California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta has adviced us that "No matter who you are, nobody is above the law." Hooah! Nobody is above the law! Nobody! Unless you're homeless. Or you're Hunter Biden... or Hillary Clinton... or you're a democrat generally. Or you're a celebrity. Or you're part of a flash mob of young black victims of racism. Or you like knocking people out, knocking them off subway platforms, or shooting them on the job. Or you're here illegally. But other than that, nobody. And you can take that to what's left of the bank.
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Sunday, September 25, 2022
Thursday, September 22, 2022
Very Troubling Week
This has been a very troubling week. Three things stand out.
First, Putin is telling a completely backward view of history. He claims Ukraine invaded Russia, that western militaries are using the Ukrainian army as slaves (and he's suggesting our militaries are actually in the field), and that we are threatening Russia with nuclear war. All backwards. So is Putin deranged or is this what all (liberals and) dictators do: accuse the other guy of their own crimes? I'm leaning toward him not being deranged, but being scared. He's scared he's going to get killed if he loses and he must know he cannot win this war. Making it even worse, Turkey and China have both told him he needs to stop the war, yet he's not listening because if he stops the war, he dies.
The problem is that he's making threats to nuke Western cities (he specifically called out Britain, but he means us all). If he's scared, then he could do anything. Indeed, a lot of dictators and related monsters prefer to see everyone die if they need to die. That makes these very troubling threats.
The thing is, he doesn't even need to go full nuclear to destroy the world. A nuke or two in orbit could wipe out electrical grids and satellites, things we all depend on for things like food. It could take months for food to show up in grocery stories again. That would be a supply chain crisis to make early covid shortages look like the land of plenty. And if he hit a city? It's very hard to predict what the effect could be, but we are too dependent on the entire world working without a hitch for things not to fall apart badly. This is very, very troubling.
Secondly, forget Trump, but focus on DeSantis. DeSantis shipped some immigrants to liberal town, the same as the Democratic mayor of El Paso has been doing and the same as is pretty much routinely done. Did you think all those clumps of immigrants happened randomly? Hardly. There are 66,000 Hmung in Minneapolis because that is where they were sent by the government. So political stunt or not, this is typical behavior. Nevertheless, the Democrats are screaming to have him charged with a crime. What crime? They don't even know, and that is what makes this even more disturbing -- they want someone to find a crime to charge him with.
This is a huge step further down the Nazi road for these people: trying to criminalize being their opponent. At times, people have crossed various lines and the other side tried to make a case out of it, but this is different. This is a group of deranged, hateful leftist literally trying to use the power of government to imprison people with whom they disagree. And it's been building to this. This is just the next step in the woke creatures trying to cancel people who say the wrong thing or live in ways of with which they disagree. These are the criminal impulses of totalitarian regimes... third world dictators. This is a troubling trend.
Third, after a brief pause in inflation, it's taking off again with a vengeance. Do you recall how I told you gas prices would fall to around $3.20 from $4 in what is called a retrenchment and then would start up again? We hit around $3.35 here and then it turned around. Virtually overnight, we jumped back to $3.75. Then today, we went to $3.79. I look for $4 next week. Making this worse, on gas at least, part of the reason gas fell was a federal gas tax holiday, which ends in October. So it will rise significantly in October again. Gas also will now be shifted to heating homes.
Food prices are skyrocketing again too. All the excuses aligned this week: (1) bad harvest due to "climate change", (2) anything carbonated (beer, soda) is about to shoot up because the nation's largest source of carbon dioxide has somehow been contaminated by a dormant volcano, (3) transportation costs will rise because of gas prices rising and the supposed settlement with the rail workers, and (4) "labor shortages" (read: wage hikes to cover inflation). Someone estimated the other day that food prices are up about $500 a month per family ($6000 a year). Ours are up more than that, I can tell you. Look to double that before Christmas.
All very troubling.
[+] Read More...
First, Putin is telling a completely backward view of history. He claims Ukraine invaded Russia, that western militaries are using the Ukrainian army as slaves (and he's suggesting our militaries are actually in the field), and that we are threatening Russia with nuclear war. All backwards. So is Putin deranged or is this what all (liberals and) dictators do: accuse the other guy of their own crimes? I'm leaning toward him not being deranged, but being scared. He's scared he's going to get killed if he loses and he must know he cannot win this war. Making it even worse, Turkey and China have both told him he needs to stop the war, yet he's not listening because if he stops the war, he dies.
The problem is that he's making threats to nuke Western cities (he specifically called out Britain, but he means us all). If he's scared, then he could do anything. Indeed, a lot of dictators and related monsters prefer to see everyone die if they need to die. That makes these very troubling threats.
The thing is, he doesn't even need to go full nuclear to destroy the world. A nuke or two in orbit could wipe out electrical grids and satellites, things we all depend on for things like food. It could take months for food to show up in grocery stories again. That would be a supply chain crisis to make early covid shortages look like the land of plenty. And if he hit a city? It's very hard to predict what the effect could be, but we are too dependent on the entire world working without a hitch for things not to fall apart badly. This is very, very troubling.
Secondly, forget Trump, but focus on DeSantis. DeSantis shipped some immigrants to liberal town, the same as the Democratic mayor of El Paso has been doing and the same as is pretty much routinely done. Did you think all those clumps of immigrants happened randomly? Hardly. There are 66,000 Hmung in Minneapolis because that is where they were sent by the government. So political stunt or not, this is typical behavior. Nevertheless, the Democrats are screaming to have him charged with a crime. What crime? They don't even know, and that is what makes this even more disturbing -- they want someone to find a crime to charge him with.
This is a huge step further down the Nazi road for these people: trying to criminalize being their opponent. At times, people have crossed various lines and the other side tried to make a case out of it, but this is different. This is a group of deranged, hateful leftist literally trying to use the power of government to imprison people with whom they disagree. And it's been building to this. This is just the next step in the woke creatures trying to cancel people who say the wrong thing or live in ways of with which they disagree. These are the criminal impulses of totalitarian regimes... third world dictators. This is a troubling trend.
Third, after a brief pause in inflation, it's taking off again with a vengeance. Do you recall how I told you gas prices would fall to around $3.20 from $4 in what is called a retrenchment and then would start up again? We hit around $3.35 here and then it turned around. Virtually overnight, we jumped back to $3.75. Then today, we went to $3.79. I look for $4 next week. Making this worse, on gas at least, part of the reason gas fell was a federal gas tax holiday, which ends in October. So it will rise significantly in October again. Gas also will now be shifted to heating homes.
Food prices are skyrocketing again too. All the excuses aligned this week: (1) bad harvest due to "climate change", (2) anything carbonated (beer, soda) is about to shoot up because the nation's largest source of carbon dioxide has somehow been contaminated by a dormant volcano, (3) transportation costs will rise because of gas prices rising and the supposed settlement with the rail workers, and (4) "labor shortages" (read: wage hikes to cover inflation). Someone estimated the other day that food prices are up about $500 a month per family ($6000 a year). Ours are up more than that, I can tell you. Look to double that before Christmas.
All very troubling.
Sunday, September 18, 2022
Quick Aside on Labor Union Deal
Biden is touting the union deal with the railway workers as some sort of accomplishment. Wall Street articles are freaking out that this could encourage more labor unrest. Drudge is freaking out that unions are polling at their highest level of support since the 1960s. The end of capitalism is nigh!!! Well...
Let's do some math. They are getting a 24% raise over five years plus some back wages to cover this year. Sounds like a lot, right? Except, that's only a 4.5% raise each year of the deal. Does that really sound like a lot? Would you think you broke the bank with a 4.5% raise in this environment? With inflation supposedly at 8% (real rate probably around 35%) that means the real raise after five years is only 5% in total (1% a year). That's kind of sh*tty honestly.
I'm not a union guy but I'm not a corporate hack either. There are some terrible things going on in corporate America that we should probably talk about in a future article. Indeed, much of this supposed labor shortage is actually companies just not hiring anyone, hoping to trick current workers into making up the slack. With inflation, real salaries are plunging. And let's be clear, a solid dose of inflation may kill you, but it does wonders for corporate and government balance sheets.
My point, for now, is don't believe that this union deal is anything earth-shattering, as it's being sold. If anything, it shows a union that sold out its members with the help of a Democratic government that wanted to look good without hurting their big business masters. Why I'm the only one mentioning this is kind of interesting, isn't it? Don't buy the hype. And maybe, don't trust those ringing alarm bells or smiling oddly satisfied smiles.
[+] Read More...
Let's do some math. They are getting a 24% raise over five years plus some back wages to cover this year. Sounds like a lot, right? Except, that's only a 4.5% raise each year of the deal. Does that really sound like a lot? Would you think you broke the bank with a 4.5% raise in this environment? With inflation supposedly at 8% (real rate probably around 35%) that means the real raise after five years is only 5% in total (1% a year). That's kind of sh*tty honestly.
I'm not a union guy but I'm not a corporate hack either. There are some terrible things going on in corporate America that we should probably talk about in a future article. Indeed, much of this supposed labor shortage is actually companies just not hiring anyone, hoping to trick current workers into making up the slack. With inflation, real salaries are plunging. And let's be clear, a solid dose of inflation may kill you, but it does wonders for corporate and government balance sheets.
My point, for now, is don't believe that this union deal is anything earth-shattering, as it's being sold. If anything, it shows a union that sold out its members with the help of a Democratic government that wanted to look good without hurting their big business masters. Why I'm the only one mentioning this is kind of interesting, isn't it? Don't buy the hype. And maybe, don't trust those ringing alarm bells or smiling oddly satisfied smiles.
Saturday, September 17, 2022
A Couple of Interesting News Items
Some interesting news items as I work on more articles.
(1) The Putin Empire is falling apart. Ukraine has apparently destroyed a decade's worth of Soviet military hardware (literally, one decade's worth of modernization has been destroyed). The Russians are falling apart so fast and so completely and are abandoning such vast amounts of gear to the Ukrainians that the Ukrainians are joking about Russia operating a "lend lease program" to Ukraine.
Add to this: Azerbaijan has invaded Armenia, again. They have ancestral hatred going way back and have fought prior wars. Putin kept them at peace with the threat the Russians would smoooosh them if they didn't stop fighting. Now the kids are at it again. Further, Kyrgyzstan has attacked Tajikistan. Again, Putin held them together with fear of Russia. The fact these two wars are breaking out suggests everyone thinks Putin is finished.
It's looking bad for him personally too. More and more politicians in Russia are demanding he admit failure in the Ukraine. That was unthinkable a few weeks ago as Putin's iron grip was unchallenged. Not to mention, those who might challenge him had a way of falling out of windows. But apparently, there aren't enough windows left in Russia to stop everyone who wants to challenge him.
(2) The Dems are FREAKING OUT over 50 immigrants shipped to rich, white liberal Martha's Vineyard. Brilliant move. This has utterly exposed their hypocrisy and it's making them say things that are just nuts -- moving immigrants to different states is "human trafficking"? Wtf? Do they not know what human trafficking is? Moving to Martha's Vineyard is as bad as the Holocaust? How sh*tty is that place? They can't find somewhere to house 50 people? Funny, Colorado Springs houses thousands of drug addicted bums in low-rent hotels. New York does too. Have they no gymnasiums where they can put cots? How about a tent? Are the rich that incompetent or just that racist and elitist? This is an ugly look for the left. And the more they pile on so irrationally, the more damage it does.
Now someone in Congress needs to propose a law distributing illegal immigrants around the country (to liberal states mainly) in the name of sharing the burden and resources available to help these people. Come on Republicans. Do it. Watch the Democrats dance and squirm and explain how they should be exempt from having to have those dirty brown people near them.
(3) The Trump candidates are getting their butts handed to them. No surprise. The Senate is gone. The House is still likely though. Meanwhile, Trump is embracing QAnon. If you're still a fan, it might be time to rethink how stupid you're going to feel when he sinks to the bottom... if he has a bottom. You are now backing a man who is backing conspiracy theories about lizard people.
(4) Watching the outpouring for the Queen has been amazing. I am not a royalist and I salute no one, but I am always impressed by people who manage to touch millions of people. These people are tiny few in number. They come in many fields. It's not the position they hold, the politics they espouse or the skills they have. It is something human about them that makes us feel like the world is smaller when they are gone. Indeed, there are Popes, Princes and Presidents who died unloved or indifferently liked, but these people are special. Ronald Reagan comes to mind. People lined his funeral route from coast to coast to see the man who had touched them. Walt Disney represents childhood goodness to the world. Nelson Mandela gave us dignity. Bowie, Prince and Elvis made us sing. Bob Ross made us smile. And now the Queen passes as grandmother to us all. A dignified lady with a spunky side. I always wonder with celebrities, when you die, will anyone really care? Maybe you should ask why not?
As for the creatures exploiting the Queen's death to get famous or push racist grudges, the endless lines of people who mourn her death are the judgment of the world on your crap. Will anyone care when you die? Doubt it.
(5) The oil experts are saying downward price pressure is stopping, so the price of gas will start going up again -- especially in October and December. It's at $3.45 here, a tad above my prediction of $3.20. Retracement, folks. That's all it was. Sorry Joe. As an aside, FedEx is predicting a worldwide recession based on falling shipping volume. Yeah, that's coming.
(6) The headlines read: Biden support up strongly at 45%. Strongly? He was at 44%. Was that last percentage point such a doozy? Calling that "strongly" is an example of propaganda. And for the record, since most liberals won't know this, 45% is less than 50%. Seriously. But a calculator.
Thoughts?
[+] Read More...
(1) The Putin Empire is falling apart. Ukraine has apparently destroyed a decade's worth of Soviet military hardware (literally, one decade's worth of modernization has been destroyed). The Russians are falling apart so fast and so completely and are abandoning such vast amounts of gear to the Ukrainians that the Ukrainians are joking about Russia operating a "lend lease program" to Ukraine.
Add to this: Azerbaijan has invaded Armenia, again. They have ancestral hatred going way back and have fought prior wars. Putin kept them at peace with the threat the Russians would smoooosh them if they didn't stop fighting. Now the kids are at it again. Further, Kyrgyzstan has attacked Tajikistan. Again, Putin held them together with fear of Russia. The fact these two wars are breaking out suggests everyone thinks Putin is finished.
It's looking bad for him personally too. More and more politicians in Russia are demanding he admit failure in the Ukraine. That was unthinkable a few weeks ago as Putin's iron grip was unchallenged. Not to mention, those who might challenge him had a way of falling out of windows. But apparently, there aren't enough windows left in Russia to stop everyone who wants to challenge him.
(2) The Dems are FREAKING OUT over 50 immigrants shipped to rich, white liberal Martha's Vineyard. Brilliant move. This has utterly exposed their hypocrisy and it's making them say things that are just nuts -- moving immigrants to different states is "human trafficking"? Wtf? Do they not know what human trafficking is? Moving to Martha's Vineyard is as bad as the Holocaust? How sh*tty is that place? They can't find somewhere to house 50 people? Funny, Colorado Springs houses thousands of drug addicted bums in low-rent hotels. New York does too. Have they no gymnasiums where they can put cots? How about a tent? Are the rich that incompetent or just that racist and elitist? This is an ugly look for the left. And the more they pile on so irrationally, the more damage it does.
Now someone in Congress needs to propose a law distributing illegal immigrants around the country (to liberal states mainly) in the name of sharing the burden and resources available to help these people. Come on Republicans. Do it. Watch the Democrats dance and squirm and explain how they should be exempt from having to have those dirty brown people near them.
(3) The Trump candidates are getting their butts handed to them. No surprise. The Senate is gone. The House is still likely though. Meanwhile, Trump is embracing QAnon. If you're still a fan, it might be time to rethink how stupid you're going to feel when he sinks to the bottom... if he has a bottom. You are now backing a man who is backing conspiracy theories about lizard people.
(4) Watching the outpouring for the Queen has been amazing. I am not a royalist and I salute no one, but I am always impressed by people who manage to touch millions of people. These people are tiny few in number. They come in many fields. It's not the position they hold, the politics they espouse or the skills they have. It is something human about them that makes us feel like the world is smaller when they are gone. Indeed, there are Popes, Princes and Presidents who died unloved or indifferently liked, but these people are special. Ronald Reagan comes to mind. People lined his funeral route from coast to coast to see the man who had touched them. Walt Disney represents childhood goodness to the world. Nelson Mandela gave us dignity. Bowie, Prince and Elvis made us sing. Bob Ross made us smile. And now the Queen passes as grandmother to us all. A dignified lady with a spunky side. I always wonder with celebrities, when you die, will anyone really care? Maybe you should ask why not?
As for the creatures exploiting the Queen's death to get famous or push racist grudges, the endless lines of people who mourn her death are the judgment of the world on your crap. Will anyone care when you die? Doubt it.
(5) The oil experts are saying downward price pressure is stopping, so the price of gas will start going up again -- especially in October and December. It's at $3.45 here, a tad above my prediction of $3.20. Retracement, folks. That's all it was. Sorry Joe. As an aside, FedEx is predicting a worldwide recession based on falling shipping volume. Yeah, that's coming.
(6) The headlines read: Biden support up strongly at 45%. Strongly? He was at 44%. Was that last percentage point such a doozy? Calling that "strongly" is an example of propaganda. And for the record, since most liberals won't know this, 45% is less than 50%. Seriously. But a calculator.
Thoughts?
Sunday, September 11, 2022
A Key Opportunity Missed
One of the frustrating things about being a Republican is that they have no ability to read the room. They're like the Aspergers Party. It's crazy. From obsessing over things no one in America cares about, to missing things everyone cares about, to not having a clue how to communicate because they only talk to each other and in language the public doesn't use, backing the GOP is super frustrating. Right now, there is a killer political issue going on and the GOP is entirely missing it because they are so insular. This issue involves a jogger and it could destroy the Democrats if only the GOP had a clue.
The issue involves a woman named Eliza Fletcher. She went jogging in Memphis at 4:30 am a few weeks back and was kidnapped and killed by a monster named Cleotha Henderson. Henderson has already served 20 years for a prior kidnap and apparently is a suspect in a 2021 kidnapping and murder. He is an animal who needs to be put down. The end.
Why am I talking about this? Because this is a HUGE issue. There are tens and tens of thousands of women talking about this. They are talking about it on running boards, on Facebook, on Tik Tok and everywhere they meet to talk. They are following this issue very closely and they are furious. They are furious that this woman was killed. They are furious that they feel like they could be next. They are furious that the streets of America are not safe for women to be alone. Most of all, they are furious that no one seems to care.
This issue is death for the Democrats. The Democrats are super vulnerable right now over the issue of crime. They have made the nation's big cities into cesspools of violence and rape all in the name of progressive views of equality. They have gotten thousand of people (usually minorities or women) killed. They've ruined neighborhoods by letting drug addicted homeless flood them. They've turned predators free to keep preying (usually on women) under the guise that it's racist to lock them up. They turn them loose from prison under the fantasy they've been reformed. And they've been trying to strip away cops at the very point the world is getting worse. People are genuinely freaked out to a degree I have not seen since the 1970s, and women doubly-so.
This issue has the ability to destroy anyone not seen as tough enough on crime. It is far more visceral than inflation and far more scary for people. You can survive inflation, you can't survive being murdered by some drug addicted homeless creature. This is such a huge issue that progressive prosecutors are being recalled in progressive cities by progressives. How bad is that? Portland has become Escape from New York sans Snake Pliskin. One of the squad almost lost in Communist Minnesota in a Democratic primary because she's pro-thug. And Eliza Fletcher's tragedy is the lightening rod for this issue.
Here's the catch... the GOP hasn't notice.
Why not? I can give you a lot of different answers to this, but I think it doesn't matter. When two separate people in the party have said: "If rape is inevitable, you should just lie back and enjoy it.” (Michigan GOP Rep Robert Regan) and "Rape is like bad weather. If it's inevitable, why not just sit back and enjoy it?" (former GOP candidate for Governor of Texas, Clayton Williams), you kind of get a sense why the GOP doesn't pay attention to women. When the grump response to Fletcher's death in the comments at conservative leaning places is "what was she doing running at 4:30 in the morning anyways", again you realize why the GOP doesn't do well with women. And when grumpers rush online to proudly tell you that Hollyweird and Farcebook need to be shutdown, you can kind of see how these fools might miss a huge national movement in the making. Living under a rock is not nobility, it is ignorance.
Reagan built the biggest conservative consensus America has ever seen by promising Americans American values: lower taxes, lower government interference, more freedom, safer streets, standing up to our enemies. That was Reaganism. Today's GOP has become a party of cranks, election deniers, defenders of criminals, people obsessed with controlling others, people who praise freaks like Putin and just want to see the world burn... people who jerk themselves off with extreme rhetoric but wouldn't know conservatism if Ronald Reagan came back and bit them in the ass.
This is why the Democrats survive despite making the country unsafe for its citizens... because the GOP looks worse by comparison. Consider this when you vote in the primaries. Maybe it's time to stop flirting with freaks and start voting for normal Americans?
[+] Read More...
The issue involves a woman named Eliza Fletcher. She went jogging in Memphis at 4:30 am a few weeks back and was kidnapped and killed by a monster named Cleotha Henderson. Henderson has already served 20 years for a prior kidnap and apparently is a suspect in a 2021 kidnapping and murder. He is an animal who needs to be put down. The end.
Why am I talking about this? Because this is a HUGE issue. There are tens and tens of thousands of women talking about this. They are talking about it on running boards, on Facebook, on Tik Tok and everywhere they meet to talk. They are following this issue very closely and they are furious. They are furious that this woman was killed. They are furious that they feel like they could be next. They are furious that the streets of America are not safe for women to be alone. Most of all, they are furious that no one seems to care.
This issue is death for the Democrats. The Democrats are super vulnerable right now over the issue of crime. They have made the nation's big cities into cesspools of violence and rape all in the name of progressive views of equality. They have gotten thousand of people (usually minorities or women) killed. They've ruined neighborhoods by letting drug addicted homeless flood them. They've turned predators free to keep preying (usually on women) under the guise that it's racist to lock them up. They turn them loose from prison under the fantasy they've been reformed. And they've been trying to strip away cops at the very point the world is getting worse. People are genuinely freaked out to a degree I have not seen since the 1970s, and women doubly-so.
This issue has the ability to destroy anyone not seen as tough enough on crime. It is far more visceral than inflation and far more scary for people. You can survive inflation, you can't survive being murdered by some drug addicted homeless creature. This is such a huge issue that progressive prosecutors are being recalled in progressive cities by progressives. How bad is that? Portland has become Escape from New York sans Snake Pliskin. One of the squad almost lost in Communist Minnesota in a Democratic primary because she's pro-thug. And Eliza Fletcher's tragedy is the lightening rod for this issue.
Here's the catch... the GOP hasn't notice.
Why not? I can give you a lot of different answers to this, but I think it doesn't matter. When two separate people in the party have said: "If rape is inevitable, you should just lie back and enjoy it.” (Michigan GOP Rep Robert Regan) and "Rape is like bad weather. If it's inevitable, why not just sit back and enjoy it?" (former GOP candidate for Governor of Texas, Clayton Williams), you kind of get a sense why the GOP doesn't pay attention to women. When the grump response to Fletcher's death in the comments at conservative leaning places is "what was she doing running at 4:30 in the morning anyways", again you realize why the GOP doesn't do well with women. And when grumpers rush online to proudly tell you that Hollyweird and Farcebook need to be shutdown, you can kind of see how these fools might miss a huge national movement in the making. Living under a rock is not nobility, it is ignorance.
Reagan built the biggest conservative consensus America has ever seen by promising Americans American values: lower taxes, lower government interference, more freedom, safer streets, standing up to our enemies. That was Reaganism. Today's GOP has become a party of cranks, election deniers, defenders of criminals, people obsessed with controlling others, people who praise freaks like Putin and just want to see the world burn... people who jerk themselves off with extreme rhetoric but wouldn't know conservatism if Ronald Reagan came back and bit them in the ass.
This is why the Democrats survive despite making the country unsafe for its citizens... because the GOP looks worse by comparison. Consider this when you vote in the primaries. Maybe it's time to stop flirting with freaks and start voting for normal Americans?
Wednesday, September 7, 2022
Interesting Poll
There's a new poll out. I am not a fan of polls, but this one is interesting. Here are the results. I'll discuss what interests me below.
The media is spinning this using the top number which is not on the chart. The top number says that (1) Biden beats Trump in a rematch (duh) and (2) the public now favors the Democrats over the Republicans 48% to 45%. The media sees that as significant, but it's actually meaningless. Not only is it all within the margin of error, but as I noted, the end of the summer is Biden's highwater mark. Also, these races are all local or must be looked at state by state to be meaningful. A 3% national lead is easily achieved in California, which hides all the other states. So this poll simply cannot give an informed answer as to these two questions.
That said, there is interesting information. Observe:
1. Trump's support is very limited, as expected. About 18% of the public are fan-girling Trump, about 37% hate him. The rest don't see this election as being about him. Even among Republicans, only 36% fan-girl Trump, the rest do not. Supporting this is the warning in plain sight in the Alaska election. Palin lost because a majority of GOP voters preferred a Democrat to her as a second choice. Usually, people threaten not to vote for the competitor in the general election, but rarely follow through. This was an instance where the voters followed through en mass. That's a huge warning. Add in the MAGA candidates blowing easy-win elections and it's pretty clear the public is done with this sh*t. The good news it that the low number who think this is about Trump suggest that the damage he does will be endurable for the party, i.e. there will be no broad wipeout. They will cost us the Senate though with bad candidates.
As an aside, if Trump really had nuclear secrets, as is being reported, then not only is he going to jail, but there is no possible excuse for his conduct. There is NO valid reason to take those. As that sinks in, look for the knives to come out. Even Drudge speculated Trump might have taken them sell them, which would be treason. Gee, surprise.
2. Aside from the top number, this polling is terrible for the Democrats! The number who see the election as about supporting Biden's agenda is only 33%. That's terrible support and suggests he's been a failure. This has been obvious actually from them calling his rise to 44% "momentum." No one likes what he's doing. The man is a failure. He's also primed for an epic loss.
3. 54% say economic policy needs to change. With the economy being the big factor in this election, that means a landslide against Biden. Only 22% believe in Biden's economic plan. That spells doom. This is why the Democrats want this election be about anything but the economy, but it's largely not working (Trump exluded). These numbers actually should result in a landslide under normal circumstances.
4. The voting rights and bipartisanship questions are nebulous at best and, I think, show the media continues to mistake bumperstickers for actual concerns. Seriously, who doesn't want to see bipartisanship? But of course, it all depends on how you define bipartisanship, doesn't it? Personally, I'd love to see Democrats finally reaching across the aisle and voting for the things I believe. Is that what they mean by bipartisanship? Bipartisanship... a meaningless buzzword.
As for the voting rights question, that captures all the disenfranchisement crap on the left and Trump's blather about stolen elections as well the generally held belief that we believe people should vote. In other words, left, right and pretty much everyone should accept it but for different reasons. That makes the question meaningless.
5. The really good news is that abortion seems to be something only the fringes care about, with 43% basically saying they don't care. That will help the GOP in this election. All bets are off in the future with the GOP representing the 18% fringe, but for now, 65% of the GOP and 43% of the public overall don't see abortion mattering this time. Those are the people who will decide this election. On the plus side, the number caring about Trump appears even smaller, so to a large degree, the GOP seems to have dodged a bullet in these numbers. The one bullet they could not dodge was in candidate selection where some winnable states are now lost because of MAGA candidates.
All told, my projection holds. The GOP captures the House but loses the Senate because of bad candidate choice.
Thoughts?
[+] Read More...
That said, there is interesting information. Observe:
1. Trump's support is very limited, as expected. About 18% of the public are fan-girling Trump, about 37% hate him. The rest don't see this election as being about him. Even among Republicans, only 36% fan-girl Trump, the rest do not. Supporting this is the warning in plain sight in the Alaska election. Palin lost because a majority of GOP voters preferred a Democrat to her as a second choice. Usually, people threaten not to vote for the competitor in the general election, but rarely follow through. This was an instance where the voters followed through en mass. That's a huge warning. Add in the MAGA candidates blowing easy-win elections and it's pretty clear the public is done with this sh*t. The good news it that the low number who think this is about Trump suggest that the damage he does will be endurable for the party, i.e. there will be no broad wipeout. They will cost us the Senate though with bad candidates.
As an aside, if Trump really had nuclear secrets, as is being reported, then not only is he going to jail, but there is no possible excuse for his conduct. There is NO valid reason to take those. As that sinks in, look for the knives to come out. Even Drudge speculated Trump might have taken them sell them, which would be treason. Gee, surprise.
2. Aside from the top number, this polling is terrible for the Democrats! The number who see the election as about supporting Biden's agenda is only 33%. That's terrible support and suggests he's been a failure. This has been obvious actually from them calling his rise to 44% "momentum." No one likes what he's doing. The man is a failure. He's also primed for an epic loss.
3. 54% say economic policy needs to change. With the economy being the big factor in this election, that means a landslide against Biden. Only 22% believe in Biden's economic plan. That spells doom. This is why the Democrats want this election be about anything but the economy, but it's largely not working (Trump exluded). These numbers actually should result in a landslide under normal circumstances.
4. The voting rights and bipartisanship questions are nebulous at best and, I think, show the media continues to mistake bumperstickers for actual concerns. Seriously, who doesn't want to see bipartisanship? But of course, it all depends on how you define bipartisanship, doesn't it? Personally, I'd love to see Democrats finally reaching across the aisle and voting for the things I believe. Is that what they mean by bipartisanship? Bipartisanship... a meaningless buzzword.
As for the voting rights question, that captures all the disenfranchisement crap on the left and Trump's blather about stolen elections as well the generally held belief that we believe people should vote. In other words, left, right and pretty much everyone should accept it but for different reasons. That makes the question meaningless.
5. The really good news is that abortion seems to be something only the fringes care about, with 43% basically saying they don't care. That will help the GOP in this election. All bets are off in the future with the GOP representing the 18% fringe, but for now, 65% of the GOP and 43% of the public overall don't see abortion mattering this time. Those are the people who will decide this election. On the plus side, the number caring about Trump appears even smaller, so to a large degree, the GOP seems to have dodged a bullet in these numbers. The one bullet they could not dodge was in candidate selection where some winnable states are now lost because of MAGA candidates.
All told, my projection holds. The GOP captures the House but loses the Senate because of bad candidate choice.
Thoughts?
Saturday, September 3, 2022
Biden Fallout
Let me make an article out of this rather than a comment.
So Biden gave his attack speech using Presidential symbols to smear anyone who disagrees with him (like Hitler) and using Marines as props. So much for bringing us together... as if Biden ever tried to unite anyone. In fact, I'd say he's best been described as viciously partisan and hateful. Sick f*ck. Anyways, I'm seeing some articles on the center right that say Biden's speech has been received as an unmitigated disaster and they are trying to back off.
Possibly true.
I haven't seen anyone on the left gasp in shock, but then they don't. They tend to forgive whatever their side does and only find outrage when it helps them politically. That said, there are signs this is true. For example, (1) Biden was in full backpedal today, trying to say he never meant anyone was a threat to Democracy, "come on, man. I never said what I said." That suggests he knows he blew it. Also, (2) there are ZERO articles at the big leftist cites celebrating his speech. That's usually the best indication of disaster: avoidance = attempt to make you forget. Indeed, anything less than an unmitigated disaster and they will try to spin it. They aren't even trying though. That means, they want you to not know about it, or to forget about it. That suggests they know this was a disaster.
Well, now there's another interesting piece. Apparently, the Department of Homeland Security is putting out claims that since poor Mr. Biden gave his speech, they've monitored declarations of civil war online. They want to turn Biden into the victim -- look for a flood of these articles to hide Biden's culpability: "look how dangerous these hornets are we poked!" The thing is:
First, DHS should not be supporting a campaign smear -- any more than Marines should appear in the frame. That Biden did this is ethically disgusting, borders on illegal and deserves to end in infamy. Politicizing defense agencies is dictator sh*t. For that, Biden belongs in the company of guys like McCarthy and a slew of propaganda ministers. So is politicizing law enforcement. For that, he creeps into the world of guys like Mao and Stalin. When you make the police into secret police, you can't call yourself a democrat anymore.
Secondly, what a load of crap. You can find anything you want online. This is the game actresses play, where they shadowbox with obscure trolls to make themselves seem like victims. "I was called fat! Boo hoo hoo forget the stupid thing I did and see my movie." But of course they were called fat. Other guys wanted to have sex with their feet, some claimed they were lizards, a group of women called them sluts, and some guy in Iowa wanted them to work from home. You can find anything online you want... anything. That doesn't mean anyone supports that view except the mental case leaving the post. Claiming you found something online is the same as making it up. Shame on DHS for elevating trolls to a national security threat.
Third, duh. These people (left and right) have been saying this stupid crap about civil wars for years. So is DHS only discovering this now? Or do they only care now? Neither answer is a good one.
I suspect this did not play well for Biden at all, and I think his team knows it. They know this makes him out as bad as Trump, if not worse, and will revive the right from their abortion-Trump-induced funk. This was a terrible idea and we are looking at the smoke and mirror retreat now.
Thoughts?
[+] Read More...
So Biden gave his attack speech using Presidential symbols to smear anyone who disagrees with him (like Hitler) and using Marines as props. So much for bringing us together... as if Biden ever tried to unite anyone. In fact, I'd say he's best been described as viciously partisan and hateful. Sick f*ck. Anyways, I'm seeing some articles on the center right that say Biden's speech has been received as an unmitigated disaster and they are trying to back off.
Possibly true.
I haven't seen anyone on the left gasp in shock, but then they don't. They tend to forgive whatever their side does and only find outrage when it helps them politically. That said, there are signs this is true. For example, (1) Biden was in full backpedal today, trying to say he never meant anyone was a threat to Democracy, "come on, man. I never said what I said." That suggests he knows he blew it. Also, (2) there are ZERO articles at the big leftist cites celebrating his speech. That's usually the best indication of disaster: avoidance = attempt to make you forget. Indeed, anything less than an unmitigated disaster and they will try to spin it. They aren't even trying though. That means, they want you to not know about it, or to forget about it. That suggests they know this was a disaster.
Well, now there's another interesting piece. Apparently, the Department of Homeland Security is putting out claims that since poor Mr. Biden gave his speech, they've monitored declarations of civil war online. They want to turn Biden into the victim -- look for a flood of these articles to hide Biden's culpability: "look how dangerous these hornets are we poked!" The thing is:
First, DHS should not be supporting a campaign smear -- any more than Marines should appear in the frame. That Biden did this is ethically disgusting, borders on illegal and deserves to end in infamy. Politicizing defense agencies is dictator sh*t. For that, Biden belongs in the company of guys like McCarthy and a slew of propaganda ministers. So is politicizing law enforcement. For that, he creeps into the world of guys like Mao and Stalin. When you make the police into secret police, you can't call yourself a democrat anymore.
Secondly, what a load of crap. You can find anything you want online. This is the game actresses play, where they shadowbox with obscure trolls to make themselves seem like victims. "I was called fat! Boo hoo hoo forget the stupid thing I did and see my movie." But of course they were called fat. Other guys wanted to have sex with their feet, some claimed they were lizards, a group of women called them sluts, and some guy in Iowa wanted them to work from home. You can find anything online you want... anything. That doesn't mean anyone supports that view except the mental case leaving the post. Claiming you found something online is the same as making it up. Shame on DHS for elevating trolls to a national security threat.
Third, duh. These people (left and right) have been saying this stupid crap about civil wars for years. So is DHS only discovering this now? Or do they only care now? Neither answer is a good one.
I suspect this did not play well for Biden at all, and I think his team knows it. They know this makes him out as bad as Trump, if not worse, and will revive the right from their abortion-Trump-induced funk. This was a terrible idea and we are looking at the smoke and mirror retreat now.
Thoughts?
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