Friday, November 4, 2022

Just A Guess, But...

From what I'm seeing, the House is guaranteed. Despite it being heavily Gerrymandered (yes, Democrats are the masters of Gerrymandering despite whining about it... look at Illinois which is 13-5 Democrats or California 42-11 or New York 19-8), the Republicans will likely gain 20 seats in the House. The Senate has always looked tougher, but things are moving in the right direction. Here are my predictions for the competitive states based on the momentum and polls and behind the scenes spending and things I'm seeing:

Washington State (crazy it's even in question, but it scared the donks): Democrats keep
Colorado: Democrats keep
Arizona: Democrats keep

Georgia: Run-off. Too hard to tell. Walker should have been blown out.

New Hampshire: Republicans win
Nevada: Republicans win

Pennsylvania: Republicans keep
Ohio: Republicans keep
Wisconsin: Republicans keep
North Carolina: Republicans keep
Florida: Republicans keep (never really in question despite media claims)

So the Republicans win two seats with one more possible and swing the Senate their way 52-48 with a chance at 53-47. Should have been better if we had better candidates, but still an impressive defeat for Biden and the Crimeocrats. Based on my thoughts about a year ago, the Republicans are doing better in the Senate than expected, but the house is basically as predicted.

2 comments:

AndrewPrice said...

The way the left is freaking out about Twitter tells us that an important leftist weapon has been destroyed. Conservatives were right all along about Twitter. Hopefully, Musk follows through and makes it neutral.

Critch said...

I've told my Congress Critters that I would really appreciate it if they do what they say they're going to do when they have the power to do it. I'm tired of "conservatives" constantly compromising on issues like spending, guns, etc..and we conservatives always end up losing over time. Someone needs to take an axe to the Federal budget and cut the power off from federal agencies that are getting too big for their britches.

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