Monday, September 7, 2020

More Signs

I've always pointed out that polls lie. What you really want to look for is solid evidence that isn't run through a political filter. What I'm finding is actually surprisingly good for Trump at the moment. Observe.

● Let's start with this: Is BLM taking hold? Will it drive black turn out and help the Democrats? Has anyone noticed that there are no black people at the BLM riots? Does it seem a tad strange that everyone being arrested has been either a scraggly 40 year-old white male barista or a 30 year-old smelly white eternal-collegegurl? If BLM ever was about blacks, it's not anymore. It's about whiny upper-class progressives. What's more, people are sick of it. How do I know? There was an article the other day which collected a bunch of quotes from leftist writers about the future. Each one was deeply pessimistic. Each one suggested that their best chance at police reform was over, that too many people had faked their support, and that the Democrats failed them... plus, of course, inherent racism. This was a blame session which means its over. A couple seemed desperate to turn Minnesota talking about defunding their cops (something now stalled) into an enormous moral victory. Moral victory = loss. So I think BLM as not motivated blacks.

● BLM hasn't motivated whites either, at least not in that direction. There is no wave of black candidates. No proclamation of the Year of the Black Whatever, either. The whites on the left have not given up their shot to let blacks have a chance. There's no evidence of white support among the public either. Consider that neither Biden nor Harris is talking about it. In fact, the talk is to the contrary, that the Democrats are disrespecting cops and they are driving away the people who decide places like Michigan. Micheal Moore is freaked out that they are going to lose Michigan, so are some Democratic Reps up there.

● Then consider basketball ratings. Basketball has been a hotbed of BLM activity. In fact, I would say it has become the focal point for the political movement as the riots have turned into smelly white tantrums. As I pointed out before, basketball ratings tanked by a third. The left has tried everything to explain this away from people suddenly not caring about sports to too much competition from reruns to blaming the owners' sincerity. All B.S. Now they've settled on the product not being good and the pandemic affecting it in some nebulous way. Yet, overseas rating (which see the same product and also have the same pandemic) are soaring -- like 150%. So something about basketball has turned off Americans but not anyone else. There's only one answer: politics. Add in that everyone like Netflix and Amazon who rushed to post black movie sections and the such has largely abandoned them. There is no surge in blacks appearing in commercials or in movies. The public has voted no.

● Women? Ha. Do you hear anything about women? Metoo has devolved into cat fighting. There is no band of women pimping for Biden. The media hasn't even dragged out the Trump-raped-me chicks.

● There's more. There has been a lot of nervous talk of Biden losing Florida because he's not drawing in Hispanics. Now there's a poll showing Biden 4% behind Hillary on Hispanics... and she lost Florida. Hispanics also make up Texas, Arizona and Nevada (remember that thought).

● Biden's convention viewing was down 18%. His bounce was pathetic at 5% and vanished after Trump's bounce.

● The Democrats are now ringing the alarm bell in North Carolina, where blacks were supposed to get him through. The only thing worrying me there is that the Democrats have a surge in absentee ballot requests, but that's not enough data yet to explain, especially with lots of colleges being closed.

● I saw a list of "battleground" states the other day which was surprising. Here's the list: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. None of those are red states, despite the left saying places like Texas and Arizona were in play, they aren't on the list... see Hispanics. Note too that Minnesota, Colorado, Wisconsin and now Virginia and Nevada have been reliably blue. This suggests something bad is happening for Biden.

● Finally, Biden has been spending a large amount of time apologizing for gaffes when normally the media covers for the Democrats. What's more, his campaign has devolved into wrapping himself in the blood of his dead son and hoping the same old people can smear Trump with his supporters. That didn't work before. Why would it work now?



tryanmax said...

To my eye, the fact that Minne*bleeping*sota is in play is the most glaringly obvious sign that the Biden campaign done messed up. I've got connections up that way and, for the life of me, I've never figured out how MN is so consistently Democratic, even in the the Twin Cities area. Culturally and fiscally, everyone up there is a Hollywood caricature of a conservative, but they all vote blue. It's like that whole state is drunk on the New Deal and never came to. But something *cough cough* seems to have shook that state awake.

AndrewPrice said...

tryanmax, That's both a shocking sign and yet somethings I've been waiting for. I think that within 20 years, the entire interior except for Chicago will vote Republican and the West Coast and the Northeast will all vote Democrat as whites finish shifting over to the GOP and single liberals keep moving to the coasts (the Democrat's demographic plan looks like it failed).

That said, Minnesota still seems oddly socialist, most likely because of their Germanic/Nordic heritage.

The fact Minnesota (and even Wisconsin) are in play is a huge sign Biden has trouble.

I will also be curious to see if Oregon or Washington State finally are in play with the riots pissing people off.

Tennessee Jed said...

If the election were held today, I think Trump pulls off an electoral landslide. In today’s world, who knows what “event” could change things. My biggest concern remains how good the Dems are at voter fraud

Tennessee Jed said...

Tryanmax, I lived outside the cities for five years between 1985 and 1990. I associate Minnesota with Scandinavian roots and populism. They were the only state to not vote for Reagan I think. But, I believe 2016 was very very close despite still going for Clinton in 2016. They have an independent streak and seem to make curious picks for political office (see Al Franken and Jesse Ventura.) I do think when the rioters talked about marching to Burnsville and other suburbs, it gave a real wake-up call

AndrewPrice said...

Ladies and Gentlemen, the media is warning us that the evil Russians are trying to make us think that Joe Biden might be soft in the head. Even worse, some poor people might actually believe it. Can you imagine someone thinking Slow Joe is stupid? Unthinkable.

AndrewPrice said...

Jed, Minnesota voted for Mondale in 1984. Minnesota and D.C. were the only places. Idiots.

I will be curious to see how this craziness on the left affects that. Will they finally wake up to the danger that their beliefs cause or will they stick their socialist heads on the snow and keep believing?

AndrewPrice said...

As an aside, by my count, BLM has now gotten 6 black police chiefs to resign. Way to help black people.

//slow clap

Critch said...

No mention of the rioting and unrest during the DNC, however, now Biden suddenly has ads blaming Trump for them and promising to end them...really..

Post a Comment