and so on.

It never seems to end, just the intensity and what is being suppressed. Welcome to the thought police Neil. Old man, look at you now.

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Supreme Thoughts

I was finishing an article on Biden's terrible, horrible, no good, very bad first year when the news hit that Supreme Court Justice Breyer intends to retire. So it made sense to share some thoughts on that instead.

● First, stay calm. Talk radio will tell you about the end of the world, but looking at the possibilities, the GOP can't lose and the Democrats can't win. Breyer is the court's strongest intellectual leftist, so if they find the perfect replacement, nothing changes. But anything less than a perfect replacement hurts the left. Why?

● The problem the left is facing is that Breyer was the intellectual driving the court's left. He was smart and clever -- top notch. And he knew how to justify his views and how to trip up the conservative justices when they overreached. The other leftists remaining on the court just aren't that bright. Sotomayer, for example, plays well to leftist journalists because she speaks like they think, but she's a legal lightweight. If they replace Breyer with another lightweight like Sotomayer, the left loses its intellectual motor on the court and its ideology will get run over time and again.

● Unfortunately for them, finding someone of his caliber will be incredibly hard. There just aren't that many heavyweight justices out there. What's more, limiting the talent pool to black women makes it even harder. And that's before the other problem: the Democrats are looking for a partisan, not a thinker. In other words, they are looking for the very thing they should not be looking for.

● In fact, the black women already being mentioned lack intellectual prowess. That's bad for the left. They may pound the table with the best of them -- who knows -- but none of the ones mentioned will ever write the kind of scathing technocratic takedowns that swung a guy like Roberts from time to time and justified leftist thought in terms that made it hard to challenge.

● As an aside, forget Harris. Everything I see tells me that team Biden despises her, and I'm not surprised. She has a history of being seen as worthless by allies all the way from the beginning (she's the Peter Principle on steroids), and I don't see anyone on the left wanting to risk putting her on the court. Also, as I've said before, she lacks an ideological core and dances to the tune of corporate backers, making her a terrible choice for anyone wanting to defend an ideology.

● NBC tonight said that this was a chance for Biden to prove himself to blacks and shore up the support of an important (vital) constituency before the election. Indeed, recent polls show Biden's support among blacks slipping from 90% to 60%. Take that with a grain of salt, but Biden clearly has a problem and needs to energize his black base. Will this do it? Nope. Why?

● For one thing, this will happen before the election. That makes it a fait accompli when it comes time to vote. People don't tend to reward politicians for favors already done. Machiavelli tells us this, in fact. He says to inflict pain right away and all at once, because people will forget, but spread out rewards because people are fickle and hold off delivering until you get what you want. By the time the election rolls around, blacks will see this as "what have you done for me lately." And if she puts her foot in her mouth, she becomes an embarrassment. This only way this energizes blacks is if the Republicans step in it and come across as actual racists.

● Secondly, I'm not convinced that black men are all that excited about rewards given to black women. There seems to be a real disconnect there.

● I actually think this is aimed at energizing "women." I think Biden thinks that "women" are a collective. But they aren't. White women and black women have suffered a disconnect with a lot of anger aimed at white women by black women (think back on the "hey, white woman" articles), so picking a partisan (i.e. a yeller rather than an ideologue thinker) black woman could further alienate white women. Also, the angry white women faction is notoriously self-centered and tramples over their allies to get their share. Giving this seat to a black woman will not be seen as giving them their share.

● Ultimately, I think black and white female support goes up at first on principle -- more with blacks than with whites, and some black male support as well. But the bounce fades quickly and their support will depend on other issues in the election cycle.

● So how should Republicans handle this? I would float some names right now of qualified but moderate-left black women, Hispanic women, a Muslim, and a lesbian or two, and I would say these women are quite acceptable and we would support them. Then explain what kinds of qualifications you think they need. This prevents a charge of racism and obstruction because the GOP identified several qualified leftist women and what they think is important. Biden and the media, however, will respond by going insane and tearing these women apart, which is really bad optics. It also creates the opportunity that they may invent reasons these women aren't acceptable which ultimately trap the candidates the left want... "hey, you said they needed this! Now you're changing your mind??"

● I said we can't lose, but we will lose if we come across as racists. Censure anyone who goes that route.

● You could also argue that the left wins by replacing an expiring (older) judge with a younger judge, but it's unrealistic to think we can block appointments for three more years. That would make us look terrible. So name some good ones and let them pick a bad one who isn't up to Breyer's intellectual level and in-fight.

● That said, we all need to brace for more hero worship from the left regardless of who they pick. Watch for sycophantic documentaries, fainting legal groupies and Democrats going to therapy with sex fantasies involving their new crush. See The Notorious RGB for reference (LINK and LINK).

Those are my thoughts. As long as we don't act like racist obstructionists, this cannot hurt us, but it is a very delicate balancing act for the left, one I don't think they can manage because they've lost their minds and want the wrong things now.

Your thoughts?

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Dominos Pizza's Cynical Ad

Just a quick thought on cynicism... and Domino's Pizza.

I believe the real national crisis we face today is cynicism. The age of cynicism actually started in the 1950's (I've discussed that before). That led to the destruction of many of the institutions needed to hold society together in the 1960's and 1970's. The 1980's were a brief reverse of that trend, but by the 1990's we were back at it hard. Today, we live so deeply in the culture of cynicism that we "question" everything, we mistake cynicism for wisdom, we mistake snark for reasoned debate and we pride ourselves in our ignorance. It allows people to dismiss objective fact as a subjective point of view, to think truth is relative, and to dismiss anything because the "wrong" person espouses it. It poisons relationships. It poisons society. It poisons learning. We have reached a point where we know nothing, believe nothing, trust nothing, and can achieve nothing.

How does this relate to Dominos?

Charity.

There has long been a debate as to whether or not disclosing an act of charity invalidates the act. We all agree it is a good thing, for example, to help people in need (well, most agree, some are too cynical to understand this). But many think that advertising the fact you acted charitably invalidates your charitable act because, by telling people, you convert the intent of your act of charity from a selfless act of kindness into a selfish act of self-promotion. And naturally, cynical people are masters at rhetorically finding self-interest to negate good deeds.

Are they right?

No. The charitable act is still a charitable act. The person helped is still better off, and the act was done without requirement. These are good things and should not be dismissed cynically. We should be encouraging them regardless of motive.

That said, I would offer one caveat. This is when the act of charity was itself done cynically. How can we tell? Famous people often do some charitable acts before a camera when they are in trouble and need good PR. Companies do this too. Or how about when the effort spent advertising the charitable act far exceeds the act of charity itself? I would consider that cynically exploiting the goodwill of people because the effort was not in the charitable act, but in exploiting the charitable act. While I would not criticize the act of charity itself, I would criticize the exploitation. In fact, I think this type of behavior only adds to the culture of cynicism because it confirms the false idea that charity is something people do to virtue signal.

And that brings me to Dominos.

Dominos is running an ad during NFL games (and more). In this ad, they talk about how delivery fees are killing small business restaurants and how they decided to help. They bought $100,000 worth of delivery fee cards "and no one paid for delivery fees." And then some small business people praise Dominos for their efforts. Angelic, right?

Or is it?

Let's do the math. Start with the $100,000 spent. Divide it by 50 states... you get $2,000 per state. Divide that by, let's say, two major cities per state. We're down to $1,000 per major city. If Dominos advertised, "We just spent $1,000 in your city on small business's delivery fees," would you be impressed? Hardly. Dominos gave these out as $50 cards. So basically, they gave $50 gift cards to 20 businesses in the two biggest cities in each state. Still impressed? I'm not, but it's charity and I will commend it. I'm glad they did it. Nice.

BUT... then they advertised it. It's in heavy rotation too, so they've probably spent $10 million advertising this fact (Dominos spends about $40 million a year on advertising). That means they spent about $100 advertising every dollar they actually spent helping. I would call that cynical exploitation. You?

Here's the ad: LINK. Tell me it doesn't suggest that they bought a TON of these.

***

As an aside, all the cynicism about people only acting out of self-interest comes from a deeply cynical and wrong philosophical argument. The argument comes from an apocryphal story involving Lincoln and another passenger arguing on a coach about whether or not altruism (a truly selfless act) exists. As they argue, they come upon a pig stuck in the mud. It's squealing in pain. Lincoln jumps out and saves the pig, ruining his suit. He then notes to the other passenger, if there was no such thing as altruism, then why would I ruin my suit to help the pig? The other passenger retorts: you did it out of self-interest because you could no longer stand to hear the suffering, so you ultimately were only doing this to make yourself feel better. Cynics latch onto this and argue it means there is no such thing as a selfless act.

But they forget Lincoln's reply. He said, if there is no such thing as altruism, where does the impulse to stop others from suffering come from in the first place? And he is right. Altruism exists. To argue otherwise falsely devalues the human spirit.

Thoughts?

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More Congratulations Are In Order!

Congratulations to Maya Angelou. The Mint has announced that it's putting out a series of quarters with women on them... and one of them is Maya Angelou! Naturally, the media is treating Maya's encoinment as an "historic" and "groundbreaking" achievement. But what ground did she break?

Oh, I know. She's the first black person on our currency, right? Well, no. That would be George Washington Carver, Booker T. Washington and Jackie Robinson. So, not the first black. Then she must be the first woman, right?! No, not that either. That would be Martha Washington, Pocahontas, Susan B. Anthony, Helen Keller and Sacagawea, plus of course Lady Liberty. So she's the 7th woman and the 4th black. So what exactly does the media think is so groundbreaking then? Well, she's the first black woman. //rolls eyes That is how identity politics works: if you can carve out a favored category, then your achievements -- no matter how many came before you, suddenly are supposedly unique. It's kind like the way dog shows pretend there are two types of Beagles below 13 inches tall and 13-15 inches tall. And where pushing race and gender are concerned, there is no hair small enough that you can't split another Beagle.

At least she's part of a veritable rainbow of women on these coins, right?! A broad coalition of women of all shapes and sizes and colors, right? Uh, no. The Mint will be minting quarters with a white woman, a black woman, an Hispanic woman and a Chinese-American woman. It will not be minting any lesbians, Trans-women, India-Indians, non-Chinese Asians, Arabs, Jews, Muslims, or handicapped women, not to mention the portly, the shortly and the tall. Sorry suckerettes, but when it comes to identity politics some Beagles are more equal than others.

They did choose the best black woman they could find though, right? You tell me. Are people in a hundred years going to wonder who the hell this obscure writer was? Do you think they would struggle more or less to remember Rosa Parks or Harriet Tubman. Even among modern women, who is more likely to be remembered? This friend of the Clintons or Oprah, Condoleezza Rice, or Serena Williams.

You tell me.

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Covid Was A Chinese Biological Attack on Foreign Militaries

I'm not paranoid. You know this. But sometimes, facts lead to a conclusion that sounds paranoid. In this case, I've long known a series of facts which suggest that Covid was intentionally released by the Chinese military as an attempt to cripple foreign militaries before some sort of Part B which never came. Observe.

As you know, I pay attention to the world. I gather facts. I don't believe conclusions or treat theories as fact until I am thoroughly convinced. In the case of Covid, the facts have never fit the narrative. The "facts" we're supposed to believe are this:

1. The first Covid case was found in Wuhan China in December 2019.

2. The first case was a man who worked in a "wet market" where bats were eaten.

2a. Alternate fact: China ran a lab in the area which was investigating bat-infested Covid and it escaped.

3. Covid spread to the outside world in January 2020.

Here's the thing. The first fact is false. There are recorded cases of Covid in China in November 2019 and stories of unconfirmed (not tested) Covid in massive numbers of very sick people in China in October 2019. That means the first case was possibly as early as October 2019. That means the first case is not the first case. Nor would it rationally be the first case anyway. In fact, even if batguy is the first known case, batguy still is not the first case... he's the first confirmed case. This is because Covid looks like the flu, which tells us logically that hundreds of prior cases existed along with many deaths before someone decided "Hey, this one's kind of strange, let's look into it." So we don't know when it really started.  But we do know that if batguy is not Patient Zero then where batguy got it isn't relevant because he's not the guy who started it. So the bat theory is a distraction. The escape argument also happens too late to be the true cause.

So the real facts we know are:

1. Covid was around somewhere between October and November 2019 at least.

2. The origin is otherwise unknown, except it appears in Wuhan - disease spread theory tells us this... diseases spread in the golden spiral pattern, meaning they cluster at ground zero and then thin out from there. The cluster is at Wuhan.

More facts you have not heard** (see below):

3. October 2019, the City of Wuhan held the World Military Games. That's right. Thousands of soldiers from the militaries of 100 countries went to China to compete. (This has never been considered as part of the Covid story as far as I can tell.)

4. When the soldiers got there, they found Wuhan to be a ghost town. No one was on the streets, most things were closed. The Chinese claimed this was for the soldiers' benefit, but that makes no sense.

5. Hundreds of these soldiers got very sick. They returned home and spread it.

6. They reported these illnesses. They were told it was probably just the flu, even if it wasn't limited to flu symptoms. Subsequent complaints were dismissed on the basis this couldn't be Covid because it happened before batguy, but we know batguy is a false fact, so the dismissals are false.

7. The soldiers were told not to talk about it, which is only done with soldiers for security reasons.

8. The military has not publicly investigated this.

One more speculative-'fact' to add. I am not a biological scientist so I can't say this for sure, but there is a lot of talk about Covid being man made. It's also the first disease I've heard of which covers its track for two days so it can spread unchecked and it's unusually infectious. If it actually killed, it would be the perfect biological weapon.

Now put this together.

Think about how hyper-aggressive the Chinese have been in recent years. It makes sense given Chinese thinking to infect these soldiers intentionally, i.e. to use this biological weapon against a perfect target which will carry Covid home and infect their militaries and command structures, crippling over 100 of the militaries of the world. That would leave everyone incapable of stopping China from doing whatever else they had planned, e.g. the Marines are not coming to save Taiwan if half of them are dead or too sick to fight. What would China do with a free hand? Don't know, that part never happened. It didn't happen because Covid turned out to be a dud. It killed old people and some sick people, but wasn't very deadly in the wild compared to what it looked like in the lab, which is often the case.

I think the military knows this because they supposedly haven't investigated. It makes no sense that the military would not investigate so many illnesses coming from one event, that's not how the military works. They investigate eveything. I think the truth is they did investigate and know the truth, but have decided to stay silent (even silencing soldiers to hush it up). Why be silent? Fear that it will outrage the public. Think about how angry people are at China over the batguy theory, which looks like an accident. Imagine the rage if it was announced that Covid was actually an intentional attack on our soldiers and now grandma is dead. The public would want war.

So why was Wuhan empty? Was it really because Covid had escaped into Wuhan before the soldiers got there as the Daily Mail suggests (see below)? No. The time that took to develop meant it would have hit the news as people got sick and posted about it online. It would have taken time to see what was happening and cut the internet and shut the city down. That could not be done without getting out. Instead, the ghost town had to be intentional. The Chinese sent everyone home because they didn't want their weapon spreading into the Chinese population. They told everyone to stay home to avoid this army of soldiers or else and people quietly bought it. I guarantee you that everyone who came into contact with the soldiers was immediately isolated thereafter.

Interestingly, none of this ever hit the news, even as a theory.  Why?  That's actually our fault:  left and right bought the cover story and turned on each other over it... "damn Chinese bat eaters" vs. "you're racist."  No one bothered to use their brains.

** Then this. Today, for the first time ever, I've seen this theory appear in the news... sort of. The Daily Mail has it. It's a small story, not front page, and it's focus is wrong -- it treats it like the soldiers stumbled upon the disaster rather than being aimed at them, but the facts I mention above are confirmed. Here's the article. Read it all the way through: Canadian Military.

Thoughts?

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A Date We're Gonna Make Live In Infamy

Hi all. First, let me say that for some reason, I'm having a hard time posting comments. I'm not ignoring you, I just can't seem to post them.

 

Secondly, tomorrow is the anniversary of January 6?? What a ridiculous thought. We're going to have an anniversary for the day a couple hundred douchebags vandalized the capital building? Really? Why? Oh yeah, because the Democrats want to pretend this was an attempted coupe and (Heavens) it might have succeeded? Riiiiiight. The United States was going to fall because a couple hundred retards broke into a building? Laughable. At least when they burned the Reichstag, they destroyed the building. All they had to do here was hose off the beer smell. But leave it to the Democrats to exploit anything. Pathetic.  They really should change their name to the Propaganda Party.

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Congratulations

Congratuations to Chicago for winning the Murder Capital of the Year award over stiff competition (no pun intended) from other woke cities. Chicago had 797 murders. New York, Philly, pot-headed Portland, Minnesota, etc. etc. All over the country, people are dead to satisfy the smugness of the politically stupid. Wokeness kills.

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Merry Christmas

Hey everybody! Merry Christmas to all of you. Let's hope a little sanity and charity enters the human race. And even if it doesn't, be good to the people around you and remember that most people are genuinely decent people, even as the world seems intent on proving otherwise. On that note, let me wish you all peace, happiness, health and love in the new year! Let me also say thank you to everyone who has posted comments or sent me emails this past year. It's been a difficult year, that's for sure, and it's great to hear from you! :) P.S. I'm planning to start posting a couple article a week starting in a week or so.

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Justice

Rittenhouse acquitted on all charges. Hurray! That's justice, honestly. Let the lies about racism begin. Que Lebron James...

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Congrats, Virginia!

A quick congratulations to Virginia tonight for doing the right thing. It's about time. If Biden wasn't already a lame duck, this should make that status clear. Let's hope this is the beginning of some sanity.

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9/11 Unity...

Political token Kamala Harris has called for "unity" on this 9/11. George Marshmallow Bush Jr. has condemned extremism both abroad and right here at home. Biden sniffed some hair and wandered off. Unity is a great message, but let me retort... you first. See, I have a brain and my brain remembers the following:

Islamic monsters kill 3,000 Americans in the name of Islam. The world is unified for about three days. We are all Americans now! Then...

Democrats start condemning Americans for being racist. Scream that this had nothing to do with Islam despite Islamists doing it in the name of Islam to bring about an Islamic state and this being one of 80,000 similar attacks every single year by Islamists in the name of Islam. Nope, it's racist to find a motive.

Nancy Pelosi does a tour of the Middle East promising to stop the evil, hateful Marshmallow Bush from racistly harming poor Arabs to appease white boys with pickup trucks. Anyone remember her visiting with the Iranians to stop Bush from bombing them? That happened. And think of the Democrats in Congress opposing everything because it was all just racism.

The left loses. its. shit. They start protesting everywhere - award shows, street corners, on the job, attacking conservatives in the streets, screaming that Bush wants to invade the Middle East to get their oil and kill brown people. Marshmallow stupidly tries to appease them and gets torn to shreds. The left openly calls for civil disobedience. Hollywood goes into full-on hate mode, turns out movies with American soldiers a villains. Fahrenheit 911.

The official left worries about phantom "racists" attacks on innocent Muslims everywhere. Tries to hide or disclaim terrorist attacks but plays up white nutjob shooters.

The left spreads conspiracy theories about 9/11, claiming it was THE JEWS or the CIA or Marshmallow. It was a controlled explosion! You can't melt steel with extreme heat and pressure!! Yes, you can dumbshits.

The left savages Bush because ghetto blacks refused to leave New Orleans before Katrina hit and then looted, shot and raped each other before the authorities could get there and stop them. "George Bush hates black people."

Rape Sarah Palin the f*cking r*tard b*tch!!!! I hope her sl*t daughter gets raped by a black guy! Herman Cain is a house n*gger!!! Micheal Steel is a house n*gger!

Obama gets elected: "elections have consequences" ... "this is the first time I've ever been proud of this country."

Obama's policies are anti-white, anti-male, anti-South, anti-heterosexual, and anti-religions-other-than-Islam. Van Johnson talks about moving pollution creating industries into white neighborhoods. His justice department declares that civil rights laws are not meant to protect whites. It invents "rape culture" at colleges.

Obama doesn't visit natural disasters in red states.

Occupy Wall Street screams antisemetic hate... rapes and kills at their hate camps. Yet, Democrats instead attack Tea Party as racist extremists for laying out clear policy guidelines about spending. I heard someone yell "N*gger" from the crowd at John Lewis! Are you sure they weren't talking about Herman Caine?

Some Hispanic loser kills a black teen and whites are to blame. Black thugs get killed by cops after drawing weapons and whites are accused of hunting blacks. Even black cops are part of white supremacy. "WE DEMAND POLICE CAMERAS!" Whoops, the cameras show blacks are lying... "POLICE CAMERAS ARE RACIST!"

Trump is elected, the left admits: "We've been calling all Republicans racist for so long that word's lost its power when we find a real racist." Funny how Trump's schtick was cool when he was a Democrat.

The left calls for "resistance". Abdanons friends who support Trump.

Cancel culture goes into high gear.

Metoo tries to create guilty upon allegation without proof, logic or timelimits. Funny how all the predators were liberals.

BLM stokes race hate worse than the KKK ever did. We want reparations and no more cops!

Leftist tech firms ban conservatives they don't like. Make themselves arbiters of truth.

The left screams about packing the Supreme Court because that pesky constitution stands in the way of their plans.

The left tries to destroy every piece of history: the flag, pledge of allegiance, every confederate statute and street name, Abraham Lincoln is a racist, George Washington

Antifa takes over cities and creates murder/chaos zones - kills blacks and burns buildings, but the cops are the bad guys. Murders through the roof... all that blood is on the left's hands.

Sure, the antivaxers are retards, but the left has gone full Nazi on vaccines. You will join us or you will be persona non grata... a nonperson... an infidel.

And that's just off the top of my head. This is the problem with leftist calls for unity. When leftists call for tolerance, they really mean "you will bend to my will." And the tools they use to force that range from insulting language to full-on terrorism. They will burn your city, cancel you professionally, abandon you as a friend, and make you legally a non-person with no rights. That's bullshit. That's Nazism. So you'll pardon me, Kamala, if I tell you to stick that call for unity up your ass.

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Commentarama Right... Again

And Commentarama is right again. Here's an article from the left-leaning Guardian... weeks late, mind you... confirming what Commentarma readers already knew:

Despite media claims to the contrary, whites are not disappearing, they are actually growing as a percentage of the population. Whoops.

Ahead of the Curve again

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College Ball

There has been an interesting development in college football. This off-season the Big 12 was crippled when Texas and Oklahoma announced they would flee to the SEC. I'll tell you why everyone should have seen this coming... and what the Big 12 should do now.

"This is terrible!!" scream the sportswriters. Texas and Oklahoma's decision is "all about money!!" //vigorously wrings hands

Well, yes it is, but it's also your fault sportswriters. For years now, sportswriters have pushed obsessively for a national playoff for college football. They swore it would settle all arguments (as if that was a good thing) and wouldn't harm anything we love about college football. But it did. And that it would spoil things was obvious. In fact, I pointed it out: a playoff system changes how value is derived from college football... and that changes behavior.

Pre-playoffs, the value in college football was in beating your rivals and getting to a big name bowl game. That drove fan turn out, which drove ratings. That meant both ticket sales and national television contracts. To get into a great bowl game, every win mattered. The more you won, the better your bowl. So all games mattered. By going 11-0 Nobody State could actually end up in the Orange Bowl or Cotton Bowl. Also, by having cool rivalries and scheduling them on Thanksgiving or the last day of the year, or whatever, you got television coverage. Army v. Navy is the coolest game ever, even though neither team will ever be national champs. This meant any team could matter.

That's not true now. Once they created the playoffs, the definition of value changed. Now value is about getting into the plyoffs. Bowl games became irrelevant. Conferences because irrelevant, except to the extent they gave you a leg up getting into the playoffs. Rivalries? Who cares! All that matters to sportswriters and television is the playoffs. If you don't believe me, watch the coverage this year. Not an article will be written on a national platform about a team that cannot make it to the playoffs. And when teams unexpectedly climb into that category, all the articles about them will be whether or not they can make it and if they deserve to. What's more, the moment they can no longer make it, the articles stop. This is the world the playoffs created: only 10-20 teams matter.

In light of this, it makes total sense that teams like Texas would do what they did. In the Big 12, they had rivals and the ability to sell television contracts in Texas. But the SEC has much more to offer. The SEC pays bigger money, because its television contract is the best. SEC teams dominate the top 10. They dominate the playoffs. Sure, Clemson or Ohio State win the championship from time to time, but the SEC rules. And the reason they dominate is the money they get lets them build first rate facilities and hire the best coaches, and the notoriety of being in the SEC draws in the best athletes.

This is the consequence of these sportswriters pushing for a playoff. They can grouse all they want, but this is the natural response to what they did. This is their fault. They killed the bowl system. They devalued tradition. They made all but 10 teams irrelevant. This isn't over either. The ACC will eventually lose Florida State, Clemson and Miami to the SEC. Parts of the PAC 12 (e.g. USC, UCLA, Colorado, Washington, Oregon) will likely merge with the Big 10. Notre Dame will one day be forced to join one or the other. And everyone else gets second tier status. Sorry.


*****************

So now the proposal. What should the rest of the Big 12 do? They've just learned that they are second tier and nobody wants them. Even with sportswriters telling the PAC 12 and Big 10 to pick over their bones, no one wanted any. So should they all just quit? No. I have a plan that could turn the table and change everything: go BIG! Seek out others school on the basis of avoiding irrelevance and create a new Big 12 like this:

(1) Build four football divisions of about 6-8 teams each, leaving room for expansion. They would look like this ("#" means they were ranked in last three years):

East: Cincinnati(7), West Virginia(6), Central Florida(7), South Florida(21), East Carolina, Army(19), Navy(23)

Midwest: Iowa State(6), Kansas, Kansas State(16), Oklahoma State(6), Tulsa(18), Bowling Green, Memphis(15), Tulane

Texas: Baylor(7), TCU(15), Texas Tech(25), Houston(17), SMU(15), Rice, UTEP

West: Boise State(13), BYU(8), Colorado State, Utah State(14), San Diego State(24), Fresno State(16), Air Force Academy(22)

(2) To bolster the football teams, focus on creating an elite basketball conference. This will consist of two divisions of 16 and 20 teams, using the above and a few more who do not have football programs. Here, I would reach for elite or sentimental where possible:

East

Already in: West Virginia(2), Memphis(9), Iowa State(17), Cincinnati(20), Central Florida(25), South Florida, East Carolina, Army, Navy, Bowling Green, Tulane

Add: Villanova(1), Xavier(3), Butler(5), Seton Hall(8)

West

Already in: Kansas(1), Baylor(1), San Diego State(4), Houston(5), Texas Tech(6), TCU(10), Oklahoma State(11), SMU(11), Kansas State(12), BYU(14), Utah State(15), Colorado State, Rice, UTEP, Tulsa, Boise State, Fresno State, Air Force Academy

Add: Gonzaga(1), Creighton(7)

(3) Cut a deal with Amazon to stream games of the week for free as an Unlimited promotion and then sell the rest as an "all sports" package (you get football, basketball, and whatever else they want to show). I would do a Friday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday night game of the week - one from each conference. Sunday and Monday would compete with the NFL, but NFL games can be putrid at times and you can pick regions that aren't implicated in the NFL games that week.

Thoughts?

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Thank God For Biden

Thank God Biden is president. Without him, we would be in a real mess.

I mean, we might have out-of-control inflation. But Biden assures us the worst inflation in 30 years is only temporary. If it wasn't for that assurance, I would worry that we're repeating 1981 all over again. But that was 30 years ago, so no worries.

Biden killed that guy too, the one who helped plan the deaths of 13 Marines and 170 Afghans. Sure, the numbers seem skewed but he was a planner. He's the one who told that guy to wear a suicide vest and go where all the foreigners are huddle together. Without him, no one would have figured that out. I must say, I am satisfied. And it's not like Biden's total f-ups caused the situation either. Plus, it felt all machoee to hear his press chick look at the camera and tell us in firm, harsh language that Biden wants whoever is responsible for the nearly 200 deaths to no longer live on this earth. Oh, I feel all dirty, but in a good way.

... And yes, I'm sure this was the right guy. I mean, who else could it be? Besides, Biden would never lie. Plus, I'm sure he was clinging to life on earth rather than some fantasy land about virgins in paradise, so this was serious punishment. Yup, I am satisfied.

Biden stopped COVID too. I mean, there aren't more Americans in hospitals now than at any time during the pandemic, right? And ICU beds aren't filled to such a degree that non-Covid patients are dying from being turned away.

Plus, we cannot deny that he gave us comfort on the origins of Covid. They aren't sure if the Chinese made it or if some Chinese guy got it intercoursing a monkey, but Biden has concluded that even if the Chinese made it, they absolutely did not make it as part of a biological weapon. No siree, they made it as a party favor. I feel safer already.

At least he's asked questions like what Google was doing funding this lab... well, he may ask that question... someday.

He handled that Hurricane in Haiti well though. Doing nothing was just the trick. Just like in Tennessee. Some might say a President owes some attention to flooding victims but Biden says "f*k that."

At least he's protecting tenants... oops. I meant, keeping unemployment benefits going... uh. Would you believe lightening the load of college debt... for a select few?

The Europeans do love him. That's a fact... was a fact. Not so much now. Oh, and if you want to see Europe, go now. They're closing the borders for us again.

You know, I see your doubtful looks and all I can say is you are wrong. Biden killed a man and that's cool. He took an eye for 366 eyes. He made America sound tough and that's all that counts. The world shook. And so what if he went on vacation as Afghanistan burned. It's not like he played golf. He solved Covid outside of Florida. Stranding Europe in Afghanistan? Well, they shouldn't have been there in the first place! And Haiti? F*k Haiti, it's full of Haitians. Who needs that? Screw landlords and tenants too, they're all big corporations. Screw Europe too. As for Covid, it's only Trump supporters getting it, so screw them. And that guy with the monkey? He had it coming. Stop picking on Biden! Give him credit for the good things he's done. His son and wife died. Died! You can't criticize a man whose wife died! And his other son is a saint. A SAINT! Leave Biden alone. So he stages his press conferences and gets pissed when people ask him questions he didn't approve. And his VP is an incompetent cackler. Stop judging! It's hard enough just finding a way into the White House. And it's not like Biden has gotten to relax and sniff any women or children in months!

So just stop. Let the man be.

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Update...

Just to update some recent things we've talked about:

RACE

Lots of minorities are posting gloating articles about the number of whites dropping and minorities slowing taking over. Ha ha whitey. But as I told you, the reality is quite different and they are about to be disappointed. I'm not alone in recognizing this either. Indeed, I'm seeing a steady beat of articles from black intellectuals ringing the panic bell. In particular, there are two strains of panic.

First and loudest, despite claims that the number of blacks went up, black intellectuals know this is not true and they are worried that blacks are not having enough babies and will lose political power. Their biggest worries are not enough babies and the rise of mixed-race blacks, who are not loyal blacks. So as I said, they want you to believe the lie for some reason.

Backing this up, by the way, are a growing number of articles about how the number of blacks has dropped dramatically in places like New York City and Chicago. Chicago lost 180,000 blacks between 2000 and 2010 and another 85,000 between 2010 and 2020. Hispanics, on the other hand, grew by about 40,000. This has flipped the racial makeup of the city to such a point that Chicago's 18-5 black to Hispanic aldermen ratio may actually flip entirely after redistricting.

“It’s absolutely going to get ugly. You’ve seen precipitous population loss in the African American community and you’ve seen some growth in the Latino community,” said Alderman Brendan Reilly, 42nd. “I think that both are going to come in with a head of steam, and they’re going to draw some pretty extreme maps.”

Good times.

Secondly, there is unease that to create the impression that whites are shrinking, the Census had to push the idea of separating Hispanics from whites. This may feel satisfying, but they know it's an illusion. In fact, interestingly, you might not remember this, but around the 2000 Census, the left was determined to remove any reference to Hispanic from the Census because they wanted to hide the issue of the number of Mexicans in the US. They thought that was going to get whites to eject illegals and so they tried to hide the issue. By the 2020 Census, however, they had become so convinced that they would control Hispanics that they wanted to highlight the number. But as I explained, that's an illusion too. The US is actually identifying more and more as white.

AFGHANISTAN

Wow. This just keeps getting worse. Biden obviously made a fool of himself saying in July that the Taliban would not take over. That was foolish. But now come the lies and disgraces. First, Biden lied to claim that no one told him the Afghan government might collapse. DOD, CIA and State have all denied that whopper. Second, Biden lied about consulting the Europeans, who are pissed he told them nothing and apparently still won't tell them anything. Third, Biden blamed this on Trump and the locals for not wanting to fight, when we basically knocked their legs out from under them. Fourth, Biden lied about our efforts to evacuate people. We've done nothing as the Euros went around and rescued people. He lied about people being able to get to the airport when the Taliban has stopped them. He lied about controlling the airport when the Taliban surround it. He lied about people dying at the airport when we have video showing them die. He lied about the number of jets and the number of people on them. This has been the most incompetent evacuation ever. He lied about why we had no plan to evacuate people, giving contradictory reasons why he had no plan in place and took no action. Then it gets even more despicable: Biden lied to coverup the fact we are abandoning the Afghan interpreters and others who helped us by claiming they didn't want to leave Afghanistan. EVERYONE involved says that's entirely false. He was also outed as having said "F*ck that! Nixon got away with it" when someone in Obama's administration told him we had a responsibility to help these people. Utterly shameful.

INFLATION

Like I mentioned, social security is looking at a 6% raise, which is an admission that inflation is likely 10%. But then they announced that they were raising welfare payments by 26%. Think about what that means.

TAXES

Biden is planning to hike taxes on small business. He's going to give rich people a break though by trying to make their state taxes deductible again. This is aimed at subsidizing high tax liberal states like New York and California and 90% of it will go to the genuinely rich.

yay liberalism...

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Something Is Wrong In America

Something has definitely gone wrong in America these days, and I'm not even talking politics. I'm just speaking on a personal level. It seems the world is suddenly full of the worst kind of narcissists, losers, whiners and malingerers. A perfect example of this is this guy:

What bothers me about this inbred motherf*cker is that there are a whole army of this guy roaming the streets of Colorado Springs compensating for their tiny dicks by driving these exact same pickup trucks, trying to make themselves feel like men by terrorizing children in crosswalks, throwing crap at athletes at sporting events from afar, and screaming at defenseless employees that they ain't wearing no mask... always lashing out at a target chosen carefully for their inability to fight back.

These guys are the definition of cowards. They desperately need to bully others to prove their manhood, but they lack the physical and mental prowess to do it, because they are small and weak and stupid and pointless -- and frankly, if you have to prove your manhood, then you don't have it in the first place. So they hide behind machines to compensate... small-dicked cowards in pickup trucks... pointless loses with guns who shoot up schools... pathetic loners trolling the internet... nasty sheep pushing intolerant tolerance to control from afar.

In the past, these beer-bellied goat-f*ckers were shunned by society and busted by the cops when they picked fights at strip clubs or got caught masturbating behind the dumpster. Now, it seems that banks are lending them money to let them move out of the trailer park, country music and talk radio glorify their idiocy, and the world is a worse place because of them.

These subhumans aren't the only problem in American society, far from it, but they are the model of what has gone wrong with this country. The rugged, educated individualist has turned into the whiny, retarded, compensating bully.

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Afghanistan

Afghanistan. The "Graveyard of Empires." Let's talk about Afghanistan. I have several thoughts.

First... the Afghan government and military have collapsed. They weren't even beaten on the field, they just evaporated as institutions once we left. Who could have predicted that, right? Well, I did. This quote is from me in 2009 at this very blog:

There is nothing about Afghanistan (or anywhere else in the world) that tells me that democracy can be imposed by outsiders where it does not have strong roots already. Their culture is destructive and is simply not suited for any form of cooperative government. Yes, we can create a pretend democracy as long as we occupy the country. But the moment we leave, they will revert to their natural instincts. Thus, our plans to create a stable Afghanistan by imposing a democracy on these people are doomed to fail. The moment we leave, everything will evaporate.

So I was right. Afghanistan is not a country, it's a cluster of ethnic tribes with no common ground. Nor are they civilized. They are not a people who grasp the value of peaceful coexistence, civil and legal rights, and all the things which have made the West a success, and they will never defend those things. The idea that we could unite them into a country was always foolish. And that proved true.

Secondly... the fact these people won't even stand up for themselves is the most damning bit of evidence we never should have been there. And somehow, no one noticed in the past 20 years and $100 billion. Why not?

Third... Biden made the right call leaving. Yup. Just as we never should have gone in, we should not have stayed. It makes no sense to lose one single precious American life to try to maintain the fiction that this is a country worth "protecting." That was New World Order hubris. And honestly, you need to doubt the judgment or integrity of anyone telling you that we needed to stay. If we couldn't turn them into a functioning country willing to defend themselves in TWENTY year, it was never going to happen. We were wasting time, money and lives. I feel bad for everyone who was injured or killed in this cause and I feel bad for everyone in Afghanistan who helped us and will now suffer, but this did need to end and it was never going to end in victory. So I do give Biden credit for having the nerve to pull the plug.

Fourth... THAT SAID, Biden is a fool who really botched this. Just like the Democrats screwed up our exit in Vietnam by cutting all funding for the fledgling South Vietnam government, Biden screwed this up by fleeing. An orderly exit could have been achieved if someone other than the New World Order types had done the thinking. Cutting this up into smaller, defensible countries, handing them off to ethnically related neighbors, and building the military into sustainable militias would have prevented the collapse... but flies in the face of NWO dreams.

Fifth... Biden trying to blame this debacle on Trump is despicable. You botched this, sir. You alone are responsible for the clusterf*ck that ensued.

Sixth... Biden blaming Trump won't work either. Trump had no hand in this, it was all Biden and that's obvious. What's more, the MSM isn't in the most forgiving mood anymore regarding Biden. His failures and disgraces are piling up and the writing is on the wall; it's time for the MSM to look for a new hero. As an aside, as his disasters pile up, Biden is giving Jimmy Carter a run for his money as worst president ever.

Seventh... from a technical standpoint, the failure on this is interesting. First, you have the moral and cultural failures I've addressed. But there's an interesting judgment failure here too. As warlords, they had stood up well to the Taliban, so why did they fall apart at the word "boo" here? Well, it turns out that when the NWO types rebuilt the Afghan Army, they built it along Western lines, with the idea of huge supply chains, just in time delivery of ammo and food, massive air support, and paperwork galore. A dirt poor sh*thole country could not continue that supply chain and had no air force, which left their troops without support, food, ammo or medical help. Twenty years of building and the "experts" built it along the wrong model.

Eighth... the NWO types want us to worry that this leaves the US vulnerable, but will it? I don't think so. First, no one doubts the US will go to war quite easily. So don't expect any state actors to get (more) uppity. On the other hand, you might think this will discourage people from working with us, right? Except what the Taliban is about to do to the Afghan people will scare everyone else worldwide into accepting US help if it's offered. This will be the Khmer Rouge all over again.

Ninth... finally, I think it's important to note that once again, we made the mistake here of joining a civil war. We came in to get Al Queda and we ended up picking a fight with the Taliban. They are two different groups. And as sh*tty as the Taliban are, they are just the other side of the same coin of the other ethnic groups, and by fighting them, we picked sides in a civil war. If the goal was Al Queda, that's who we should have gotten and then left. Fighting the Taliban was deciding to become king makers... and you can't impose a king from outside.

Thoughts?

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Why Lie?

So the last few days I explained why ALL the headlines and conventional wisdom about the Census data are provably wrong (make sure you read my comments). Twenty million whites have not died off. The black population is shrinking, not growing. Hispanics are growing, but there are two types of Hispanics and most of them identify as white. Whites are not and will not become a minority. The majority of kids are not browns. Etc. This stuff is super easy to verify, yet everyone is running around repeating these bizarrely false claims. Why?

All told, I would say the left has three reasons why they would lie about this. Talk radio has one. Talk radio wants to scare you into continuing to listen: stay afraid... stay afraid... buy my book! The left's rational is more complicated. The left has been promising a racial takeover of the United States for decades now. You would think it would be bad to keep making this promise if it isn't true or can easily be debunked. But then, human nature tells us otherwise because few people are genuinely rational. Here are the reasons the left is lying:

(1) Scare The Opposition: By beating this drum, the left gets many on the right and in the center to cower in fear of the coming brownpocalyse. This does several things. It gets many to surrender and try appeasement: i.e. if they will soon be the majority, we better do things to earn their good graces now. A similar line of reasoning would keep these people from fighting too hard in the hopes of some sort of truce in the future: i.e. I didn't mess with you then, remember, so don't mess with me now. Then there is the aspect of demoralization. This is similar to the first two, but it leads to a kind of inaction because of the sense of futility: i.e. why bother doing anything, there's nothing we can do. Finally, there's a kind of dastardly idea, which is this might encourage a certain set to act out against brown people and thereby help make the sales pitch that whites are racist easier to sell to browns.

(2) Groupthink: Leftists don't need to be right, ever, to keep their followers following them. Their followers excel at cognitive dissonance and disavowing their own actions. By continuing to beat this drum, they keep these leftists in line by promising a glorious socialist future a-comin' if they can only hang on long enough for browns to breed themselves into the majority... have faith, the promised land is almost here. There's little danger of their collectives figuring out the truth either. Consider that the left has kept the anti-gun nuts, the environmental nuts, the feminists, the gays, the race baiters, etc. all on the hook with promises the left repeatedly goes out of its way to never fulfill, lest these groups get satisfied and leave. They will accept this version of Paradise Coming as well.

(3) Leftist Browns: These people know the score. They've seen the numbers. They know the Democrats have realized brown-power-America is not coming. Yet, the image of brown-power-America coming is useful to them for reasons 1 and 2 above. They can use it to drive a hard bargain with moderates and surrenderists to get things now on credit in the false believe that one day they will be the ruling class. They can simultaneously use it to keep their weak-minded collectives in line.

There's something else too though. I think there is another reason this group keeps this fantasy going: they want it to be true. You see this all the time with humans, where we act according to things we wish would come true even though a reasonable assessment tells us it will never happen. We buy things we can't afford in the hope of an unrealistic pay raise or stock market win. We buy lottery tickets. We buy clothes that don't fit in the hope that if we can just lose those last 40 pounds, they will soon fit. Human beings are terrible at living in reality... we live in hope for fantasy. They know better though, right? Yeah, but when you live in a big city surrounded by nothing but blacks and Hispanics and your television is full of them, it's not so hard to believe that despite the numbers maybe it is really happening. That's called drinking the KoolAid. Add in a slew of professors and activists who tell us that minorities are always under-counted or if you squint at the data it looks kind of like something other than what it is, and it's easy to slip into fantasy. As a lawyer, I see this with clients all the time.

All told, what you are seeing is a lie, and the people telling it either know it is a lie or can figure it out in seconds if they bother to look, but it fits a narrative that does a whole lot of things they like and they kind of want it to be true, so they keep telling it.

Thoughts?

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The End of White America?

'Twenty years ago if you told people this was going to be the case, they wouldn't have believed you,' said William Frey, demographer at the leftwing Brookings Institution. 'The country is changing dramatically.'

That's a lie. No one would have doubted it. To the contrary, that's been the left's strategy since the late 1980s. It won't happen either. Why? There's something wrong in the numbers. Let's discuss.

The left has been playing the minority strategy for some time. They believed that one day soon, American demographics would shift so that whites, while still the majority group, would be less than 50% of the population - what they call a minority-majority state. And the left believed that if they could band together all the browns, then they could take over from the whites. To their glee, it was predicted that by 2020, America would reach the point where browns would outnumber whites, then they would take over! Mwooo hoo ha ha! Only, it didn't happen. Huh. //scratches head So they moved the date back. It will happen in 2025, 2030, 2035, 2041!!!

But will it happen? No.

What they didn't realize is that Hispanics stop having babies in the numbers they do as peasants in Guatalashithole when they move here. Even Mexico has gone this route now and is far below replacement level (I told you about this when the blog started). So every census, they keep moving back the takeover date... and they'll move it again because it will never happen. Let's look at the numbers.

According the news reports on the Census report, blacks "stayed steady" at 12.5% of the population. Good for them, but it's not true. Hispanics are now "almost 20%," ok, we'll see. Asians are around 6%. Pacific Islanders are 1.5% and whites "could dip below 60%."

Really?

Blacks first. "Blacks" stayed steady at 12.5%, right? Not quite. 8% of blacks are actually mixed with Asians or whites. 5% of blacks are Hispanic blacks. This means that 13% of blacks are mixed, and mixed is not the same as Black. I'll talk about that another day, but just accept that blacks are shrinking. While the claim is they are holding steady, they are actually down 13%. For now, let's not worry about this, but it will matter. Trust me on this.

Whites. If you do the math above, you get around 60% whites, which makes the media giddy. But when you look at the number of people reporting as "white," it's actually 73%. The reason for this is that Hispanics, except for black-Hispanics, are actually white people. So is it fair to count them as whites?

Well, that depends on what generation they are. 77% of Hispanics are third generation Hispanics. This means that their parents were born in the US and they were born in the US. That's actually higher than non-Hispanic whites. A full 95% of this group speaks English, not Spanish. They give their kids Anglo names, not Hispanic names. And marketing groups are frustrated by their inability to reach them. They describe them as people who are proud of their Hispanic heritage but identify as Americans and are proud of being Americans. They feel that marketers do not understand them because they want to be reached as Americans, not Hispanics. Said differently, they don't identify as Hispanics and that makes it hard for marketers to reach them.

Moreover, the big headline you will hear pounded at you is how whites shrank for the first time. Oh my. But the reason for that is that during Covid, Millenians stopped building families. They will take up again in a year or so and we will face a white baby boom, which will offset these last couple years.

Anyways, back to Hispanics. Considering the third generation issue is important. Hispanics are listed as "around 20%" though they are really only 18.5%. That means that 14.2% points of the 18.5% "Hispanic population" are actually third generation, or whites with Hispanic heritage who identify as whites. Add those to whites and you suddenly get the following:

61.7% Whites
14.2% White with Hispanic Heritage
4.3% Hispanics
10.9% Blacks
1.6% Mixed Race Blacks
5.8% Asians
1.5% Pacific Islanders

So, whites are actually 75.9%. Blacks are 10.9%. Asians are 5.8%. Hispanic-Hispanics are 4.3%. What's more, as Hispanics live here, they become more white until they blur into the white population. I honestly don't think whites will ever fall below 70% based on this. (Why does it seem there are so many? They cluster in Texas and California.)

Even worse for the Democrats, Asians are more white than whites and are slowing becoming full Republicans (they will take over the California Republican Party actually). Hispanics become the same as white as they become third generation, which means they become Republicans. There are signs that black males are starting to break from the Democrats because of their shift to white women as their power base. And then there's the mixed race danger I will talk about later. The end result is the total collapse of the demographic strategy.

This is why the Democrats went into such a panic after the last election, because they realized that (1) minorities will not take over as the majority as the Democrats assumed when they looked at immigrant birth rates and assumed that was normal for Hispanics, and (2) everyone except blacks proved to be more Republican than expected.

Talk radio will blast you with: white people are about to be outnumbered by the brown hoards!!! Cower in fear and buy my newsletter! But it's not true.

Thoughts?

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It's 1980 All Over Again

Do you remember the early 1980s? I do. It was an odd time. Right before Reagan's policies kicked in and saved the United States, we hit a period of inflation that was both strange and unprecedented. Almost overnight, everything doubled in expense. Seemingly without anyone noticing, everything changed and a new normal appeared and everybody acted like nothing had happened. I think we're going through that again.

Normal inflation is a couple percentage points a year. What was $1 this year becomes $1.03 next year and $1.08 the next. Ho hum. In a bad year, $1 become $1.25 and people complain. In the 1930s in Germany, inflation was insane and 1 deutschmark became 10,000 overnight... and the system collapsed. But in the 1970s, something stranger happened. Overnight, $1 became $3 and no one noticed. The price of a cheap car went from $3,000 to $15,000 within months. Middle class houses went from $80,000 to $200,000. Food items went from $0.10 to $0.99. And then inflation stopped. Even stranger, nobody noticed. Everyone just took it as the new normal and moved on with the new numbers as if these had always been the prices for things.

Part of the reason no one cared was that wages went up with the change in prices. In fact, wages doubled from the late 1970s to the mid-1980s and Reagan created massive numbers of new high-paying jobs (like defense jobs) which took people to new income brackets. Still, it was funny not to hear people in shock about what X cost only a few months ago. I think the effect ultimately was what you see when people come into money: they stop caring what things cost. With everyone suddenly richer, they didn't care that everything was no more expensive.

I think we're in that kind of moment again. Housing prices have doubled in the past half-decade with a 25% rise last year alone. Food has more than doubled. Everything is getting crazy expensive. How expensive? Consider the Big Max index, my favorite indicator of inflation between countries. The Big Mac index assumes that McDonalds does three things: (1) sources locally, (2) obtains goods and supplies from a broad cross-section of society, and (3) drives vicious bargains. Thus, what it pays is a good indication of what living costs locally. And what it charges between countries is a great comparison of the actual cost of things. Thus, you can find out what a currency is really worth by comparing the prices of Big Macs in the different countries.

This works just as well looking backwards in time as it does across countries. The cost of a Big Mac meal was around $7 just 5-7 years ago. Now it's $11. Expect it to be $12-13 by the end of the year. If the $15 minimum wage hits, expect McDonalds to add another $1-$3 surchage. That's basically a doubling. And don't forget about shrinkflation. The media has finally discovered this, that products are getting smaller but being kept in the same packages even as prices rise. That means inflation is even worse than the dollars indicate. (As an aside, I'm pretty sure McDonalds has cut 1-3 ounces out of their drinks, which works out to tens of millions of ounces saved a day.)

People are noticing the inflation and the shrinkflation (though less so) but no one seems to realize the scope. The government is taking about 6%. Most people talk about 1-2 items in isolaton. But few have put it all together. The entire US market just jumped up double what it had been.

Now comes the catch... salaries have not kept up.

Liberals have been pushing the $15 minimum wage, but that only affects a tiny number of people and no one above them is getting pushed up equally. Lots of good liberals are quite pissed to find out that their teenagers are suddenly making nearly as much as they are after decades of work. People I know at big established firms are getting the usual 3-4%. Social Security might get as high as 6%.

That 6% is a catch too. Because the government says there is 6% inflation, few companies will give more than that as a cost of living raise, even if the real number is 200%. This is bad. Why?

First, it means that workers get screwed. Your real wages are about to get crushed because your raise will never keep up with inflation. Sure, your company will be more competitive because you just got cheaper, but you are the one paying for their luck.

Secondly, this means that things like investments and loans are all priced wrong and if you end up on the wrong side, you will get destroyed. If you own a long term investment, it probably just lost a lot of value.

Third, it means everyone's standard of living is about to drop as things become massively more expensive. Middle and lower middle class wages will not be able to buy homes.

Fourth, it means retirees are going to get crushed.

Fifth, it means we all need to rethink the cost of things. It means we need to adjust mentally to what things should cost, what is too much, and what is not too much. It means not knowing what you can really afford at the moment. It makes budgetting super hard -- it's going to be a bit like going to a foreign country where the prices seem all right until you realize that the currency difference make them all kind of screwy and you don't really know if you're being raped or not.

Thoughts?

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